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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

pandemic breakfast

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 30 2022 at 10:28pm

DJ, 

There is an overload of "news", I try to follow several stories (pandemix, wars, climate)...

So just a short selection with a focus on health...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952978-ba-2-sublineage-with-s-k147e-w152r-f157l-i210v-g257s-d339h-g446s-n460k-r493q-73-seq-as-of-2022-06-29-mainly-india-github[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952978-ba-2-sublineage-with-s-k147e-w152r-f157l-i210v-g257s-d339h-g446s-n460k-r493q-73-seq-as-of-2022-06-29-mainly-india-github ;

BA.2 sublineage with S:K147E, W152R, F157L, I210V, G257S, D339H, G446S, N460K, R493Q (73 seq as of 2022-06-29, mainly India) - GitHub


Jun 21, 2022

silcn opened this issue. 23 comments


Proposal for a sublineage of BA.2
Earliest sequence: 2022-06-02 (India)
Countries detected: India (5 seq, from 3 states)

Defining mutations:
S:K147E, W152R, F157L, I210V, G257S, D339H (mutated from G339D), G446S, N460K, R493Q (reversion)
ORF1a:S1221L, P1640S, N4060S
ORF1b:G662S
E:T11A

Don't think much needs to be said to explain why I'm proposing this. Very recent, long branch with 9 new spike mutations, detection in multiple states that aren't all close together (Maharashtra, Karnataka, Jammu and Kashmir). I expect quite a few people have been monitoring it

... We've added lineage BA.2.75 with 3 newly designated sequences. Defining mutation(s) A22001G (S:K147E), T22016C (S:W152R).

... Among the 20 new BA.2.75 uploads from Maharashtra today is an apparent outlier sequence, EPI_ISL_13502528, which has S:147E, 210V, 257S, 339H, 493Q and ORF1a:1221L but is missing the other defining mutations and instead has some more of its own (none in Spike though). It is classified as BA.2 rather than BA.2.75 by Usher. If this spreads then it could potentially deserve a separate designation

https://github.com/cov-lineages/pang...ion/issues/773

DJ, june 21..short look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ global cases +17% as far as there is still some testing/reporting...deaths +2%. India cases +13%, deaths +35%...[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/812[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/812

Inspired by #806 I'm to propose another BA.2 sublineage with Spike Y248 change.

It is a sub-branch of an undesignated BA.2 branch with Spike N450D and Nuc C16887T, predominantly found in the US.

DJ, BA.5/BA.5.1 may be increasing...it does not stop BA.2 subvariants....

Again-I am NOT an expert...calling all new variants "Omicron" is a form of denial...BA.2 and BA.5 are "different animals" most likely can spread BOTH !!! The idea of one new variant getting that dominant it pushes aside all previous variants is "very optimistic"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952977-coronavirus-and-paramyxovirus-shedding-by-bats-in-a-cave-and-buildings-in-ethiopia-pubmed-gov[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952977-coronavirus-and-paramyxovirus-shedding-by-bats-in-a-cave-and-buildings-in-ethiopia-pubmed-gov ; Between 2016 and 2018, four species of insectivorous bats from a readily accessed roadside cave and buildings in Ethiopia were sampled and tested for viruses using consensus PCR assays for five viral families/genera. 

Previously identified and novel coronaviruses and paramyxoviruses were identified in 99 of the 589 sampled bats. 

Bats sampled from the cave site were more likely to test positive for a CoV than bats sampled from buildings; viral shedding was more common in the wet season; and rectal swabs were the most common sample type to test positive.

 A previously undescribed alphacoronavirus was detected in two bat species from different taxonomic families, sampling interfaces, geographic locations, and years. 

These findings expand knowledge of the range and diversity of coronaviruses and paramyxoviruses in insectivorous bats in Ethiopia and reinforce that an improved understanding of viral diversity and species-specific shedding dynamics is important for designing informed zoonotic disease surveillance and spillover risk reduction efforts.

https://link.springer.com/article/10...93-022-01590-y

DJ, So how large is the chance of another MERS/SARS-3 corona virus outbreak ? (I do not rule out "lab-leaks" but you do not need lab-leaks to see a pandemic...Lab-leak stories are "the easy way out"...blame some country - problem fixed...I think that is not very realistic...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/denmark/denmark-covid-cases-up-27-in-one-week-hospitalizations-up-by-45/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/denmark/denmark-covid-cases-up-27-in-one-week-hospitalizations-up-by-45/

New COVID-19 cases increased by 27%, hospitalizations increased by 45%, and the incidence has risen to 178 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. BA.5 variant is at approximately 70% of sequences.

The number of hospitalizations has increased by 45% in week 25 and patients in age groups 70-89 years constitute the largest groups among the hospitalized. Meanwhile, the proportion of patients admitted because of COVID-19 has increased further to 60% in week 23.

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/germany/germany-covid-cases-up-by-38-in-one-week/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/germany/germany-covid-cases-up-by-38-in-one-week/

The nationwide 7-day incidence increased in week 25 compared to the previous week by almost 155,000 cases (+38%). The proportion of the omicron subvariant BA.5 was almost 66% in week 24.

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/tigers/usa-14-year-old-tiger-dies-of-covid-19-in-ohio-zoo/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/tigers/usa-14-year-old-tiger-dies-of-covid-19-in-ohio-zoo/

“We are sad to report that 14-year-old Amur tiger, Jupiter, passed away on Sunday, June 26, 2022, after developing pneumonia caused by the COVID-19 virus.”

Jupiter had been on long term treatment for chronic underlying illnesses, which made him more susceptible to this virus. Jupiter is the first animal at the Columbus Zoo to succumb to COVID-19.

On Wednesday, June 22, Jupiter was reported by his care team to be acting ill. (He was not interested in eating, and was reluctant to stand, move or interact with keepers.) When this continued into the next day, Jupiter was anesthetized for examination and treatment.

Initial exams suggested an infection, and treatment was started. Unfortunately, Jupiter did not improve with this treatment and remained reluctant to move and eat. The following day, he was given additional treatments and had more diagnostic testing. Although he appeared stable, Jupiter passed away overnight.

As a precautionary measure, we are requiring staff working with cats, great apes and mustelids (i.e., otters, wolverines) to wear masks when within six feet of these animals. These animals are more susceptible to contracting COVID-19.

DJ related to the tiger story [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/usa-covid-vaccine-breakthrough-in-three-tigers/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/usa-covid-vaccine-breakthrough-in-three-tigers/ the tiger that died was vaccinated...Not clear what variant was detected in the tiger...

Again stories like [url]https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/top-ny-doctor-new-covid-wave-is-starting-with-the-worst-version-of-omicron/3752858/[/url] or https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/top-ny-doctor-new-covid-wave-is-starting-with-the-worst-version-of-omicron/3752858/The BA.5 subvariant, first seen in South Africa and then Portugal, is considered by some experts to be the "worst version" of omicron seen yet, given its apparent capacity to escape prior immunity and transmit more readily.

is incorrect in many ways;

-"worst version" so far...

-There are lots of BA.5 subvariants by now...

-BA.2 subvariants are also "a major problem"

-Most likely several variants are now spreading at the same time..

-"Omicron" is a "political name" BA.2 and BA.5 are like rhino's and elephants-that different (but "Omicron" "would end the pandemic")

-BA.5 has been spreading in the US for several weeks..(so not "starting")

to describe the total failure of "main stream media" in getting even the basics of this pandemic...

(DJ-I am not that clever, but at least I try to think...do most "journalists" simply copy any pressrelease...?)

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 42.18% BA.2.12.1**, 25.49% BA.5^^, 12.44% BA.4^^, 7.05% BA.2, 5.04% BA.5.1^^, 3.79% unassigned and 0.86% BA.2.9 **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 6/30/22

DJ "the start" of BA.5 in the US ! Science has been following BA.5 increase for weeks...MSM still see it as "a start"...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/australia-covid-19-news:-country-facing-a-sars-cov-2-crisis-while-health-authorities-and-mainstream-media-are-downplaying-or-concealing-real-situation[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/australia-covid-19-news:-country-facing-a-sars-cov-2-crisis-while-health-authorities-and-mainstream-media-are-downplaying-or-concealing-real-situation 

Of course "politics"/"government" has a job in securing public health...if they fail the idea was "free press" would correct that...But maybe that is just an "old idea".....

From NL [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/28/covid-hospital-patient-total-jumps-17-percent-new-infections-rise-29-percent[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/28/covid-hospital-patient-total-jumps-17-percent-new-infections-rise-29-percent 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/29/many-healthcare-workers-never-got-covid-booster-shots[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/29/many-healthcare-workers-never-got-covid-booster-shots 

"learning the hard way"...

Coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 30 2022 at 10:53pm

part 2, 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwQp3Yc82ak[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwQp3Yc82ak

BREAKING! COVID rates approaching highest ever recorded

ZOE tracker-app/Tim Spector;Tim's back a week early with a special update on the recent skyrocketing COVID rates, many of these down to reinfections.

DJ [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time 

In short;

-cases in agegroup 0-17 going up fastest

-Scotland highest increase (over 1 in 20 may have CoViD !)

-Hospitalcases going up

-ONS (Office of National Statistics) numbers going same direction

(as a reminder; bojo stopped funding ZOE; If I am correct the people behind it now pay for it themselves...)

