Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Posted: March 10 2006 at 4:46pm |
Now don't get mad. That's not aimed at you. It's aimed at those people who are balancing too many plates and doing a p.p. job. I wonder if our leaders would do better to concentrate on what they CAN do rather than constantly explain to us that there are no easy solutions. I can't spend that anywhere. They can't stop this virus. You know it, they know it and it would seem that the virologists have known it for several decades. The people on this site have taken a far more practical approach and done what they can as individuals. We've examined the problem, isolated one aspect of it and applied a very simple solution. We have prepped. What now? I've just read a post suggesting that a pandemic would shut down all transportation. Why? It ought to be relatively easy to isolate the cab of a truck to the point where it is the safest place on the planet. A truck can load, ship, offload and return to base without the driver ever coming into contact with another human. Fuel, water, food, and even sterilised air can be made available. Do you have a local trucking company? Have they seen the commercial potential in modifying their cabs. Are they able to organise a relay system with semi-trailers. Your foodstores are centralised because they need to carry tens of thousands of items. I would be happy with beans and rice. No choice on quantity. It's pre-packed. Take it or leave it. $20 no change given. No human contact. If you think this is crazy, well yes, you might be right. But think on this. I've just had three tonnes of sand delivered. I wasn't even there. No human contact, no exchange of money, no worries. I don't much like the "no win" scenario. Any thoughts?
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gricha56
Valued Member Joined: March 07 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 47 |
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I think you're thinking clearly.
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Falcon
Valued Member Joined: February 20 2006 Status: Offline Points: 684 |
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you make some very excellent points
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I look at the stars and wonder what it would be like to touch them.
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Penham
Chief Moderator Moderator Joined: February 09 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 14913 |
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If you have ever worked in a store the truck driver does usually does unload the truck, whatever he delivers usually has to be counted by whoever is receiving it, a bill of lading is usually given and paperwork is usually signed, so the drivers do come into contact with the receivers. However I do see that big companies like Walmart could pull off what you are saying since they do have their own warehouses, trucks and drivers. Technically the driver could just pull up and let the receivers unload and not be in any contact, they could work around the problem since Walmart owns the whole thing. I think the problems would come from when an independent trucking company is trasporting something from a different company it may change trucks a couple of times before it ever reaches it's destination, same with UPS, FedEx, those type of deliveries to stores. It is a good theory and I think could be pulled off of the bigger companies that own, the store, warehouse and trucks.
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Wow. What a relief. Thought you'd all be incandescant. I used to run a small newsagents. Papers were dumped every morning. No paperwork until end of month. Trust was backed by the threat of losing the franchise. I was really thinking of a slighly broader picture though. Intelligence can sometimes be crippling. Occasionally the simple solution works. I bet there's someone out there with good simple ideas that do not require political intervention. Local, you know? I can't tell you how many times my grandmother sorted me out by bringing me back down to planet earth. It's fairly clear that they are stuck in their global rut. Maybe we can prod them a bit. No? |
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Scotty, I love your concept here. KISS, indeed. So simple even our governments could manage it. SZ |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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I think it was one of your Mr. Presidents who invented the concept. Or maybe it was the Russians. You know the joke. They spent 100 zillion dollars designing a pen that would work upside down in zero gravity. We used a pencil. |
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andrew p
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 138 |
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The truck drivers are just one part of the supply chain.
"A truck can load, ship, offload and return to base without the driver ever coming into contact with another human. Fuel, water, food, and even sterilised air can be made available." It sounds like a lot of other people are involved in that scenario. They may not have to contact the driver, but they probably have to contact other other people. I'm not trying to be too much of a pessimist here, but our food system is very reliant on a lot of people being healthy and getting up to go to work every day. Another issue that I have not even really thought about is all the people who make the oil flow to this country every day. They need to stay on the job too.... I've heard that this country has a one year suppy of food, but distribution could be a b****. Not to mention, who wants to be in that mob where the truck dumps the food? |
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swankyc
V.I.P. Member Joined: January 11 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 314 |
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How on Earth would we completely isolate the driver of every big rig in the US? That sounds ridiculous in theory and IMPOSSIBLE in practice. The government knows they cant stop it so they are doing just about all they can. Stockpiling Tamiflu which is right now the best drug, so they can ship it to places that become hot when it hits here and then telling people to be ready for disruptions in services and supplies. Of course that doesn't count the fingers the govt has in the overseas cookie jar trying to help out. |
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I'm not afraid, I'm paranoid. Dont talk too loud, they are listening.
