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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

NL R0=2,17 !

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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    Posted: July 13 2021 at 4:44am

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/13/dutch-coronavirus-reproduction-level-reaches-worst-point-since-feb-2020[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/13/dutch-coronavirus-reproduction-level-reaches-worst-point-since-feb-2020

For the first time since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, people in the Netherlands infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus were likely infecting at least two other people. The basic reproduction (R) number has swelled to an estimated 2.17, said Aura Timen of the RIVM. That estimate suggests 100 contagious people infect 217 others, who can in turn give the infection to 471 more individuals.

The new R-number is an estimate for June 30. It has only been higher on February 24, 2020 when the RIVM model put that number at an estimated 2.18, according to the Ministry of Health’s Coronavirus Dashboard. 


The Cabinet released most coronavirus restrictions in the Netherlands on June 26 despite warnings about the highly contagious Delta variant already being present in the country. On June 26 the R-number was modeled to be at about 1.37.

The average number of coronavirus infections revealed daily by the RIVM has risen by 10-fold between June 30 and July 12, when it reached 6,667. Hospitalizations for Covid-19 have shown a slight increase over the past few days, and patient coordination office LCPS warned that more are possible this week particularly if the infection was spread to people not yet fully vaccinated against the disease.


The latest data about the R-number was revealed by Aura Timen during a technical briefing in Parliament about the state of the pandemic in the Netherlands. Timen is the head of the Center for National Coordination of Infectious Disease Control at the RIVM.

She said that the current R-number is of 2.17 includes infections of all variants, including the Alpha variant which was most common in the Netherlands between January and June. The Delta variant is far more contagious, research has shown.

The reproduction of the Delta variant in the Netherlands was factored at 2.52, Timen said. That means that 100 contagious people infect 252 others, who can then spread it to another 635 people when unchecked.

DJ-Within a few hours there will be more info on new cases in NL...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 13 2021 at 5:09am
Opening up the nightlife ('Dancing with Janssen') has led to a large number of super spread events since the end of June. 

Between 6 and 13 July, RIVM counted 137 clusters of 10 or more infections and 63 clusters of more than 20 infections. 

A multi-day festival in Utrecht has led to no fewer than 301 related corona cases. 

On the first day, 178 people were infected, on the second 123. 

A festival in Brabant and a village festival with fair in North Limburg also led to many infections.

In total there were 7 clusters of more than 20 infections that can be linked to a festival or event. 

No fewer than 45 superspread events were linked to catering businesses last week. The number of infections varied from 22 to 152 infections per cluster.

RIVM also has ten clusters that emerged from parties at student associations last week. 

This concerns a maximum of 57 cases per cluster. 

This involves large gatherings with sometimes 500 to 600 students, according to the RIVM. 

One large cluster can be related to a journey. That led to 36 infections. It is unknown what journey it is about.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 13 2021 at 7:27am

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/13/dutch-coronavirus-average-sets-new-9-week-high-hospitalizations-rise-overnight[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/13/dutch-coronavirus-average-sets-new-9-week-high-hospitalizations-rise-overnight

Another 7,888 people were diagnosed with the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus infection, public health agency RIVM said on Tuesday. Hospital admissions for Covid-19 also increased for the second straight day with 18 people admitted into care between Monday and Tuesday afternoon.

Though daily infections have fallen for three straight days, the figure was still five-times what it was a week ago. That pushed the uncorrected seven-day moving average up to 7,472, the highest it has been since May 9. A full epidemiological report for the last week was due from the RIVM at 3 p.m., but there was a short delay to its publication.


Over a thousand residents of Amsterdam tested positive for the third straight day, with that city's moving average now 916, an increase of about 549 percent in a single week.

Groningen had the second most infections reported for the day, with 379, bringing that city's average up to 398. Rotterdam also reported 378 more infections, which set its moving average at 485.

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The surge in coronavirus infections reported since the start of the month will likely lead to 800 more hospital admissions, Kuipers told a Parliament committee meeting on Tuesday. He does not yet believe the overwhelming spike in patients recorded during the third wave will happen.