DJ-I do not agree with the picture of BA.5 pushing out BA.2...I think we may see co-spreading..Reinfection cases going up could "simply" be co-infection with several CoViD variants/recombinations....????

In "official statistics" UK, US, NL, Spain see "slow increase", France, Germany etc. see cases going up much faster...But these numbers are based on (lack of) testing...And if testing is "poor" forget about sequencing giving a realistic picture (I am not going to start on spread in animals...very unwelcome...so rather not tested...). 

dr.john campbell did watch Tim Spector [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6JDX2ULPPA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6JDX2ULPPA (I am not a fan of dr.j.c. I think he is downplaying the crisis).

Of course if lots of health care workers get infected/get long CoViD one should expect health care to collapse...

DJ-As far as I understand still a lot of people doing their best in sharing info via ZOE...IF a larger number of people would have given up the UK cases could be at record level allready...Since most governments do nothing to stop the spread-lots of festivals are planned-cases will further increase...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-forget-about-airborne-transmissions,-university-of-edinburgh-study-shows-that-sars-cov-2-can-even-be-transmitted-by-winds[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-forget-about-airborne-transmissions,-university-of-edinburgh-study-shows-that-sars-cov-2-can-even-be-transmitted-by-winds DJ-We knew it was airborne...but with new variants being even more infectious the problem only is getting worse...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/pride-month-2022-ends-with-gays-bisexuals-spreading-the-monkeypox-virus-to-the-vulnerable-in-the-general-population,-creating-an-emergency-global-heal[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/pride-month-2022-ends-with-gays-bisexuals-spreading-the-monkeypox-virus-to-the-vulnerable-in-the-general-population,-creating-an-emergency-global-heal th crisis!

DJ-I think a lot of the spread still may be in the gay/bi-male community - resulting in further mutations...But soon most of the spread will have no further relation with gay/bi-men...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/950807-discussion-genetics-monkeypox-virus-has-managed-50-years-worth-of-mutations-in-only-4-years-how[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/950807-discussion-genetics-monkeypox-virus-has-managed-50-years-worth-of-mutations-in-only-4-years-how ;

1 day ago
By Ben Turner

The virus is mutating up to 12 times faster than expected.

... As a large double-stranded DNA virus, monkeypox is much more able to correct replication errors than an RNA virus such as HIV, meaning that the current monkeypox strain should have really only accumulated a handful of mutations since it first started circulating in 2018. But, after collecting DNA from 15 monkeypox viral samples and reconstructing their genetic information, the researchers found that the real mutation rate was six to 12 times higher than they expected.

The massive jump in the monkey virus's rate of mutation "is far more than one would expect considering previous estimates of the substitution rate for Orthopoxviruses," the researchers wrote in the paper. "Our data reveals additional clues of ongoing viral evolution and potential human adaptation."

Historically, monkeypox is transmitted from person to person by close skin contact with open skin lesions, bodily fluids, contaminated material or respiratory droplets coughed into the air. But the unprecedented speed of new infections could suggest that something may have changed about how the virus infects its hosts — and the new mutations could be a possible cause.

Many of the mutations identified by the researchers also carry telltale clues that they may have emerged due to the virus's contact with the human immune system, specifically a family of the virus-fighting enzymes called APOBEC3. These enzymes attack viruses by forcing them to make mistakes when they copy their genetic code, an act which usually causes the virus to break apart.

https://www.livescience.com/monkeypox-mutating-fast

DJ I try to understand the possible link between (post) CoViD (immunity problems)  and monkeypox behaving this strange...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory cases now over 6,000 with major failures in both testing and reporting....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/935609-discussion-thread-vii-covid-19-endemic-stage?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/935609-discussion-thread-vii-covid-19-endemic-stage?view=stream ;

gsgs
gsgs replied
we must all prepare to go like China, when a severe pandemic comes.
Make the necessary laws and preparations now.
It's important.
But unpopular ...

and

sharon sanders
rant -

I am really tired of philosophy looking for some evidence instead of evidence leading the way.

Lately there is the meme that children do not get COVID-19. This is ridiculous. Of course they do. They tend to have light cases and represent approximately .00125% of all COVID-19 deaths in the US at 1,267 deaths as of June 2, 2022. link

The reason this meme is so popular is that it supports the idea that children do not need COVID-19 vaccines. i.e. forced mandates on children.

These are two different topics: the infectious rate among children, the forced vaccination of anyone.

Do not conflate these two topics. The minute I hear an expert claim children do not get COVID-19, I turn off. It is clear they have an agenda and not interested in basic biology and virology.

Even the W.H.O. says people should not be forced to take medicines against their will. Parents have the right to decide for their underage children. Schools have the right to make their own rules. If a parent does not want to get a particular vaccine for their child to attend a school that requires it, then they can home school or find a school that accepts unvaccinated children.

Also, irritating are the claims that new vaccines are safe. Well...until vaccines are distributed on a mass scale, no one knows for sure. Tiny trials are no match against the knowledge gained from mass innoculations. The rhetoric should be "The vaccine is new but in small trials it appears to be safe and effective. We won't know for sure until many thousands of doses are given over a longer period of time." Also, ALL vaccine data should be released BEFORE the mass distributions are made. wth. No wonder "conspiracy" theories about the vaccines abound. It is sorta "shut up and take this vaccine" type of climate - which only feeds the anti-vaccine industry more.

In the end you have to consider all of the data. Read extensively. Poll your friends and family. Contact your medical practitioner. Use your common sense.

rant over.


Take care of you. No one else is going to do it.
Last edited by sharon sandersJune 29, 2022, 01:09 PM.

DJ; Again-in this pandemic we see a lot of "solutions" of the kind we also see in the climate collapse discussion...I would love to see children do not get (serious/long) CoViD...maybe they have a bit better perspective then old(er) people...but lots of children die of (post)CoViD (MIS-c)...I would love the idea that vaccines are safe and would end the pandemic...but if the "strategy" is "get the vaccine" and that is it the strategy is calling for a disaster/vaccine evasion....

DJ; In the climate discussion "some" claim we may face a climate collapse within 10-15 years...from foodshortages, waterproblems to heat exhaustion...I hope they are wrong-we may have some more time...But recent steps; increasing coal-energy, stopping climate rules do not leave much room for lots of hope...

In this pandemic discussion I would like to see an "exit strategy"...but there seems to be not such a strategy-or even a basic idea that we need one...

War; [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/06/no-nato-will-not-get-ready-for-war.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/06/no-nato-will-not-get-ready-for-war.html all of a sudden lots of military "would form a rapid response NATO force"...maybe someone should inform them...creative bookkeeping insanity...

[url]http://thesaker.is/youre-either-with-us-or-youre-a-systemic-challenge/[/url] or http://thesaker.is/youre-either-with-us-or-youre-a-systemic-challenge/ ;

Illiberal Western liberalism

Over 4 months after the start of Operation Z, zombified Western public opinion completely forgot – or willfully ignores – that Moscow spent the last stretch of 2021 demanding a serious discussion on legally binding security guarantees from Washington, with an emphasis on no more NATO eastward expansion and a return to the 1997 status quo.

Diplomacy did fail, as Washington emitted a non-response response. President Putin had stressed the follow-up would be a “military technical” response (that turned out to be Operation Z) even as the Americans warned that would trigger massive sanctions.

Contrary to Divide and Rule wishful thinking, what happened after February 24 only solidified the synergistic Russia-China strategic partnership – and their expanded circle, especially in the context of BRICS and the SCO. As Sergey Karaganov, head of Russia’s Council on Foreign and Defense Policy noted earlier this year, “China is our strategic cushion (…) We know that in any difficult situation, we can lean on it for military, political and economic support.”

DJ, The west gambled "lifting restrictions" would end up in herd immunity for CoViD-against science...The west gambled "sanctions" could enable NATO expansionism...

The west is ruled by gambling....and they make the wrong gamble each time...ignoring science...buying time with fiat-currencies and plain lies....

end of part 2


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 01 2022 at 9:27pm

good morning all (okay the few still following this forum...okay...I am akmost alone still active here...still; morning !)

DJ, 

War;

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-lisichansk-now-completely-surrounded[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-lisichansk-now-completely-surrounded ;

Let me state the difference in another way. Total U.S. killed in action in World War II in both the European, North African and Pacific Theaters totaled 472,000. The Russians lost more troops in four separate battles than the United States lost in the entire war.”

The Russian people did not fight because Stalin had a gun pointed at their back. They rallied in a remarkable way against the Nazi invasion. Most military analysts at the time predicted the Soviet Union would collapse under the weight of the Nazi steamroller. The Russian people defied those expectations and rallied to defeat the best of the German armies.

The horrific death toll touched almost every family in Russia. That is why the Russians still remember and commemorate that sacrifice every May. It has nothing to do with communism. World War II scarred the Russians to the bone. That is the primary reason that Vladimir Putin enjoys widespread public support in taking on the threat from Ukraine. Ukraine has been a de facto NATO ally since 2014.

The United States and NATO are grossly mistaken if they believe that flexing military muscle by deploying troops on Russia’s borders will cow the Russian people. This perceived threat goes beyond Putin. It is something most Russians see and fear. My hope is that once the American people appreciate the legitimate paranoia of the Russians, they will reject calls to treat Russia as an intractable enemy.

