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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

More on mutation

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    Posted: January 21 2006 at 5:18pm

http://www.tmcnet.com/usubmit/2006/01/21/1303872.htm

Bird flu mutates

(New Scientist Via Thomson Dialog NewsEdge)THE bird flu virus spreading through Turkey could be accumulating mutations that are helping it adapt to humans. But fears of an imminent pandemic may be premature, as the virus is showing none of the mutations' feared effects.

 

Samples of the H5N1 virus that killed Turkish teenagers Fatma and Mehmet Ali Kocyigit early this month have now been sequenced at the National Institute for Medical Research in London. Some of Mehmet's virus had a mutation in a surface protein called haemagglutinin, which makes it better at binding to cells in the human respiratory tract as well as to cells in birds.

While this is worrying, it is not clear whether that mutation alone is enough to make the virus any better at spreading among humans than before. "We'll know it means something if we see it in a cluster of human cases," says Michael Perdue of the World Health Organization. A cluster could mean the mutation is being selected for by being transmitted from human to human.

Mehmet's virus also carried a mutation in the polymerase gene that has been shown to make it more lethal to mice. But if anything the cases in Turkey have been milder than those elsewhere.

What now seems undeniable is that wild birds spread H5N1 from central Asia to Turkey. The virus taken from the teenagers is most closely related to a distinctive strain that was found in wild geese and ducks at Qinghai Lake in China in the spring of 2005 and has since crossed Russia and circled the Black Sea.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote phyrefly Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 21 2006 at 7:07pm

1) 'What now seems undeniable is that wild birds spread H5N1 from Central Asia to Turkey.' This statement will be the first critiqued in what appears to be quite a few more, thanks to the high priests of the media.  ('We want you to know that our viral god is not a powerless one, and that for these sufferings, there certainly can be many others.') Asking us to fixate on the grimacing face melting under the heat of the scaffold via burning faggots, even if we are 100 yards from the pyre.

We have already seen that Challenger's hands are shaking, via the extraordinary remarks already voiced by the British lab stating that the U.S. will be the last to get information on the British-held Turkish strain of H5N1. This seems reminiscent of both black and white slaves embarking for America on Roman ships. Clinton's 'plantation' concept seems appropriate. Since names have been mentioned, we recall that a certain Purdue showed up with 150,000 dollars to found a university, yet those of us who know about both Purdue and Indiana University usually have no trouble deciding between the stultification of 'the liberty of strangers' and a more cosmopolitan, beautiful campus.

1) This statement implies (asks the reader to take the bait) that the origins (focus, ochagovost'iu) of the deadly strain of avian influenza is right there at Qinhai. Is it actually in the marsh just south of the lake, or on the northern side, where the foothills meet the plain? The virus always already has a history of experience in another location or host. Thus if anything, we will agree on mutations, at least:

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&a mp;db=pubmed

Microbial Diversity / Qinghai   16400537

tbc....

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 22 2006 at 8:25pm

This article takes you back and forth. yes it is.... but it is not. They say its mutated more easily for human then say the edimology is more toward if you hang out with birds or something and not a threat, ........just something to watch.  Double talk down at the bottom..confusing.

Bird flu virus mutations found in Turkish sample

By Anita Manning, USA TODAY
Mutations that could make it easier for the bird flu virus to infect humans have been found in a sample taken from a patient in Turkey, a report in the journal Nature said Friday.

The World Health Organization is monitoring the situation, but a spokeswoman said it is too early to know whether the virus is changing in ways that would signal the start of a human flu pandemic.

"It's one isolate from a single virus from Turkey," WHO's Maria Cheng said in Geneva. One mutation found "suggests the virus might be more inclined to bind to human cells rather than animal cells," Cheng said, but there's no evidence that it's becoming more infectious.

"If we started to see a lot more samples from Turkey with this mutation and saw the virus changing, we'd be more concerned," she said.

The Nature report cites a second mutation that also "signals adaptation to humans."

Flu viruses mutate all the time, Cheng said. "For us to assign public health significance to a genetic change we need to match it to what is happening epidemiologically — how the virus is behaving — and clinically — if it's more or less virulent," Cheng said.

The avian flu first was detected in poultry flocks in Turkey in October. Then, on Jan. 5, the Turkish Ministry of Health reported that two teenagers, a brother and sister, had died from the disease, the first human cases outside East Asia.

Unlike in other countries, where cases were scattered geographically and the fatality rate was more than 50%, in Turkey, families have been affected, and there are more reports of people with mild symptoms. In addition to Turkey's 21 cases and four deaths, WHO has reported 145 cases and 78 deaths in Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam.

"When this outbreak (in Turkey) was first reported, there was a lot of concern it was behaving differently," Cheng said.

That doesn't appear to be the case so far, Cheng said. "The team there told us that after two weeks of investigating, they haven't found substantial differences in the pattern we've seen in Southeast Asia."

She said the rapid increase of cases in a rural community in eastern Turkey is probably because of the practice of bringing poultry inside homes to protect them during cold weather, which would increase human exposure to infected chickens.

The mutations, which were detected by scientists at a lab in London, may "signify the virus is trying different things to see if it can more easily infect humans," Cheng said. "So far, we haven't seen that the virus has the ability to do this. But it's important that we continue monitoring."

The H5N1 strain first infected humans in 1997 in Hong Kong. It re-emerged in 2003, and efforts to stamp it out have failed. Health officials have seen no evidence yet that the virus can spread easily in humans.

"We would be concerned if we were seeing successive generations of spread of the virus" in Turkey, Cheng said. "We haven't so far. All these people had a very clear history of contact with diseased birds."

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http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2006-01-22-bird-flu-muta tions_x.htm

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