Iran CFR is 13.67?

Iran reports 44 new cases of coronavirus and 4 new deaths, raising total to 139 cases and 19 deaths.

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1232600310851477504


Is this higher CFR as a result of a possible variant of Cov19?

Well what is telling then is that if/when the health care system is overwhelmed we have a baseline minimal medical care received CFR by looking at the numbers coming out of Iran.

A cfr of 13.67 ? wow, that is getting really bad.

Albert wrote: People have different opinions on this. I remember that Doc Campbell suggested mutation, and I have also been saying possible mutation. Not only are mutations normal, but they should be expected. I'm personally still leaning toward a new mutation / variant in Iran. Unless the WHO actually investigates it with sequencing, we are in the dark with it and only left with speculation.

Have they not provided a sample for sequencing YET??   FFS.

No. But I went to school with Aristocrats from several countries and some minor royalty from a few - including Iran.

My Iranian schoolfriends filled me in on many of the political threads which were woven together to make todays theocracy. I became quite fascinated and still watch the insanely-Islamic state now. I do get the mindset.

Belief and fundamentalism underlies EVERYTHING! The very concept of science is sneered at.

Take an extreemist from the Bible belt, take most of the logic out of the good book and replace it with some poetry. Now beat that fundamentalist about the head until their ears bleed. After about 1/2 hour, when they are starting to mumble and drool, you will have the guy-in-the-street in Iran. But you still will not grasp the extreme cases.

KiwiMum wrote: Albert wrote: People have different opinions on this. I remember that Doc Campbell suggested mutation, and I have also been saying possible mutation. Not only are mutations normal, but they should be expected. I'm personally still leaning toward a new mutation / variant in Iran. Unless the WHO actually investigates it with sequencing, we are in the dark with it and only left with speculation. On one of his videos he said that he Chinese had noted the disease had mutated 17 times between 7 Dec and 31 January. That's a lot of mutations. There's no reason to think it'll stop mutating any time soon so it may well have become more deadly in Iran.

The WHO won't budge with looking into it. Not even sure what their purpose is any longer.

lol

Two observations on the situation in Iran —

First, I think that the chance of the virus experiencing a mutation, or shift, is significant. SARS-2 (which I still think is a strikingly unoriginal name — seriously, you have the chance to name a brand-new Boris and that’s the best you can do?) is an RNA virus, not a DNA, so it will be more prone to genetic changes. It is entirely possible that a genetic change has taken place, producing a new variant of the virus.

Is that what’s happened? I don’t know, and we will have no idea until scientists are able to study samples from Iranian patients.

The other point I considered is that we are seeing a specific number of cases that have been confirmed through testing, and a death rate also confirmed by testing. However, that doesn’t mean that those aren’t he only cases circulating in Iran. Just as the case load in Wuhan (and all of China) was likely much higher than confirmed cases indicated, there are probably many more than the currently reported 139 cases in Iran. This would bring the CFR down, if I understand the math of the process correctly ( it please don’t take my word on that — I was a literature major and a philosophy minor!).

My heart is hurting for the Iranian people.

Iran confirms 104 new cases and 4 new deaths; total of 245 cases and 26 deaths.

CFR% 10.61