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virusil
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 450 |
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tssktsss..tamiflu,the magical bullet why dont you try the silver bullet instead.......... i as a president of a compagny i already put the necessary in case of emergency,but the point is that i will and can not oblige the delivery to be done,so i warned by a letter all my distributors and shops to stock..... my articles,before,the pandemic. some of them thought that my lab is going banana. let them think whatever......people in a case like that will be frightened to death to get out,not me, but in general yes,so this is how i solved my problem. |
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ignorance.
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Why couldn't a hub system be implemented... along the model of airports and FedEx. Central depots for everything. The food, the gas, etc. This is something the Army EXCELLS at. This plan has potential IMO anyway. And I remember reading that Canada was actually going to throw their gas and rigs and drivers into only food distribution. They were warning the public and businesses that there weren't going to be any resources left after the food distribution was taken care of. |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Swank; Andrew P: You are both quite right of course. I am afraid that I am cursed with a tendency towards straight line thinking. In the particular case of transportation, which in turn is the key to self-defence, mob violence and secondary deaths I would not be able move on to the connected difficulties of the supply chain until I had solved the problem of getting truck drivers to work. I watched a forty ton truck being offloaded in my local builders merchant yesterday. They used fork lift trucks whilst the driver sat in his cab eating his lunch. Everything was palletised and the only exchange was a piece of paper. My bass ackwards mind would not move on until I had solved the problem of the piece of paper. Crude, I know. I do admire elegant thinking but there are times when it simply doesn't work. Well, it isn't working, is it? |
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virusil
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 450 |
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canada might ride the wave easier.....for many reasons 1- huge country 2-very friendly 3-humane 4-logistic 5-huge ressources 6-benevolence 7-people used to live in harsh envirenment 8-high medical infrastructure 9-people like me |
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ignorance.
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virusil
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 450 |
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police will be few,looters will attack the driver on the roads,it will be like the farwest i know some drivers that refuse to take alcohool or cigarettes right now because of the possible attack.....can you imagine later............
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ignorance.
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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There you go. A hub system. Fed-Ex. Now common people. You can do it. Yes you can. Winging Poms used to belong in the U.K. (I wish this thing had spell check) |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Virusil: You are absolutely right but until we can keep that one driver in his one cab, the rest is a mere detail. P.S. Maybe if everyone was guaranteed a regular food delivery they would be less enthusiastic about robbing a truck. P.P.S. Come to think of it, if every truck was carrying rice and beans and you already had both rice and beans, well, think about it. |
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My spell check secret (dang... I did so what ya'll to think I was smart) is the Google tool bar installed... it has a spell checker as a built in option on the toolbar. Works like a champ.... and ya'll thought I was brilliant, I know. Of course that presupposes that you are willing to deal with Google, second only in corporate evilness to Microsoft. |
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meewee
Valued Member Joined: December 13 2005 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 595 |
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Actually it could be done and is being implimented at my husbands company. It's done through scan codes...you know the bar codes that are scanned for prices? This could be done for any truck! First place a scan code above the fuel tank for fueling, then since the truckers already have a computer on-board (yes they do) it could be logged into the data-bank and relayed to the company for billing. once at the delivery site, the trucker never (even today) unloads the merchandise-that's the receiving warehouse job. They open the trailer, scan the codes for inventory and with just a little modifying could through a portal in the trailor or cab scan the code as shipment recieved!....No contact with another person! But the main problem would be through the "highway robbers" That is what has truckers up in arms. They would almost need a convoy of point-men to ensure the delivery went through! Meewee |
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God Bless us all!
