The death toll in Italy from the coronavirus pandemic rose by 743 in one day to 6,820, reversing a declining trend in fatalities observed over the last two days.
Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Italy has peaked-Relax People |
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DeepThinker
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Posted: March 25 2020 at 10:42am |
EdwinSm,
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Maybe the drastic lock-downs have been shown to work. |
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KiwiMum
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It certainly hasn't peaked yet in the UK or the US. It's really just getting started there. |
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Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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CRS, DrPH
Expert Level Adviser Joined: January 20 2014 Location: Arizona Status: Offline Points: 26660 |
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Reality check here....this virus will now circulate again and again, in waves. Folks who escaped infection will eventually be infected in a future wave, perhaps a year or two from now. https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/will-covid-19-go-away-on-its-own-in-warmer-weather/ Relax if you wish, I'm not. The population of Hong Kong relaxed and experienced a fresh surge of cases. We will all eventually become infected, facing three clinical pathways: a) mild to asymptomatic illness of no consequence b) severe acute respiratory syndrome, requiring hospitalization c) death This virus is going to hang around for quite a while. Even when we end social distancing, I plan on maintaining my hand hygiene practices. If you want to relax, I wish you well. |
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CRS, DrPH
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Usk
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Italian gov says they also had run out of kits to test people. Getting more Friday |
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Usk
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i think you misread the article The death toll in Italy from the coronavirus pandemic rose by 743 in one day to 6,820, reversing a declining trend in fatalities observed over the last two days. |
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bobisavirgin
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One thing you have to understand about Italy is that it is basically like two separate countries. North and south. North is what we've been seeing. The south looks like it might be just taking off. The governor of Campania said that everything is on the brink of collapse and they need help. This is from somebody that was working in the health care system in Lombardy, and he told me that not five minutes ago. And he told me about how the bodies were being stored in the churches because the crematoriums were completely full. And how they lost I think he said two ems drivers to it with several others out sick. In the next 10 days the south could explode and be just like what we saw in the north. I got all this straight from the source. Oh and to top it all off, the south's health care is far far worse than the north's. |
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Thorne!
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That is important information. Do you have a link? |
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Dutch Josh
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[url]https://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/rex-block-upper-low-flooding-south-italy-mk/[/url] This will make things worse; A potentially dangerous setup is unfolding across the southern Mediterranean today and tonight. In response to a deepening upper low, a pronounced surface low and frontal system is spreading across southern Italy, resulting in excessive rainfall and flooding threat across Calabria and Sicily region – locally 150-200 mm seems possible until Friday, increasing dangerous flash floods and landslides! The system is greatly visible on the satellite images, with a pronounced dry intrusion from Tunisia and Libya towards southern Italy this afternoon. Central pressure is around 995 mbar, near Malta and it continues falling. |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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[url]https://www.rt.com/news/484278-italy-coronavirus-peak-not-reached/[/url] Italy has yet to see the worst of the coronavirus pandemic spreading through the country, a senior health official has warned, a day after more than 700 people died in a single 24-hour period. “We haven’t reached the peak and we haven’t passed it,” the head of the Superior Health Institute, Silvio Brusaferro, told a press conference on Friday. He noted, however, that there were “signs of a slowdown” in the number of infections, suggesting that the health crisis could turn a corner soon. Figures released on Thursday showed 712 new Covid-19 deaths, bringing the nationwide total to 8,215. Brusaferro said that Italy’s ability to recover from the pandemic will depend on whether Italians continue to obey lockdown measures. Italy currently has the highest number of infections in Europe, and is third worldwide after the United States and China, according to a tally maintained by Johns Hopkins University. Cases worldwide have surpassed 500,000, with more than 24,000 deaths. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#page-top[/url] cases already over 550.000-going fast ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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EdwinSm,
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It might peak soon in the North of Italy, but what happens if it gets going in the South of the country? This virus seems to like creating clusters, and not spreading evenly around the place! The first cluster was in the north. |
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jacksdad
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Even if I was in Italy, I wouldn’t be relaxing right now. Apart from New York, the US hasn’t even begun to see what this virus can do. Far too early to get complacent.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Technophobe
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Over 900 deaths in Italy IN THE LAST 24 HOURS ALONE! Source BBC. |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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Pandemic
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I suggest you take another look now. |
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Location - Rural location in Hampshire, England
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carbon20
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Take care JD Wishful thinking..... It's not over till WU says it is....... 🤝🖖 |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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Penham
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Over 900 deaths in the last 24 hours, it keeps going up everyday |
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bobisavirgin
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Not being mean, but did nobody read the post I made 2 days ago in this very thread? We knew it was going to start getting worse. |
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DeepThinker
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I stand by what I said. New cases are STILL down. We always knew that deaths lag new infections by a couple weeks. Yes the daily deaths are up.... these people got sick awhile ago. I would bet money that deaths will start falling soon. I doubt they get to 20k deaths. Yes that sounds like a very bad number but not nearly as bad as projections just a week or two ago. At most we are looking at an illness that is 2x or 3x as bad as flu, not 10x or 20x as bad. I would also bet that most of the USA will peak in 2 weeks, 3 weeks tops. |
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KiwiMum
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There is a huge difference between Italy and the US and that is that Italy is in strict lockdown. The US isn't. It'll be interesting to see where the US is in 3 weeks time, particularly since Trump wants all Americans back to work by Easter. |
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Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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EdwinSm,
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I think we are looking for hope, but we must not get carried away with just a few days worth of statistics Italy new cases (From WHO Situation Reports) 27th March 6 153 26th March 5 210 25th March 5 249 24th March 4 789 23rd March 5 560 22nd March 6 667 21st March 5 986 20th March 5 322 19th March 4 207 18th March 3 526 The daily figures seem to be bouncing around, so we must not count our chickens before they hatch and we must remember that one swallow does not a summer make. |
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WitchMisspelled
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I heard that although Trump hasn't retracted the "back to work by Easter", I did see he changed his messaging by saying "People before the Economy" in yesterday's news briefing. Time will tell if that messaging gets mixed in future press briefings. |
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