DJ, I totally disagree with lots of HT right wing extremist ideas...but if his suggestion in the NATO-Russia war is "diplomacy works better-for all" I only can agree....[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-adds-wheat-to-rubles-only-payment[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-adds-wheat-to-rubles-only-payment DJ-In my opinion a country can offer its products at the price, currency etc. they choose...others can decide what price-and what currency-they want to use...

Turkey, India try to support their own currencies-Russia willing to accept that...part of increasing trade with India, Turkey taking over "bussiness oppertunities" the "west" dropped...

DJ-Let me jump from "war" to "pandemic";

Sanctions did make Russia stronger-not weaker...vaccines did cause immunity escape in CoViD now resulting in immunity problems and lots of other diseases ?????

It is a question...Again I am NOT !!!! an expert at all !!!!

My (primitive) idea on infectious diseases is "STOP THE SPREAD !!!!"....vaccines did not stop CoViD spreading....Governments went for "freedom"  unwilling to even consider the science warning it would most be "freedom for disease spread".....

So [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time has CoViD in the UK moving to record high levels...not there yet-but with lots of activities, festivals, travel, nothing is stopping it...

-I am trying to keep an eye on [url]https://twitter.com/PeacockFlu/status/1542501382678147072[/url] or https://twitter.com/PeacockFlu/status/1542501382678147072 ;

Surveillence minded folks - worth keeping a close eye on BA.2.75 - lots of spike mutations, probable second generation variant, apparent rapid growth and wide geographical spread...

Spike mutation-wise its got normal BA.2 mutations + K147E, W152R, F157L, I210V, G257S, G339H, G446S, N460K and reversion of R493Q - none of these individually really flag as that worrying but all appearing together at once is another matter...

...and an old thread on 'what second generation variants are' here - didnt really talk about this at the time but theres now a growing consensus that these could be arising from chronic infections

The general idea -wrong I believe- there is "a dominant variant"...of course when you agree with "Omicron" is dominant my answer is "Omicron did become another name for CoViD"....BA.1, BA.2, BA.4 and BA.5 are "different" variants of concern...If you do not want to go for "new names" (WHO decides on that ?)  maybe "Omicron-I, Omicron-II, Omicron-III and Omicron-IV ? (BA.3 is a recombination of BA.1 and BA.2...other recombination may have limited spread-still may produce mutations that go their own way...). 

So-my NON EXPERT !!! view-is we have several major variants of CoViD spreading...they will keep co-circulating...possibly lots of people catching more then one (sub)variant in a short while...Do tests detect such an event ? Do sewage/stool samples give indications in that direction ????

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 42.18% BA.2.12.1**, 25.49% BA.5^^, 12.44% BA.4^^, 7.05% BA.2, 5.04% BA.5.1^^, 3.79% unassigned and 0.86% BA.2.9 **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 6/30/22

DJ, US has 30,6% of sequences being BA.5 and BA.5.1...most detected/sequenced US cases still BA.2.12.1 the "new"BA2.75 may be still at low level in the US...

But the most detected variant is not on its way out...it is mutating...could be in "hosts" organs...Indications are in autopsies from people that die (indirect from CoViD often) "older" variants are found in organs...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/omicron-ba-2-75-a-potential-successor-to-ba-5/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/omicron-ba-2-75-a-potential-successor-to-ba-5/

There’s another Covid storm looming on the horizon as a new subvariant of Omicron BA.2 appears to be carrying mutations that make it even fitter than BA.5.

The subvariant has very few sequences so far, just 73 were listed on Gisaid at the time of writing, but it has already caught the attention of several leading SARS-CoV-2 investigators, so it’s worth noting.

It looks like BA.2.75 may have the potential to be the driving force for the next SARS-CoV-2 winter wave.

DJ, NO !! Not a "successor" much more another leaf on the ever growing "CoViD tree"...[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-the-ba-5-variant-is-leading-a-global-surge-and-be-warned-its-not-going-to-be-mild[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-the-ba-5-variant-is-leading-a-global-surge-and-be-warned-its-not-going-to-be-mild ....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-india-that-spawned-the-deadly-sars-cov-2-delta-variant-does-it-again-with-a-new-more-transmissible-and-lethal-variant-ba-2-75[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-india-that-spawned-the-deadly-sars-cov-2-delta-variant-does-it-again-with-a-new-more-transmissible-and-lethal-variant-ba-2-75 

DJ-Replace BA.5 with "lion" and BA.2.75 with "tiger"...will "lions replace tigers" ? NO !!! They co-exist ! (But in CoViD variants "animals" only last a few generations before they mutate-away-sort of "transformers"). 

-So "where are we now" ? 

At the moment we are NOT stopping much of the spread...liars promote "herd immunity"...when there is not such a thing...it is NOT a flu !!!!

"Zero CoViD", "STOP THE SPREAD¨ !!!! in my (again non-expert !!!) opinion is the ONLY way out....Of course new (nasal) vaccines, (better) anti virals also are "welcome" and may have some use (in a.o keeping healthcare workers, police etc. going)...

I have been promoting a "long term sort of lockdown" for years...still believe that (very old) strategy is the only one making enough sense...Putting profit/greed above public health is criminal and "short sighted"....

We need "social reforms" in many ways...But it looks like this pandemic is going like "climate change"; "live with it" so a few can make a profit...while it is destroying live on the longer term...

To avoid "social uprising" against this political crimes our "leaders" started yet another war...Bringing "freedom and democrazy" to Russian oil and gas...

Disgusting...

Coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tabitha111 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 02 2022 at 4:51am

Josh- Your "pandemic breakfast" is part of my morning routine with a cup of coffee. Thanks for keeping us updated.

'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
--Confucius

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 02 2022 at 10:13pm

Tabitha111 - you are very welcome !

Breakfast - not only coffee but also some crackers with chocolate sprinkles...an orange..In a way coffee and chocolate as a reminder of a colonial past...Oranges-EU-from Spain...I often buy oranges in a German chain supermarket (Lidl) - but just over the border oranges may be even 1 € cheaper in German stores....

War & pandemics...in history often mix...

Military summary [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2CPyLQV4u0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2CPyLQV4u0 describing the war in Ukraine...How Russian strategy work like scissors cutting up Ukraine step-by-step...totally different then we did see in the many western wars...Russia now using "super flame throwers" to limit urban fighting in strongholds...

War is about the worst of humankind...Maybe denial of how horrorble it is is even worse....

[url]https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam[/url] or https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam is focussing on monkeypox...Of course it is a major story-would be headline news in other times- but I think CoViD itself needs much more attention...








This woman’s story is painful to listen to. Multiple doctors completely unfamiliar with monkeypox, sent in circles for 5 days, unable to convince anyone to test her… Why haven’t clinicians been instructed to swab *every* pustule, vesicles and ulcer by the CDC/PHAC/UKHSA/etc?

Of course "less testing=less cases" is a "smaller problem"....

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/police-break-doctors-protest-parliament-cabinet-looking-work-pressure-solutions[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/police-break-doctors-protest-parliament-cabinet-looking-work-pressure-solutions 

and 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/cabinet-ignoring-safety-boards-covid-advice-chairman-says[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/cabinet-ignoring-safety-boards-covid-advice-chairman-says 

indicating lots of countries facing politics simply denying/ignoring problems...Kicking the can down the road has made democracy into democrazy...Silencing opposition is the next step....

Replying to   and 
So is it more important to spotlight misinformation spreading that indicates reinfections are very harmful or go after misinformation indicating reinfections are very unlikely and generally harmless? I think in terms of problematic behavior and policy its the latter.

DJ Sharing info is why I think this forum (and others) have value...And yes ! I "only share my opinion" - I do not claim to be an "expert" ! 

AI sharing links on vaccines not being safe has its value as well - My view on this pandemic is "profit above public health"; neo-liberal "privatize everything" from wars to pandemics....insane !

But it is just my opinion - nothing more !

These infections will inevitably add to the toll of long Covid cases. According to ONS, the supposedly “mild” waves of Omicron in 2022 have brought more than 619,000 long Covid cases into the clinical caseload, promising an enduring and miserable legacy from this latest phase.

"L.C." Long CoViD most likely can mean several things;

-The virus still hiding in the body, causing trouble over and over again

-even enable new CoViD variants on top of the old-resulting in more variants

-but also CoViD inflamation does do damage all over the body; can be detected if tested...

-but often may be a combination of smaller -harder to detect- problems

-CoViD weakening immunity-leaving the "host" more vulnerable for other diseases (wonder how flu will work out in the south part of the globe-it is winter there now...)

Would 2 billion human CoViD cases so far be a realistic number ? I mean 2 billion humans-often being infected more then once ? Or is it even higher-more cases only with mild or no symptoms...? And then "case fatality ratio" CFR would be "low"...the problems are in Long CoViD and catching CoViD over and over again...

"Group immunity" an illusion-CoViD in that way so much worse then the flu ....? 

End of part 1 -coffee-

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 02 2022 at 10:42pm

Part 2

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/danish-neurological-study-shows-that-compared-to-influenza-or-bacterial-pneumonia,-covid-19-infections-lead-to-higher-risk-of-ischemic-strokes[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/danish-neurological-study-shows-that-compared-to-influenza-or-bacterial-pneumonia,-covid-19-infections-lead-to-higher-risk-of-ischemic-strokes  people die -often- not direct from CoViD itself but the damage it did in organs...brain, lungs, hearth...maybe a combination...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/italy-lung-function-impaired-by-ba-5-infection/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/italy-lung-function-impaired-by-ba-5-infection/ ;

Subjects hospitalized for Omicron BA.5 showed an altered endothelial function three months after the acute phase with an impairment of lung function.

