Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
My observations on the lack of news |
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Posted: January 27 2006 at 8:25am |
I have posted in the past that Bird flu has tended to act like little
brush fires. In Vietnam it is more endemic in the bird population, but
still has broken out in regional flareups. In Indonesia,
ditto. In India there were numerous flareups of "Mystery Disease"
and we never knew if they were dealing with H5N1 or some other virus,
but the consistency of spots of outbreak were obvious. Flareups
with this virus in its present form are the norm.
I believe the WHO has known of this consistent manner of outbreak. The evil strain of H5N1 (post Qinghai) can spread human to human, but can not sustain itself for more than one or two jumps. So, you have the spot flareups and then it dies down. Somebody at the WHO is telling the infected nations to "Cool It" with respect to reporting. Only the serious cases are reported to the press. If people have a mild case the onus is put on possible other seasonal illness and the press remains blissfully ignorant. ("Tuberculosis in Algeria." "Encephilitis in India." "Yellow Fever in Africa." "Dengue everywhere!") Indeed, we may be dealing with these actual illnesses or we may be dealing with hidden outbreaks of Bird Flu. The only logic I can find for the misinformation campaign if it is orchestrated from above is to calm the world's population and allow this stuff to spread gradually without human panic. Most of the infected countries simply lie and deny the outbreaks. Moldavia is a most recent example. China was a perfect example of this for the past few years until most recently. (Too much news had excaped from their "Worker's Paradise" and it was senseless for them to continue to try to coverup. The Boxun reports accomplished some good.). Edited by JoeNeubarth |
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So where will the next flareup be? I think Africa, though now
that Sichuan Sheet has picked up human compatibility genes we will most
likely see the Pandemic start there. Anytime within the next few
weeks.
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