Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
PT-H-IC numbers |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95567 |
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Posted: November 20 2021 at 6:49am |
Based on [url]https://sargasso.nl/de-komende-corona-crash/[/url] or https://sargasso.nl/de-komende-corona-crash/ ; Positive Test (PT) to Hospital (H) is 8 days - 1,7% of cases PT to IC is 12 days - 0,35% of cases Translation 1,000 cases (PT) today would see 17 hospital cases after 8 days, 3,5 IC cases after 12 days... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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roni3470
Adviser Group Joined: August 30 2006 Location: Colorado Status: Offline Points: 5390 |
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How is that in comparison to a year ago? |
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NOW is the Season to Know
that Everything you Do is Sacred |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95567 |
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roni3470-good question...the numbers I did write are based on the article...It may not even be "national guide lines" or so...Other countries may have other rules on when they take in patients for hospital/ICU care... In NL an over 80 y/o may NOT get ICU care that often because-as far as I know-often there is not that much point...You prolong suffering...(they do get treatment, pain/fear medication etc...In some other countries age is not a criterium...in practice this often means old people dying on ICU beds...). [url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/ could answer your question... The reason why I started this PT-H-IC item is we now have over 20,000 cases per day with 1/4 of the UK population...so it would be like the UK had 80,000-90,000 cases per day... There is growing discussion on a lockdown to prevent a doomscenario...but we could be in that scenario earlier then in steps to prevent that... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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