This is what emerges from a study conducted by the Day Hospital unit of the Agostino Gemelli University Polyclinic Foundation in Rome on 658 patients, observing a direct correlation between the increased risk of endothelial dysfunction and the severity of the infection.

The research was presented at the International Conference on Cachexia, Sarcopenia and Muscle Loss, held June 24-26 in Lisbon.

The endothelium, tissue of cells that line the internal walls of the heart and vessels, modulates platelet aggregation, coagulation processes, contributes to innate immunity, reduces inflammation, regulates vascular resistance, protects by antioxidants from the effect harmful to oxygen free radicals, it is therefore essential to preserve and improve its function.

The results of an experiment conducted by the Day Hospital unit of the Gemelli Polyclinic in Rome were also presented: it was possible to evaluate the effects of L-arginine and liposomal vitamin C supplementation on functional parameters in adult subjects with long covid. It significantly improves walking performance, muscle strength and reduces the feeling of asthenia or fatigue.

ANSA.it article (in Italian)

DJ always welcome to see/read supplements can help...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/herd-immunity/covid-19-wheres-the-herd-immunity/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/herd-immunity/covid-19-wheres-the-herd-immunity/

“Contrary to the myth that we are sliding into a comfortable evolutionary relationship with a common-cold-like, friendly virus, this is more like being trapped on a rollercoaster in a horror film.”

“There’s nothing cold-like or friendly about a large part of the workforce needing significant absences from work, feeling awful and sometimes getting reinfected over and over again, just weeks apart. And that’s before the risk of long Covid.”

Danny Altmann, professor of immunology at Imperial College London, in a must-read article in The Guardian today

UK planning for #coronavirus was completely skewed by the UK's obsession with Herd Immunity. As we said on March 15th: "Herd Immunity is just a fancy phrase for genocide. Britain will be hit even harder than Italy because of it."

DJ Thai Medical News calling CoViD  "airborne HIV" Corona Heads Up going for "genocide by pandemic"....Even main stream media limit their lies....








GALT assault, is what I describe it as. Same as in HIV. Viral persistence leads to loss of intestinal barrier function, microbial translocation occurs and a pro inflammatory response causes constant immune activation.

and

Replying to  and 
Not impossible as BA.2.75 combines a higher immune escape than BA.5 (which was already at the highest rank), but also a Spike mutation that compensates for the â†˜ï¸ ACE2 affinity induced by antigenic shifts ! ðŸ¤·â€â™‚︠The bug has found the "sweet spot" combination

and

[url]https://twitter.com/DGBassani/status/1542991378073935877/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/DGBassani/status/1542991378073935877/photo/1 ;

Nicer plots of the terrible situation we've put ourselves into. First a bird's eye view of how the frequency of substitution is increasing in Canada. This is empirical data showing variant substitution. It was a drawing back in April, see quoted tweet.  


Image
Quote Tweet







Diego Bassani, PhD

@DGBassani
 · 


Image
Replying to @DGBassani @YoniFreedhoff and @GosiaGasperoPhD
Made a drawing. This is what we're dealing with.

14

252

511


DJ, Each wave closer/shorter then the earlier but increasing speed...

What worries me w/ this wave is that hospitalization & severe cases may be rising faster than the BA.1.x or BA.2 wave. Haven't had a chance to look at the data carefully, but that's my impression so far. I hope I'm wrong about that.

and










During the 20th century, the children (both infant & youth) mortality rate dropped by 9/10. Imagine that, 9/10! Yet, there are still people fantasizing about the good old days when we didn't know/think about pathogens, so natural selection decided on who's going to live or die.

-

Nonsense. Below is the whole of human history. The 20th is the only century where science prevailed & humans took control of their destiny (to fight pathogens of any kind) instead of leaving it up to natural selection or God. The 21st is back to the 19th. https://twitter.com/KawasakiKR11/status/1543227824483405830?t=suYIZkUMznI9RzAPv_MnPA&s=19

DJ, I am "only trying to make some sense"; why 2003-SARS-1 was limited (and no lab-leak stories)...MERS was limited-still around-could be a problem...

I think "neo-liberalism" -politics- failing to "fight for public health" dealing with the increase of crises as "a for profit oppertunity"...

DJ-On a "political scale" I am "left wing" - but problems NOT being solved should not be a "right wing/left wing"discussion....hyperinflation, healthcare collapse, climate crises do not care for "political views of "us" ...they need solutions...

Let me end with music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqaaRZoE1is[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqaaRZoE1is Lee Hazlewood went to Sweden in 1970..there is a movie on You Tube of it as well - but I like this song; "I can sail without the wind" or in Swedish; Vem kan segla förutan vind (I Can Sail Without the Wind) · Lee Hazlewood · Nina Lizell

DJ- "The darkest hour is just before dawn" love those lines ! 

Stay safe & sane !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tabitha111 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 03 2022 at 6:11am

I remember how fascinated I was by the chocolate sprinkles on my toast when I was a child and my parent's took me to the Netherlands. My father was US Air Force stationed at Ramstein Germany at the time and I was just 5 years old...but still remember this!
We have Lidl and Aldi in the US by the way, great supermarkets! I esp. love Aldi and it is right down the street from where I live.

Have a good weekend!

'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
--Confucius

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Tabitha111, hope you had a good weekend-happy july-4 ! [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_4[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_4 (historical events on july 4)


Chocolate sprinkles are part of being Dutch...just like "drop en stroopwafels" licorace and syrup waffle...but Dutch dairy products cheese go all over the world-now part of a problem. [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/03/logistics-companies-warn-delay-due-farmers-protest[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/03/logistics-companies-warn-delay-due-farmers-protest 

NL #6 in global food supply, #2 in agri-culture export (most of that flowers)...comes at a cost...From chronic Q-fever at record level to a CoViD explosion on minkfarms-resulting in the end of NL mink farms...Birdflu at very high level (even a veterinarian died from H7N7-the only human killed by it as far as is known [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H7N7[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H7N7  )

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_Bovenkarspel_legionellosis_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_Bovenkarspel_legionellosis_outbreak a deathly flowershow...

News;

[url]https://www.thelocal.dk/20220703/update-shooting-in-copenhagen-mall-leaves-several-victims-danish-police-say/[/url] or https://www.thelocal.dk/20220703/update-shooting-in-copenhagen-mall-leaves-several-victims-danish-police-say/ so far 3 people reported killed...(Denmark shopping center shooting...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Copenhagen_mall_shooting[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Copenhagen_mall_shooting 

The Denmark story in part also tells something on "how news is spread" , sources...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A71vL3UBqCw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A71vL3UBqCw Military Summary trying to make sense of the story on Ukraine now using also another "western" map [url]https://www.understandingwar.org/map-room[/url] or https://www.understandingwar.org/map-room lots of maps...

Information and propaganda will be mixed in wars...I believe in being as honest as one can works best...also being honest there are lots of things you do NOT know...doubts...

So lets now jump to the pandemic;

Should people get vaccinated against CoViD now ? I think there are more side effects then some healthauthorities want people to know...Other part of the story is vaccines have to be part of a strategy...I think "strategy is missing"...

In my opinion (again I am NOT an expert !!!) vaccinating billions with vaccines that do not stop infections-only limit disease-with this corona virus did worsen the pandemic due to lifting other restrictions...We now have CoViD variants simply much better in evading immunity....even evading testing...

My idea of this pandemic is there must have been "billions" of infections both in humans and non-human hosts resulting in (tens of) thousends sub-variants...For that matter this pandemic allready is "worst in human history"....and only worsening...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table puts global cases now close to 555 million-but lack of testing and non-human cases makes this number "a sad joke"...Moving towards 6,4 million "official" CoViD deaths is also (accepted as) very serious under reporting...The low estimate would be around 20 million, maximum around 40 million CoVid deaths...(India would have over 5 million CoViD deaths...US CoViD-related deaths by now much closer to two million ? Brazil real number also over 1 million ?)

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time has the UK now with over 3,5 million "active CoViD cases"-record was over 4,5 million active UK cases april this year...again "freedom" did mean freedom for the virus...spread, mutate, travel-for-free....

End of part 1


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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part 2, 

Supermarkets-there is a German one with toiletpaper brandname "Happy End" always makes me smile...(I did know Aldi was in the US did not know Lidl also opened up stores there...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lidl#Stores[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lidl#Stores in NL since 1997-over 440 stores, US since 2017 165 stores...so they will grow further in the US...Due to the pandemic supermarkets-often staying open during lockdowns-did increase consumer spending-restaurants often were closed...Lots of NL supermarkets can have up to 40% (?) non-food; shoes, clothing, shavers, bike-products, books...I think non-food sales in supermarkets increased due to the pandemic...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/preprint-more-severe-disorders-in-the-lungs-of-ba-4-ba-5-infected-hamsters-than-those-of-ba-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/preprint-more-severe-disorders-in-the-lungs-of-ba-4-ba-5-infected-hamsters-than-those-of-ba-2/ ;

“Here we demonstrated that the Omicron BA.4/5 are more potentially pathogenic than Omicron BA.2. Therefore, our observations strongly suggest that SARS-CoV-2 does not necessarily evolve to attenuate its pathogenicity.”.