“But every increase gets in the way of regular care and catch-up care,” he said. The Dutch hospital system and healthcare experts believe it will take between one and two years to catch up on a backlog of delayed surgeries and treatments which were brushed aside to deal with the coronavirus crisis.

Hospitals admitted 18 people for Covid-19 during the 24 hours leading into to Tuesday afternoon, the most since June 26. Two of those patients were sent directly to intensive care.

On average over the past week, hospitals have admitted 13 patients per day, including two ICU patients. A week earlier, hospitals took on about nine Covid-19 patients daily.

DJ To be honest I was expecting a much higher number...may go up later in the week.

Some other NL links;

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2021/07/ministers-ignored-warnings-not-to-relax-corona-rules-too-fast/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2021/07/ministers-ignored-warnings-not-to-relax-corona-rules-too-fast/ ; Disease control experts say the government ignored their warnings not to relax the coronavirus rules too quickly at the end of June, which triggered a new surge in infections. 

Ministers failed to see the flaws in the ‘test for entry’ system used to reopen nightclubs, ensure proper ventilation in venues or consider the impact of the more infectious Delta variant even though all these issues were raised by the Outbreak Management Team (OMT), according to an assessment by the Volkskrant. 

Health minister Hugo de Jonge’s ‘dansen met Janssen’ (dancing with Janssen) slogan, encouraging young people to take the single-shot vaccine made by Johnson & Johnson so they could go out partying sooner, flew in the face of official advice for people to wait two weeks to build up maximum immunity. 

Prime minister Mark Rutte apologised on Monday for the ‘error of judgment’ in dropping nearly all pandemic restrictions on June 26 and for dismissing critical questions at last Friday’s press conference. De Jonge also accepted that the ‘dansen met Janssen’ message had been careless. 

The government has since imposed a two-week wait before people become eligible for vaccine passports. The OMT warned ministers that it was ‘not desirable’ to rely on negative coronavirus tests to reopen venues because of the margin for error, especially with rapid antigen tests, which have a failure rate of around 20%. 

Data analyst Martijn de Riet calculated that more than 1,300 people were likely to have gone into nightclubs in the past two weeks while they were infected, leading to around 30 ‘superspreader events’. His figures were based on the OMT’s own assessment of the ‘test for entry’ system’s reliability.

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Meanwhile, travel companies and insurers said they had been swamped with enquiries in the last week as the rapid rise in infections threatens to turn the Netherlands code red on the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) map. 

Travellers from red zone regions with more than 200 infections per 100,000 people over 14 days, and ‘deep red’ areas with an infection rate of more than 500, can expect to face more restrictions such as testing before travel and quarantining on arrival. 

At the current rate of progress the Netherlands is expected to turn red on Thursday. Marc van Deursen, manager at travel firm Prijsvrij, told the Financieele Dagblad: ‘Everyone who has booked has been calling, and not once, but twice or more.’ He said bookings had slumped since the dramatic rise in infections began last week. ‘We were taking 100% more bookings than in 2019, now it’s maybe down to 10%’.

DJ Some hospitals now had to decide to ask visitors to use masks...The NL government did not take much serious action to undo the damage. Bars now close at midnight-people then party further at home...

[url]https://dutchreview.com/news/8522-new-cases-rutte-makes-amends/[/url] or https://dutchreview.com/news/8522-new-cases-rutte-makes-amends/

"With the chaotic bursts of outbreaks hopefully behind us once again, De Jonge says the government has learned an important lesson. Namely, that “in unfamiliar territory, we often have to err on the side of caution.”

De Jonge also addressed the issues with access tests. He says the system worked well in a controlled environment but once applied in an uncontrolled environment (such as a busy nightclub) they were less than ideal."

DJ In my view NL is in the position the UK soon will be-basicly the pandemic is getting out of control. Hardly any NPI-limited vaccinations while the Delta variant may be 4x more infectious then the early 2020 variant [url]https://twitter.com/DrEricDing[/url] or https://twitter.com/DrEricDing 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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