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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

"No-news-nonsense"

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Joined: May 01 2013
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    Posted: September 01 2023 at 2:37am

[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/08/no-news-is-now-commonplace.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/08/no-news-is-now-commonplace.html ;

As we approach the fall respiratory season in the Northern Hemisphere, more than 90% of the world's countries no longer regularly report COVID hospitalizations, ICU admissions, or deaths to the World Health Organization.  

The map above, from this week's WHO epidemiological report, shows the entire Western Hemisphere as a blank slate, with no updates provided since early August.  But even those few countries that have reported data have greatly reduced their testing and surveillance. 

 While presenting the available data, the WHO warns:

As countries discontinue COVID-19-specific reporting and integrate respiratory disease surveillance, WHO will use all available sources to continue monitoring the COVID-19 epidemiological situation, especially data on impact. COVID-19 remains a major threat and WHO urges Member States to maintain, not dismantle, their established COVID-19 infrastructure. It is crucial to sustain early warning, surveillance and reporting, variant tracking, early clinical care provision, administration of vaccine boosters to high-risk groups, improvements in ventilation, and regular communication.


Currently, reported cases do not accurately represent infection rates due to the reduction in testing and reporting globally. During this 28-day period, 44% (103 of 234) of countries reported at least one case to WHO – a proportion that has been declining since mid-2022. It is important to note that this statistic does not reflect the actual number of countries where cases exist.

Data is so sparse that the WHO now reports (see table below) data based on the combined past two 28-day monitoring periods, instead of the standard past 28 days alone

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Among the roughly 8% of countries that are consistently reporting to the WHO, a significant portion (35%) are seeing an increase in ICU admissions. 



Among the 17 countries consistently reporting new ICU admissions to WHO, six (35%) countries showed an increase of 20% or greater in new ICU admissions during the past 28 days compared to the previous 28-day period: Ireland (16 vs six; +167%), Malta (seven vs four; +75%), Singapore (10 vs six; +67%), Latvia (five vs three; +67%), Greece (27 vs 17; +59%), and Netherlands (12 vs 10; +20%). The highest numbers of new ICU admissions were reported from Brazil (375 vs 627; -40%), Australia (82 vs 148; -45%), and Italy (57 vs 61; -7%).


But based on the increasingly inconsistent, and flimsy global reporting, it is impossible to say whether  that represents a genuine trend, or simply a blip in the data.  

I'm seeing anecdotal reports on social media (and in the press, such as this one today from Serbia) of increased hospital admissions for COVID in a few places around the globe, but without good data it is impossible to put it into any reasonable context.

The political decision to declare victory, and dismantle COVID surveillance and reporting (primarily to improve the global economy), only works as long as COVID cooperates. 

On the plus side, with surveillance like this, we will have far less time to worry about the next wave. 

DJ...it is almost a miracle so far the over 30 BA.2.86 cases have been detected...Or is BA.2.86 already such a big problem it can not be ignored....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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US, NYS: Highest Covid-19 positivity rate since January 2022 Another brutal side effect of "Don't ask, don't tell" Covid-19 policies. https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/positive-tests-over-time-region-and-county

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Scotland: Covid wastewater reading has gone "through the roof"
Stuart David

@StuartDavi72115
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The wastewater reading has gone through the roof in Scotland. This seems alarming. And it’s from three weeks ago. The most recent comparison we have is July 7th. Explosive growth. #covidisnotover #maskup

DJ...information is ESSENTIAL !!!! If governments fail to inform citizens on growing health risks [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/08/eurosurveillance-asymptomatic-infection.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/08/eurosurveillance-asymptomatic-infection.html they increase those risks....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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KiwiMum View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 01 2023 at 1:21pm

For the overwhelming majority of people, Covid is no more than a seasonal cold and so I can't see any point in wasting money reporting the numbers. We don't report on the number of people with a cold, or even flu, so why bother with Covid?

Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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