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virusil
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 450 |
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why do you need the spell chek if my message was understood...........did i ask or make a remark ever....... on this,do i have to say that english is my third language,i am learning a huge things over here not just about viruses,and prep,no,no
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ignorance.
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Thanks Boss, I'll give google a go when I feel up to it. I'm afraid I'm experiencing a very odd version of post traumatic stress syndrome tonight. Euphoria. I buried my father 27th Jan and my mother today. I should feel totally wrecked but for some reason I just feel a need to unerringly positive. Technically, I'm now an orphan. I just don't what to think anything negative. I've been doing that for too long. It's 3 am here and I just have no desire to sleep. (This is not a secret cry for help) |
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virusil
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 450 |
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he cant stay in the truck forever he is human,eat sleep,and sh*t,so,kitchen,room,and bath room,get the pictures............. in canada and us huge distances......roads are almost infinite,not like england,tiny miny |
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ignorance.
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virusil
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 450 |
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sorry scott........
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ignorance.
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Virusil: I was criticising my own spelling, not yours. I looked at the word winging and thought, I know this is wrong. Do I add an H or maybe a E. Then I thought, sod it, do we really care. My spelling used to be passable but computers have ruined it by putting all of my mistakes right. Please don't take offence. |
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araywood
Adviser Group Joined: March 04 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 206 |
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I was remembering the hurricaine relief center in florida were you could get food Ice etc. This too would be very easy to do. you drive to a center a a checkpoint you would open the trunk (area with no human interaction) of your car or simply duck tape it down. you drive into a center were relief worker are (your windows would be rolled up) the relief worker would put the supplies into your car and you drive off. Very little human contact if any at all.
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meewee
Valued Member Joined: December 13 2005 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 595 |
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OMG! I am so SORRY Scotty! I have gone through that myself! So I feel your pain! I lost my father in 91 and my mother in 98! And i can hardly comprehend what you are feeling now with losing both so closely together! I am here for you if you need to vent, talk, whatever! Just feel free to Pm me and we can talk! We are here for you my friend! Meewee |
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God Bless us all!
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fafhrd
Valued Member Joined: February 25 2006 Status: Offline Points: 474 |
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Scotty, I've read your postings on this forum here. I never would
have guessed that you were having such a rough time. You've
handled yourself with wit and poise. You do this board proud.
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I had a little bird,
his name was Enza; I opened the window, and influenza. |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Great Stuff araywood. Come on. You are getting there. I know you can do it. Most of you come from the land of Get Up and Go. All you need to do is lower your vision a little and think local, not global. Are there no truck drivers out there who can help me out? I know that the cab drivers have a solution to the waterworks problem. Crude, but effective. Big coffee jars. The camping fraternity know all about human waste. |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Thanks for the sympathetic words, but really there's no need. I've just spent the last few weeks watching the end of a perfect love story. Hollywood could not have done a better job. My mother simply couldn't live without him. No pain, no fear. There's another post tonight that describes it perfectly. She just decided to let go. No worries. I'm not looking for a DIY topping kit just yet. There's no way I'm going to waste 2 tonnes of good preps. We're tight that way over here! |
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Oh Scotty, so sad. I don't know how old you are. I understand the feeling of "orphan". I lost my dad as a teenager, amd mom at 25. As with MeeWee, if you need to vent, PM me. I can listen and also offer what works for me.