“Three histological parameters, including bronchitis/bronchiolitis, hemorrhage/congestion and alveolar damage, as well as the total score of histology of rBA.2.12-infected hamsters were significantly higher than those of rBA.2-infected hamsters. More importantly, all histopathological parameters were highest in rBA.4/5-infected hamsters with statistical significances.”

“Furthermore, in the lungs of infected hamsters at 5 d.p.i., the level of inflammation with type II alveolar pneumocyte hyperplasia by rBA.4/5 infection was significantly higher than that by rBA.2 infection, while there was no statistically significant difference between rBA.2.12.1 and rBA.2 infections. The relatively more severe disorders in the lungs of rBA.4/5-infected hamsters than those of rBA.2-infected hamsters were supported by the more efficient spread of rBA.4/5 than rBA.2 in the infected lungs.”

Preprint: Virological characteristics of the novel SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants including BA.2.12.1, BA.4 and BA.5

DJ, Trying to make sense; one step in the evolution of CoViD was deletion of some parts (69/70 often) ...in my "simple thinking" the lighter the virus the further it can spread (airborne)...the smaller the deeper it can get into the host...Still a virus has to have "qualities", "characteristics" to cause disease...If a virus gets to light/small it may be able to do less damage...

Just trying to understand it all-hope I do not write non-sense...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/jenny-harris-quite-likely-ba-5-hospitalizations-will-exceed-those-of-ba-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/jenny-harris-quite-likely-ba-5-hospitalizations-will-exceed-those-of-ba-2/ related; The BA.2 wave in Britain saw the highest hospitalization figures for Covid since December 2020. Those figures may be about to be exceeded again

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/so-what-is-plan-b-if-the-vaccines-fail-with-a-new-coronavirus-super-variant/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/so-what-is-plan-b-if-the-vaccines-fail-with-a-new-coronavirus-super-variant/  june 14 2021 article...

14th June 2021: We’ve spent two days scouring the internet looking for Plan B for what happens in the event of complete Covid-19 vaccine failure. So what does happen if the vaccines fail? Here is what we have found so far:

Actually, we found no results. It seems that no one is even asking the question. Perhaps it’s time to start that conversation?

DJ, there still is no plan "B"...problem-denial as "plan B"...politician lies with mass media following "politics and experts working for political goals"...Ukraine-war is plan B ? (Yes Russia invaded...but NATO expansion was against 1990 agreements...The west breaks any agreement they sign...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-dangerous-increase-in-sars-cov-2-concentrations-in-wastewater-of-30/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-dangerous-increase-in-sars-cov-2-concentrations-in-wastewater-of-30/

‘The national trend of SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in wastewater showed a “dangerous increase” (>30%) in SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the weeks 24 and 25, 2022′.

  • As of week 25 of 2022 (26.06.2022), a total of 6.475 wastewater samples were collected throughout Italy in the framework of the SARS-CoV-2 environmental surveillance (EU Commission Recommendation 2021/472)
  • 6451 wastewater samples were analysed for SARS-CoV-2, and 87.2% of them were positive. 
  • The national trend of SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in wastewater showed a “dangerous increase” (>30%) in SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the weeks 24 and 25, 2022 (period 13.06.2022 – 26.06.2022), compared to the previous weeks.
  • The same increasing trend was documented in most of the Regions/ Autonomous Provinces.
  • The observed significant increase of SARS-CoV-2 loads suggests a rise in the number of individuals excreting SARS-CoV-2, which is in agreement with the current new growth of Covid-19 cases, possibly in relation to the spread of the Omicron sublineage BA.5.

DJ, I did read somewere on twitter in some countries sewage-CoViD traces did not go down since january...Would fit in with the picture of one Omicron-subvariant replacing the other-a constant "peak"...Italy is now also in extreme drought and heat (close to 40C/100F) ...will make (long)CoViD even harder to deal with...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/who-says-monkeypox-cases-expected-to-rise-exponentially-in-coming-weeks-study-shows-new-monkeypox-strain-spreads-easily-by-material-contamination[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/who-says-monkeypox-cases-expected-to-rise-exponentially-in-coming-weeks-study-shows-new-monkeypox-strain-spreads-easily-by-material-contamination 

DJ-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory confirmed tested cases still under 7,000-real number of cases must be in "tens of thousends"...incubation may be up to 3 weeks. Testing is "very limited" (only gay men-false claim it is a gay disease...DJ-This "story" is a major risk! Relating a disease to sexual behavior is not making testing easier...). 








The number of 8 additional mutations in BA.2.75 is remarkable, Delta had 8 in spike in total. 3 mutations can make a huge difference (BA.5). Thus the 11 Mutations distinct between BA.5 and BA.2.75 could allow for yet another wave as BA.5 immunity might not protect. 12/

DJ, Just like tigers do not exclude lions in my (simple) thinking BA.5 (subvariants) do not exclude BA.2.75 (+ subvariants) from spreading at the same time...A bit like SARS.2.6 and SARS.2.7...MERS did not stop because of SARS-2 (and may become a problem on its own...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MERS#Epidemiology[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MERS#Epidemiology needs an update on more recent MERS cases-most in the Middle East...see also [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/07/looking-forward-by-looking-back.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/07/looking-forward-by-looking-back.html 

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 36.91% BA.2.12.1**, 27.44% BA.5^^, 12.89% BA.4, 9.13% unassigned, 5.38% BA.5.1^^, 5.12% BA.2 & 0.65% BA.2.9 **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/03/22

DJ BA.5 at 27,44%, BA.5.1 at 5,38%=32,82% for BA.5 and BA.5.1 in the US...BA.2.12.1 still dominant at 36,91% of the last 15 day sequences-no doubt +10 day old...In fact BA.5 will be dominant in the US as well...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/tuberculosis/953149-canada-in-nunavut-medical-staff-saw-signs-of-a-devastating-tb-outbreak-the-government-didn%E2%80%99t[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/tuberculosis/953149-canada-in-nunavut-medical-staff-saw-signs-of-a-devastating-tb-outbreak-the-government-didn%E2%80%99t DJ-If CoViD results in a weaker immune system other diseases may have more chance...TB would be high on the list...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-covid-19-vaccine-dangers-side-effects-controversy[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-covid-19-vaccine-dangers-side-effects-controversy vaccine discussion...

DJ-It is "easy" if you only have to decide for yourself...If you have a responsibility for a (small) child or a very old person -you have to decide for them- it is harder...I think other factors-how many contacts a person has-also matter..In Indonesia vaccine strategy did see people with lots of contacts getting vaccinated first; healthcare workers, taxi/bus-drivers, supermarket-staff...It made some sense to me...

BA.2.77 vs BA.4/.5 BA.2.77   S:69/70del, S:K356T, S:L452R, S:R493Q, S:D936H, S:E340K, ORF3a:G100V, M:S4F BA.4 S:69/70del,S:F486V, S:L452R, S:R493Q, N:P151S BA.5 S:69/70del, S:F486V, S:L452R, S:R493Q, M:D3N Instead of F486V, BA.2.77 has K356T! They all are coming loaded..

and 

BA.2.74+ - ALL look interesting BA.2.74S:L452M BA.2.75S:K147E, S:W152R, S:G446S BA.2.76  S:Y248N BA.2.77  S:69/70del, S:E340K, S:K356T, S:L452R, S:R493Q, S:D936H, ORF3a:G100V, M:S4F >>>>To me BA.2.77 looks more like a BA.6! <<< https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/732

DJ, If you had any illusions on this CoViD pandemic....

Music ! 

Jo Stafford-No Other Love [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XUHVBAoSTo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XUHVBAoSTo love the music, love the lyrics (under the video), also love the comments...

Music was [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikBD3DcSGFM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikBD3DcSGFM Chopin-Tristesse...much older even...

Stay safe and sane !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 04 2022 at 10:30pm

DJ-I could start another item "western collapse" but since this forum "has limited activity" I stay with "pandemic breakfast" replacing the "crashed scenario's"....

Alexander Mercouris [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGlBSW5-8oA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGlBSW5-8oA (27 minutes...);Russia Advances in Donbass Towards Siversk, Economic Crises Deepen in Germany, Japan News Topic 542

and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAxyT1cRJq0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAxyT1cRJq0 Military Summary as a "basis" for my breakfast-just waking up...

Let me combine it with [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK CoViD cases going for record highs...

In short;

-Russia is running over Ukraine...

-Western leaders still in denial

-Russia cutting of energy supply to "the west" (Japan, Germany/EU, other unfriendly countries)

-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/top-german-trade-union-head-warns-entire-industries-may-collapse-amid-worsening-energy[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/top-german-trade-union-head-warns-entire-industries-may-collapse-amid-worsening-energy 

-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-arabia-discussion-join-brics[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-arabia-discussion-join-brics 

-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chinese-and-russian-navies-circle-japan-show-force[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chinese-and-russian-navies-circle-japan-show-force 

-[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/04/tractors-highways-blocking-distribution-centers-another-day-farmers-protests[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/04/tractors-highways-blocking-distribution-centers-another-day-farmers-protests energy costs destroy companies on a large scale

DJ-How will this develop further;

-Of course economy and finance are linked

-Western "fiat" currency has "limited real value"

-The "real value" also going down (NO market for German/Japan cars etc.)

