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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic; Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Forum.

New York warns of major medical shortages in 10 da

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EdwinSm, View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: New York warns of major medical shortages in 10 da
    Posted: March 23 2020 at 3:33am

I expected shortages to show up, but this seems to be much sooner than I would have expected


 

Originally posted by "BBC" "BBC" wrote:

The coronavirus outbreak in New York will get worse, with damage accelerated by shortages of key medical supplies, the city's mayor has said.

"We're about 10 days away from seeing widespread shortages," Bill de Blasio said on Sunday. "If we don't get more ventilators people will die."

New York state has become the epicentre of the outbreak in the US and accounts for almost half of the country's cases. 

There are now 31,057 confirmed cases nationwide, with 390 deaths. 

On Sunday, the state's Governor Andrew Cuomo said 15,168 people had tested positive for the virus., an increase of more than 4,000 from the previous day.

"All Americans deserve the blunt truth," Mr de Blasio told NBC News. "It's only getting worse, and in fact April and May are going to be a lot worse."

New York now accounts for roughly 5% of Covid-19 cases worldwide. 

Link to BBC report

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WitchMisspelled View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (2) Thanks(2)   Quote WitchMisspelled Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 23 2020 at 5:12am

Ayup.  Cuomo's daily pressers have been warning about us fast approaching the threshhold.   

Last week a NYC based designer, Christian Siriano answered Cuomo's call for help.  He has halted production of his fashion line and reallocated  his production staff, some of whom will be working from home, to make face masks and gowns.    I understand a designer in Los Angeles is doing something similar.    

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Newbie1A Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 23 2020 at 8:38pm

"On Sunday, the state's Governor Andrew Cuomo said 15,168 people had tested positive for the virus., an increase of more than 4,000 from the previous day."

Ok, so I think 15% has been thrown around as those needing hosptilization and 3-5% ICU?  

So:  15,168 at 15% in hospital is 2275 beds and 5%of those 2275 needing ICU is 114 (or 5% of total 15,168 is 758 ICU)

If we guess lower and say 10% of total infected need hospital bed, 1,517 3% of those is 46 (or 3% of total is 455 ICU beds) so I have no idea what city has available but guessing they are already feeling the squeeze, and yeah as numbers continue to double faster - it won't take long for them to max out.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote cindylouflu Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 23 2020 at 8:40pm

My heart breaks for the great city of New York.  

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote WitchMisspelled Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 24 2020 at 1:40am

In yesterday's press brief, Cuomo stated we did find some supplies.  Enough to last us another week or so.  After that...?   Feds are not releasing supplies, Cuomo said, because they want to maintain supplies for future outbreaks.  

NY State Dept. of Health hasn't updated their website in two days.  I don't think they have the resources to keep up.  I've read that cases here are doubling every three days.  

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Newbie1A Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 25 2020 at 7:20pm

I thought New York would be the US epicenter, but here is article saying New Orleans???  More then one major hot spot competing to be 'it' - scary...

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/new-orleans-emerges-as-next-coronavirus-epicenter-threatening-rest-of-south/ar-BB11I52U?ocid=spartanntp

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Gdeb View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gdeb Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 25 2020 at 8:23pm

I remember posting something on here back in February, that I was afraid Mardi Gras would spread this in New Orleans....I suspect that was probably a correct assumption (unfortunately ). 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Newbie1A Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 25 2020 at 10:11pm

Originally posted by Gdeb Gdeb wrote:

I remember posting something on here back in February, that I was afraid Mardi Gras would spread this in New Orleans....I suspect that was probably a correct assumption (unfortunately ). 

Now that you mention that, I remember that post!  I remember thinking 'it should be cancelled - what are they thinking', but then didn't think much more of it.  Would love to go see it some day but hopefully in more stable times! So guessing they went ahead with it - then this would explain the explosion...

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