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Daydreamer
Valued Member Joined: February 24 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 439 |
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Scotty~ I am so sorry for your loss. You are doing so much better than I would right now. Your posts always lead me to believe that you are a strong man and that you will survive this. I like how you put it, "the end of a perfect love story". Sounds like you are a very lucky person to have been brought up with that kind of love. Hang in there and know that we are here for you if you need us. That's what family is for. |
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Don't put off tomorrow what you can PREP today
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Scotty, I respect your mind working on "other" issues. I am sorry for the loss of your father and now your mother. I will not intrude upon your feelings over this other than to say that if you wake up in the future needing to talk, we are here. |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Annie: I'm venting now I guess. But I did say that I was Technically an orphan. I would have slammed in a smiley but I don't know how. I already posted that I am a trainer wrinkly myself. 56. Male. Was unattached. Am now complete Detached. I know that when this euphoria, or is it hysteria, wears off, I'm going to feel like a waste of space, but it will come at its own pace. I'm not about to help it along. Wish I hadn't mentioned it really because I thought you were all coming up with some positive thoughts until I spoiled it. It's coming up to 4 am here so I think I'll take my negtivity to bed. Now don't let me down during the night. Think Positive. Think Practical. No doubt the universe is unfolding as intended. |
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TNbebo408
Adviser Group Joined: December 10 2005 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 295 |
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What it takes in supplies and repairs to keep trucks rolling. I know, I keep a few trucks and some other big machines rolling. And right now we have the LUXURY of parts availability, it would go away in minutes if TSHTF.
Trucks need constant mechanic work, welding, tire repair, wheel bearings, brake shoes, brake springs, brake chambers, brake cam bushings, brake cams, brake drums, wheels, clutches, engine rebuilds, transmission overhauls, lights, altenators, wiring, computer repairs, injectors, air compressors, turbos, U-joints, air bags, springs, tie bolts, king pins, tie rod ends, steering sectors, windshield wiper blades, fuel filters, air filters, air splitter buttons, drive line repairs, rear end repairs, power dividers, interlock lines, fifth wheel locks, air lines, and that is not including trailer repairs, just a tractor. Trailers are another repair item, especially the reefer units. Cooled units, if you not a trucker, not smoking reefer. It takes people on the ground to get these things done. I disagree about using the military to run the supply system. The military is GREAT, when used to supply small amounts of needed items in a relatively small area. But when you look at their rigs, they are JUNK when thinking of crossing the country to supply the nation. They are heavy slow, purpose designed rigs, not designed to run 75 to 90 MPH for 3000 miles each direction to drop a load, and turn around fast. Just look at how much military stuff is riding around on flat beds behind your everyday trucker now. His rig is designed to move on at high speeds, military stuff is slow. I am not talking bad about the military people, not at all. It's simple, their equipment is not suited for the job at hand, and there is not enough of their equipment to replace the amount of trucks rolling right now. Just try to count the rigs on both sides of a major interstate on any given day, for one mile when you are driving. Then think of how much material is moved by rail, barge and planes. All of these things are mechanical in nature and it takes people to run them and fix them. |
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Falcon
Valued Member Joined: February 20 2006 Status: Offline Points: 684 |
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I am sorry for your loss, I lost my mom to cancer 6 years ago TN does make some good points also, maybe not for the driver but the people who have to do the repairs will be close approixmately with each other, other then that the idea is pretty sound.
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I look at the stars and wonder what it would be like to touch them.
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Yeah Bebo... but we are talking beans and rice here... not all the normal crap that gets transported on our highways. And the .mil has some incredible rigs... saw them once and it blew me away, literally. I was stopped at a red light, next to a convoy of about five big rigs, mil stuff. I was driving a very sporty, well known performance car at the time.... they left me in the DUST. No going through the gears for these rigs, they hit 60 before I was in second gear (I was driving a stick). Only thing I could figure was super secret stuff, but they shouldn't have been bunched together w/ no obvious firepower back up if that was the case. I have never, ever seen any 18 wheeler behave like they did. |
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TNbebo408
Adviser Group Joined: December 10 2005 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 295 |
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Zoe, the mil stuff is very slow by todays trucks, we running 550 to 650 HP rigs now, not many years back, 425 was it. Other than the very few KTA 600s that were out there.