-Banking crisis, hyperinflation just around the corner

-[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea long term damage of CoViD catastrophic

-Climate collopse getting worse-fast

So "a perfect storm" and "leaders" simply in denial of the coming crises they did cause .....

There was NO NEED for Ukraine to join NATO...it was stupid western provocation...[url]https://consortiumnews.com/2022/07/01/ukraine-is-the-latest-neocon-disaster/[/url] or https://consortiumnews.com/2022/07/01/ukraine-is-the-latest-neocon-disaster/ 

We should have stopped SARS-2 like we stopped SARS-1 in 2003....

Henry Kissinger warned "the west" may have to the end of this month to "get its act together"...Alexander Mercouris "hopes" maybe even august could make a difference...Military Summary making the point Russia is preparing "industrial mobilization"-preparing for real military mobilization-winter war....China most likely doing the same...Iran may already be prepared for conflict...

DJ-The west breaks any agreement it signed...no point in talking to "leaders that only lie"...Russia-Iran-China now have many allies-use the moment...break the west...

The choice has been made...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 04 2022 at 11:57pm

part 2, 

Since I see (some) similarities; 

Ukraine war-did become a "war of the west against the rest" NOT the "war of the world against Russia" some "leaders" hoped for-without any real basis...The world has changed. A "global NATO going neo-colonial" is the wrong sign at the wrong time...

The west closing its doors for Russian, Chinese vaccines-promoting their own-much more expensive ones- as part of a "blame China, anti zero-CoViD campain also did not help. Western "freedom" now resulting in a pandemic that is totally out of control...China zero-CoViD strategy may at least show "some wisdom"....(with Russia and Chinese vaccines now being most used worldwide-often "given for free" as aid...I did expect China also sending mobile hospitals etc. but China itself is now facing a major CoViD-crisis...so no room for that).

In the "Ukraine war" Russia in NE Ukraine did destroy most of Ukraine defensive positions...in SE Ukraine (near Donetsk) Ukraine forces are "dug in" and use western artillery against Russians...First step in Russian strategy was "to break the enemy army" - they may have done so...(sending Ukraine soldiers into Russian artillery without proper protection is madness...Since NATO is "in control" of (most of) this war one wonders the level of know how of the western military experts...

The [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper has now become the "new realistic defense line" in Ukraine-with Ukraine forces still going for a fight east of that river...Russians already west of that river in both the north (Belarus) and south (Crimea)...The west is running out of weapons to send...

Worse-the west may not be able to replace a lot of those weapons...NO import from Russia or China may mean no raw materials, energy, basic parts for western weapons..."We" are running out of defenses/weapons other then aircraft, nuclear weapons etc. not (yet) used in Ukraine...

DJ-Russia may be trying/pushing for regime change in Kiev...like in Afghanistan support for the "western puppet regime" is collapsing...Both from extreme right wing groups (political dominant but not widely supported in most of Ukraine...) and the military top...maybe even "the west" (divided...) may get enough of this insanity...EU facing many crises (energy, inflation, refugee, climate (Rhine is at lowest level since 1976 almost...) financial...). 

So now jump to the pandemic...

CoVid destroying immunity...NO steps to limit spread of any disease in most countries...We may be without staff for any part of the economy soon...facing impossible energy prices (JP Morgan going for 380 US$ per barel of oil...in worst scenario-hyperinflation may make that even optimistic...). 

How "bad can it get" if hospitals are out of staff, economy without energy, money worthless....most people suffering from all kinds of illnesses...

Yesterday I wrote we are in the "worst pandemic" people ever faced...but we fail to realize, act like that...Even the "official number" of 560 million cases of CoViD is "bad"...may be worse then the Spanish Flu...This pandemic also lasting longer then the Spanish Flu...

If you look further back in time-the plague-in "relative numbers" that may have been far worse...Eventhough those pandemics were strongly related to (very limited) travel...When people realized that (travel link) they managed to limit the spread...Till the 19th century travel was risks...so most people tried to limit travel...Mass travel in these high numbers, air travel, is "new" in human history and a main cause of the present disaster...Diseases fly for free...

So-time for some optimism...

Reducing travel = reducing spread...STOP THE SPREAD !!!!!! Why are we not doing that ? Mask-use in 1918/19-Spanish Flu-was welcomed as protection...we can and should use masks...!

International cooperation is needed - stop the wars ! Since most of the wars are fought with western weapons (for western goals) "WE" can stop wars...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/treatment/preprint-bergamottin-exhibits-inhibitory-activity-against-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/treatment/preprint-bergamottin-exhibits-inhibitory-activity-against-sars-cov-2/ 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-shows-vitamin-d-protects-lungs-from-covid-19-infection-vitamin-d-supplementation-more-relevant-now-since-ba-5-variant-exhibits-lung-tropism[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-shows-vitamin-d-protects-lungs-from-covid-19-infection-vitamin-d-supplementation-more-relevant-now-since-ba-5-variant-exhibits-lung-tropism 

Vaccines and anti-virals may have limited effect...may have serious risks...We have the internet, study, work from home...robots can take over lots of production jobs...

Just like in climate collapse there are lots of things we can do to make matters not even worse...(I hope...)..but we are not even trying...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-china-reimposes-lockdown-in-key-provinces-as-new-worrisome-sars-cov-2-ba-2-subvariant-detected-with-multiple-new-mutations[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-china-reimposes-lockdown-in-key-provinces-as-new-worrisome-sars-cov-2-ba-2-subvariant-detected-with-multiple-new-mutations is just one of many new subvariants (BA.2.74, BA.2.75, BA.5, BA.5.1 etc...Non Pharma Intervention may be the only tool left...). 

DJ-The global situation is terrible...but that needs us to do "the best we can" ! And that "best" is NOT yet another war ! 

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 05 2022 at 2:10am

part 3, 

Some further links on the major crisis humanity is facing...

[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3749.600.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3749.600.html ;

Re: The 2022 melting season
« Reply #610 on: July 04, 2022, 12:45:04 AM »
Meanwhile the Beaufort / CAB heatwave is looking as persistent as it is intense .  Both gfs and ECM have it continue beyond the end of their runs , with upper anomalies similar to those that proved 'unbelievable' last year a little further south . The CAB was expected to be the last bastion of the ice yet could be demolished in a fortnight . Along with the Beaufort . I'm sure the world's leaders are deeply concerned .
I guess the only saving grace I can see in the Beaufort is there is not alot of open water there so widespread warm SSTS is not yet occuring, with the winds forecast not to be too strong either, there is not much to move the ice around either.

Whilst the wildfire situation over Alaska is awful, it would be interesting too see if the smoke actually weakens the sun's affect on the ice and potentially limit the warming of any open water there.

Compared to a month ago, the situation shows things can quickly change in the Arctic. For the sake of the multi year ice there, I do hope the ice can survive in the Beaufort but September looks miles away at the moment given the current situation.

The deep low over the basin that is forecast to occur is going to be interesting given the ice is already dispersed in parts and we got the potential of a major CAA heatwave also, plenty to ponder in the next week or so.

DJ, So "hope" smoke from wildfires will limit sun-heat reaching the arctic...The North Pole may be above 0C....It is to early to see how 2022 will end in melting of the Arctic. There are two lists in [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3721.500.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3721.500.html one has 2022 at place 5, the other at place 10...lowest point -in arctic ice- is expected in september....Hurricanes pushing warm air, rain, wind into the arctic can become a major factor...

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-ex-spymaster-pens-scathing-op-ed-rethinking-global-order[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-ex-spymaster-pens-scathing-op-ed-rethinking-global-order

In short, while fundamentally endorsing the UN's globalist agenda, Al Saud argues that those leading the current international order have "failed to live up to the principles of good governance enshrined in the UN charter," and that hypocritical world leaders "need to come to their senses" and reform "deeper structural problems" in order to adapt to the new, multipolar order pushed by Russia an dChina.

"Our organizing principles still reflect the mentality of the post-war and Cold War era," he argues, citing a UN report that concluded major reforms were needed.

DJ, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Indonesia, India go for their own interests...May not be in a hurry to take a position but also "do not want to miss the boat"....IF the west is collapsing better be on the safe side....[url]https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2022/07/04/685056/Russia-Syria-Israeli-strikes-terrorists-airport[/url] or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2022/07/04/685056/Russia-Syria-Israeli-strikes-terrorists-airport

Russia has demanded an unconditional cessation of Israeli strikes on Syria, saying they are unacceptable.  

Israel launched an "air aggression" from the Mediterranean west of Lebanon's second city Tripoli on Saturday, with several missiles targeting an area to the south of Syria's port city of Tartus.

The attack was the first since new prime minister Yair Lapid took office as the head of Israel's interim regime ahead of a Nov. 1 election.

"We strongly condemn such irresponsible actions that violate the sovereignty of Syria and the basic norms of international law, and we demand their unconditional cessation," the Russian foreign ministry said.

The Syrian ministry of defense said the strikes injured two civilians and caused some material damage.

DJ, Murdering a Palestinian journalist [url]https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/7/4/us-shireen-abu-akleh-killing-investigation-israel-likely-responsible[/url] or https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/7/4/us-shireen-abu-akleh-killing-investigation-israel-likely-responsible by Israel is even pushing once pro-western Arab countries away from the west...

