Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant |
R0 value of 5.7 |
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socalmom
V.I.P. Member Joined: January 29 2020 Location: S. California Status: Offline Points: 900 |
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Posted: April 07 2020 at 5:41pm |
I've been away from the forum for a little bit so forgive me if someone else already posted this. Have you seen this? Does it mean that it is far more contagious than originally thought? Assuming a serial interval of 6–9 days, we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article?deliveryName=USCDC_333-DM25287 |
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Thorne!
Adviser Group Joined: February 07 2020 Status: Offline Points: 2695 |
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Good find. That is in line with the Los Alamos study that gave an R0 range of 4.6-6.7 |
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WitchMisspelled
Adviser Group Joined: January 20 2020 Status: Offline Points: 17170 |
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Yes. From what I've read regular flu has RO of between 1.4 and 1.6. So the CFR may be comparable to the flu once all the numbers are in, the infection rate is making for much larger number of deaths than seasonal influenza. |
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