A lot of mil stuff now, is from overseas, parts will be an issue for any of us, that keep big iron rolling. We all have the same problem, just in time delivery of most goods, be it food, or parts. Just to keep the rigs rolling takes a lot of pieces, and people to support them. Where will they be? That is my point. Scotty, I feel for your loss, Cancer got my Dad at an early age, my wife lost her first husband to it, at a early age, she had a round with it, at 35 herself. My stepson lost his Dad at age five and thought his Mom was gonna die when he was 12, these things really made him distant with people. It's like he is afraid to love too much for fear of losing someone. It's a terrible thing to see someone you love, go through. It does something to you, or takes strength from you and takes your loved ones also. I am not smart enough to describe how dealing with it affects you. I just know it does, and in strange ways too. |
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Condolences Scotty, but remember you are never an orphan. You will always
have the umbilical memory and imagination until the day the thought police extract it with electricity. Everyone: Can we please not forget the truck driver! Your insatiable need for sustinence has forgotten the driver's own needs (other than comfort breaks) and forgotten this person is a human like us. Some lateral thinking is required here. Do not rely on someone else delivering anything at short notice. What might be required is a change of economics from the just-in- time economy now to one of high stocking levels. That will need higher prices and probably higher taxes. Just make sure you want that to happen. |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Cheers Harpmanddoodle. Now about this truck driver. I think that we have pretty well established that the haulage requirements to ship only food and drugs will be far less than current capacity. We have also established, I believe, that there is very little to be gained from hijacking a truck full of rice and beans if everyone already has rice and beans. The next step would be for each community to hire a haulage company to ship the rice and beans. This can be organised at a national level, regional level, or if needs be, on a local level. The schools will be closed. Warehouses will be closed. Fork lift truck drivers will be hungry and anxious to work. Their wives will be anxiousfor them to work. Some Eastern European driver has just been prosecuted for driving none stop from Poland to Scotland. I heard that this was more than thirty hours drive so I guess that they are doing a week on, week off, system. Unwise. Yes. Dangerous. Yes. Possible? Obviously. |
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This issue it is along the same line as front line workers if there is no proper protection for these truck drivers, I would understand why they would not go to work..I ask myself everyday would I go out and help...would I risk certain death for me or one of my loved ones....I,m not to sure,if I have to go out for survival yes I would, but I don,t think it is in our human nature to walk out and face certain death... And Scotty s.s. about your loss.... |
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merrittjohn
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I have a question... Where exactly to you think all this rice and beans is stored? Americans DON'T live on rice and beans... in fact I'd bet that those two foods make up only a very small portion of Americans diets. Since supply is geared to demand..... There is no huge stockpile of these things waiting to be delivered. Yes, America is a net exporter of rice (have no idea about beans) and those exports could be halted and the rice made available here..... and that still could only cover a tiny fraction of the requirements. Capitalism 101 says that excess supply is very inefficient and costly.... and that's why it doesn't exist here. The supply of hospital beds, ventilators, medications... and rice and beans very closely matches the normal usage. There just is no meaningful excess capacity.... because that would hurt profits and we are a profit driven society. The same logic applies to food as a whole. There just isn't the excess capacity for everyone to suddenly stockpile 6 months of food in their basement...... better 6 months early than 5 minutes late!
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willtolive
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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Delete Rice &Beans Complex Carbohydrates & High Calory Vegetables My preps for complex carbs are evenly split between brown rice, wheat pasta, wholemeal flour and oats. In truth I have stopped buying food and gone back 20 years to buying ingedients. The difference is absolutely astounding. Cost savings are about 80%, the food tastes of food, my weight is down about ten pounds and I can do a months supplies in one trip. Some of this stuff is E.U. subsidised but the rice and the vegetables come from the U.S.A. If the subsidies came off then it would all come from the U.S.A. Fuel usage is down, queing time is down, packaging used is almost zero and I know what I am consuming. The saving on ink alone could save this planet. Its so good to see a list of contents with just one item on it. The favourite takeaway food in the U.K. is now Indian Curry. |
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Scotty, I am very sorry for your loss, I lost my Mom 7 seven ago. Please take good care of yourself, as you face this hurtle of life. Give your self lots of time, to heal, for me it was a couple of years, but we each grieve in our own ways and time. so back to the Truck Driver, as you were all saying....... |
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swankyc
V.I.P. Member Joined: January 11 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 314 |
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Are you trying to be funny or are you actually saying that a pandemic in Canada wouldn't be very bad because you're benevolent, friendly and humane?? |
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I'm not afraid, I'm paranoid. Dont talk too loud, they are listening.
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