DJ-Israel has to "change its song" [url]https://www.debka.com/hostile-russian-us-incidents-erupt-in-e-syria-after-key-russian-general-transferred-from-ukraine/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/hostile-russian-us-incidents-erupt-in-e-syria-after-key-russian-general-transferred-from-ukraine/ 

DJ Both the US and EU, and NATO "may have limited capability" to "offer major help" in a "widening conflict" with Russia and/or Iran (Syria, Iraq, Turkey etc. even relations with Jordan may not be "good" due to status of Jerusalem/West Bank...Jordan claims...The Golan-Heights can be another conflict zone with Syria...). 

Pandemic;

"This is extreme" isn't an argument, it is a conversation stopper The usual reminders: 1) Nature doesn't negotiate and it doesn't know the meaning of "extreme" 2) The real world is physical, not political 3) Physical problems are solved by doing what is necessary and sufficient

DJ, A few years ago we had over 43C at an airbase north of where I live..."Impossible" the NL weather agency said...while still accepting the extreme low minimum (I believe 26 C) by the same thermometers that night....

Pandemics killing billions, climate change going exponential, the west running out of defenses may be "extreme" but I think we are getting much to close to it...We did see many cases of hyperinflation in recent (last 100 years) history...extreme drought "ending rivers" is also an "extreme scenario"...

We should avoid such scenario's not deny them (as possible)....

What's the long term plan with Covid? The popular theory that if we ignore it just enough, it will go away has proven wrong. Being sick twice a year has substantial health and economical implications. And the next variant can be more virulent. Any adults in the house?

DJ Ignoring risks is increasing risks... 

https://m.timesofindia.com/city/pune/3-new-ba-2-variants-found-may-have-role-in-ongoing-surge-experts/amp_articleshow/92640918.cms BA.2.74, BA.2.75 and BA.2.76 are "fitter" and more infectious than Omicron's BA.5, a senior scientist from the Indian SARS-CoV-2 Genomics Consortium (INSACOG) told TOI on Sunday, adding that they may be behind the ongoing surge in cases along with BA.2.38.

DJ link [url]https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/pune/3-new-ba-2-variants-found-may-have-role-in-ongoing-surge-experts/articleshow/92640918.cms[/url] or https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/pune/3-new-ba-2-variants-found-may-have-role-in-ongoing-surge-experts/articleshow/92640918.cms ;

DJ;

OMG. Can anyone still claim after reading this that it's impossible Omicron variants BA.1-BA.5 emerged from a single individual?

and ; 

Chrispin Chaguza

@ChrispinChaguza
 · 
This rapid evolution resulted in the independent evolution of at least three distinct lineages, each genetically divergent enough (~20-40 mutations from the original virus) that they would be classified as separate lineages if they were to spread into the wider population. 6/n
Show this thread

may indicate that ONE HOST having a longer term infection could start another CoViD-variant of concern...Just ONE chronic case...(and there may be millions of them....). 

We showed accelerated SARS-CoV-2 evolution during the chronic infection, approx twice as faster as the parental B.1.517 strain and the global SARS-CoV-2 evolutionary rate, suggesting that it could be a mechanism for the emergence of genetically divergent variants. 5/n

"we have a problem"....

Replicating virus for 471 days, but only mild symptoms in the beginning and asymptomatic since. Just incredible.

So there may be "lots" of cases....Again "mild/asymptomatic cases"[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea do run serious risks...

The best & brightest of scientists & other smart people can warn & warn, but the majority (unfortunately, also a lot of scientists among them) just don't get the danger we are risking.

Learn the hard way may kill us all....

We are in a very serious global crisis...we need leaders that can deal with that-starting with at least acceptance there are "major problems" and stop denying them...

End of part 3

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, Reality is always a mega-mix of events...things are related...

part 1 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/all-natural-gas-flow-on-yamal-europe-pipeline-halted[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/all-natural-gas-flow-on-yamal-europe-pipeline-halted

Russia has completely shut off all flows of natural gas in the Yamal-Europe pipeline.

After President Putin's Decree on July 4,  which ordered no vital commodity shipments - at any price or in any currency - can be made to "unfriendly countries," the gas flow to much of Europe has now been completely shut off.

-

UPDATE 8:28 PM EDT --

Germany has by far the largest storage volume for natural gas in central and western Europe (24 billion m3), which CAN supply Germany for two- to-three average temperature winter months.  But as of March, 2022, the German storage tanks were at less than 60% full.   Still trying to get more current data, but again the storage for two to three months of average winter temperatures exists while regular pipeline service continues 24/7.   Now that Yamal-Europe is offline, Germany must rely on Nordstream One, which last month, dropped from 130 million cubic meters per day down to 100 million cubic meters per day, and dropped again TODAY from 100 million to only 58 million cubic meters per day.  So Germany may, realistically, only have two months gas supply for their whole country! 


[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/euro-currency-plunging-against-u-s-dollar[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/euro-currency-plunging-against-u-s-dollarAt the start of currency trading in the world Tuesday, it took 92 "EURO cents" to buy one U.S. Dollar.    As the day wore on, the value of the EURO plunged so that it now takes 105.552 EURO cents to buy one U.S. dollar.   That's a plunge in value of 14.47% in one day!


DJ, Europe without energy has economic collapse next...so the Euro is crashing...we are moving towards hyperinflation...

Now relate that with [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/public-healthcare-in-germany-collapses-as-many-vaccinated-doctors-and-nurses-are-falling-sick-due-to-sars-cov-2-ba-5-infections[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/public-healthcare-in-germany-collapses-as-many-vaccinated-doctors-and-nurses-are-falling-sick-due-to-sars-cov-2-ba-5-infections ...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-vaccine-effectiveness-falls-0-year-first-series[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-vaccine-effectiveness-falls-0-year-first-series

People who have only received the first and second vaccine shots against Covid-19 are barely protected against a coronavirus infection one year after the injections. By that time, vaccine effectiveness falls to 0 percent, according to the RIVM, the Dutch public health institute.

Those who received a booster shot in the interim still receive protection against serious symptoms of the coronavirus disease. The vaccines then prevent 63 percent of hospitalizations, and 74 percent of intensive care admissions. People may still develop symptoms of Covid-19, but those are likely to be more mild.


An additional booster shot produced a higher rate of effectiveness. Residents of the Netherlands who are aged 60 and over, and others in vulnerable positions, have access to the additional shot.

Every resident is eligible to be vaccinated against Covid-19 from the age of five. Of those aged 12 and up, 82.7 percent have received at least one shot. Roughly six out of ten people have also received a booster shot, meaning that the vaccine's protection has steeply fallen in just under a quarter of people


and [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-infections-may-stabilizing-new-peak-hospital-total-jumps-20-percent[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-infections-may-stabilizing-new-peak-hospital-total-jumps-20-percent ; The number of coronavirus infections diagnosed in the Netherlands rose by another 15 percent over the past seven days, but the rate of increase has shown signs of slowing, the RIVM said on Tuesday. Despite the lukewarm analysis of the current state of the pandemic, the number of people hospitalized with Covid-19 rose by over 19 percent in a week.

-

The RIVM presented data only for the last calendar week, which showed a 19 percent increase in Covid-19 hospital admissions. There were 520 new patients receiving treatment for the disease, including 24 sent to intensive care. A week earlier, 437 patients were admitted, including 32 sent to intensive care.

The public health institute was also notified of 30 deaths linked to Covid-19, up from 15 during the seven-day period ending on June 28

DJ Likely most cases related to BA.2.12.1 and BA.5...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/new-zealand-first-cases-of-ba-2-75-detected/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/new-zealand-first-cases-of-ba-2-75-detected/ ...BA.2.74, BA.2.75, BA.2.76 still have to "do their thing" in most of Europe...

So YES CoViD may have peaked here in NL...in a way increase of BA.2.12.1 and BA.5 slowing down...but another wave most likely is already on its way for most of Europe...

Since we had electricity, fuel, transport...healthcare in "rich countries" was able to save many lives...Now a lot of healthcare workers are getting ill, economy is close to collapse...

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK CoViD cases at present over 3,76 million...still going up...

Do I have to mention "bojo" as another UK disaster....political crisis in most of the west...Here in NL [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/farmers-protests-15-arrested-distribution-blockades-200-fined-highways[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/farmers-protests-15-arrested-distribution-blockades-200-fined-highways  and [url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/07/teargas-and-dogs-break-up-farmer-protests-blockades-continue/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/07/teargas-and-dogs-break-up-farmer-protests-blockades-continue/ ...

"Outlook not good" an understatement....? 

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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part 2,

NATO needed to move east...breaking all kinds of agreements...against the will of not only Russia, Iran but also lots of other countries...NATO moving east is NOT agression...Russia reaction is "Russian agression"....The Royal Family of Saudi Arabia are "friends of democracy"...Assad is dangerous....not following US orders...

When countries refuse major international trade in US$ or € "they destabilize global order"...So India-Russia trade would need to be in US$ ..."showing the strength" of the west ? 

Western power, dominance, is based on nuclear weapons...terror...neo-colonialism and racism...Of course other countries are fed up with "us"....'We" did not stop airtravel in january 2020 "so the pandemic is a Chinese lab leak", A "CCP bio-weapon" or shall we blame allmighty Putin for that ? 

We still offer free travel for diseases; STOP THE SPREAD !!!! Masks even got "political"....

“Our public health officials gambled with the future and chose a fantasy world instead. “Now COVID has become a runaway train with unknown biological consequences.”

Link [url]https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=070422-3&utm_campaign=editorial[/url] or https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=070422-3&utm_campaign=editorial

In any case, COVID, a novel virus that can wreak havoc with any organ in the body, continues to evolve at a furious pace.

In response officials have largely abandoned any coherent response, including masking, testing, tracing and even basic data collection.

Yes, the people have been abandoned.

So don’t expect “normal” to return to your hospital, your airport, your nation, your community or your life anytime soon.

Although many public health officials still dismiss COVID infections as inevitable and even beneficial, a growing body of science shows this fashionable dogma is dangerously wrongheaded, if not an outright form of malpractice.

DJ When I look at the official NL gov. site for CoViD variants it is "100% Omicron"...

The  is updating the alphabet: a,b,c,d,e,f,g,h,i,j,k,l,m,n,o1,o2,o3,o4,o5,o6,o7,o8,o9,o10,o11,o12,o13,o14,o15,o16

"Omicron will be the last variant in this pandemic"...so the coming years all new variants will be called Omicron...(maybe also go for "Omicron-Flu"?)

DJ; Ukraine was "dumped", used in a biden fight with Putin...now Ukraine is being destroyed...When Ukrainians understand how "the west" used them they have every reason to be very angry...We did see some of that anger in Greece several years ago...the "Euro-crisis", wrong decission by "our leaders" so the Greek had to pay for it...selling Pireus-port to the highest bidder (a Chinese one..."free market"...)..

Climate disasters onfolding daily..."German Greens" now going for coal....

Variant Proportions - a closer look at the top circulating lineages in USA and HHS regions 1-10 BA.2 has been outcompeted BA.2.12.1* has peaked and on a downward trajectory in all the HHS regions reporting BA.5 is surging in all HHS regions

Well maybe knowing that  BA.2.74/75/76 seem to follow BA.5 will help ???? As a consequence it is now possible to be reinfected with one of Omicron’s variants every two to three weeks.

From The Tyee link above...

The cases of pneumonia caused by the COVID-19 requiring assisted ventilation are increasing again in Italy due to the Omicron sub-variant BA.5 according to the national president of the 118 Emergency Health Service, Mario Balzanelli

Italy by the way also dealing with both extreme heat and drougth...Draghi non-elected PM running the country...No doubt inflation 10%+....

Italy’s COVID hospitalized patients on 5 July: 2022: 8,003 2021: 1,137 2020: 945 BA.5 is quickly increasing in Italy. https://icemsg.org/2022/07/04/ba-5-in-italy/

and then only other variants will be next....

New National Cancer Institute analysis finds that COVID-19 was a leading cause of death for all age groups in both 2020 and 2021, accounting for 1 in 8 deaths. In 2021, COVID-19 was the leading cause of death among adults ages 45-54. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2794043

so "not the old"...[url]https://www.channel4.com/news/thousands-of-birds-dying-from-lethal-strain-of-avian-flu[/url] or https://www.channel4.com/news/thousands-of-birds-dying-from-lethal-strain-of-avian-flu ......[url]https://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/efsajournal/pub/7415[/url] or https://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/efsajournal/pub/7415 ;

The 2021–2022 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) epidemic season is the largest epidemic so far observed in Europe, with a total of 2,398 outbreaks in poultry, 46 million birds culled in the affected establishments, 168 detections in captive birds, and 2,733 HPAI events in wild birds in 36 European countries.

-

The observed persistence of HPAI (H5) virus in wild birds since the 2020–2021 epidemic wave indicates that it may have become endemic in wild bird populations in Europe, implying that the health risk from HPAI A(H5) for poultry, humans, and wildlife in Europe remains present year-round, with the highest risk in the autumn and winter months. 

DJ...So CoViD is resulting in a weaker immunity...H5 Avian Flu is now endemic (proberbly worldwide...)...we are in a very major healthcrisis ! This is even worse then the climate collapse we are also in...and "our leaders" go for a NATO expansion war with Russia, China...

End of part 2...



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Part 3...media...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/western-media-spread-copium-to-prolong-the-war-in-ukraine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/western-media-spread-copium-to-prolong-the-war-in-ukraine.html ;

Despite this obvious path to progress for the Russian side the Associate Press headlines:

High cost of Russia gains in Ukraine could limit new advance

The only purported evidence of high Russian costs are the assertions of a 'military analyst in Ukraine' who claims that some Russian units lost half of their soldiers. I have seen nothing that would support such a claim.

The AP writer then adds this:

The limited manpower has forced the Russian commanders to avoid ambitious attempts to encircle large areas in the Donbas, opting for smaller maneuvers and relying on heavy artillery barrages to slowly force the Ukrainians to retreat.

Please. Look at the above maps. What did Russia just do? It had made an ambitious attempt to encircle a large are in Donbas and succeeded with the effort in just a few days. The Ukrainian army threw everything it had available into the cauldron and lost thousands of men while the Russian army avoided direct men against men fighting to minimize its own casualties.

So while the Ukrainians will also benefit from the now shorter frontline they have lost many soldiers and abandoned lots of equipment during the last weeks and will have difficulties to create any reserves.

There is absolutely no reason to believe that the Russian forces are not able to repeat the process over and over.

Copium pieces like the AP's one have the purpose of claiming that the Ukraine can still win the war and deserves wide support to achieve that.

Battlefield reality speaks against that. There is no chance that the Ukraine can gain superiority over the Russian army. No weapon delivery will help.

Yes, the HIMARS artillery system, directed by U.S. intelligence, can hit badly camouflage Russian weapon depots some kilometers behind the frontline as it did on two occasions so far.  But Russia has no lack of ammunition and will take countermeasures to better protect it.  Functioning armies always adapt to such challenges.

Any prolonging of the war will only lead to more deaths of Ukrainian soldiers, more wounded who will need care and more destruction. The only sane thing that can be done now is to press the Ukrainian president Zelensky to restart negotiations with Russia and admit the defeat of his troops.

Its much better to capitulate now instead of waiting for the Chechen leader Ramsan Kadyrov to come to Kiev and make him do so.

DJ, Mainstream mass media have a responsibility....claiming Ukraine in fact is winning the war when even the Kiev-junta admits hundreds of Ukraine soldiers die each day is "not just lying"..It is prolonging a war that should have been avoided. The "west" now is in a much weaker position then at the start of 2022...Military, economic damage running in the trillions due to a pointless war...

On top of that we have the pandemics...Herd immunity is non-existend...CoViD is not the flu...and both CoViD and monkeypox are totally out of control...

Still mass media go "for it is only mild" stories..Monkeypox is a gay disease...non-sense !!!

What mass media keep ignoring is both CoViD and monkeypox see extreme high spread and-because of that-high mutations...Maybe monkeypox early stages had something to do with the West African variant...the present variant is NOT behaving like the West Africa variant...it is much more agressive...could-like CoViD-even be airborne....

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-china-iran-venezuela-war-games-mid-august[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-china-iran-venezuela-war-games-mid-august and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VlcDi3ZtQTg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VlcDi3ZtQTg WION India; For the first time in 4 years, Japan spotted a Chinese ship near the disputed Senkaku Islands. China is also stepping up its activities in the Taiwan Straits & South China Sea. 26 countries will conduct a drill to deter China this week. Palki Sharma tells you more.

DJ Lots of countries going for a lot of excercises ...east of China, south of the US...In Ukraine NATO may-in fact-be "running the war" with Ukrainians doing most of the fighting...NATO, Israel, Georgia etc. special forces, volunteers etc. "very involved"...Targets inside Russia being hit-so far it looks like from Ukraine-but most likely by "western weapons"...NATO is at war with Russia in Ukraine...and it is NATO (like in Afghanistan) that is losing the fight....

Mass media fail to discuss the consequences of "western total faillure"...from dealing with pandemics, fiat-currencies, to fighting wars....From a non-western perspective it may be time to go for "re-balance"....

"We live in interesting times" stay safe & sane !

End of part 3

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6KZuELbQgs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6KZuELbQgs latest military summary....frontal attacks cost many lives-so indirect attacks-trying to get behind enemy lines, encirclement and taking time is the strategy of the stronger "party" (in this case the Russian one...). Cutting of supplies, weakening strong enemy positions (from the air, artillery) and not getting to predictable is also part of the strategy...Keeping your own forces "fresh" while exhausting the enemy ones...

So in the pandemics....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-monkeypox-is-evolving-from-a-gay-sti-to-a-serious-public-threat-via-spread-by-asymptomatic-infections-and-possible-airborne-transmissions[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-monkeypox-is-evolving-from-a-gay-sti-to-a-serious-public-threat-via-spread-by-asymptomatic-infections-and-possible-airborne-transmissions Monkeypox first attacked gay men...of course there is no gat virus...the only "goal" of a (very primitive) virus is to have as many virusses as possible...

The "weapons/tools" we have;

-STOP THE SPREAD !!! Well we are not doing that...

-INFORMATION "it is only mild" ...even monkeypox can become a very major healthrisk...

-Vaccines, anti-virals; Used in the wrong way-what we do-the virus will develop around these pharma-interventions...

-"grass roots" ....lots of people use their own brain-showing to be more wise then their leaders...limiting contacts, masks, limit travel, tell other people there is a (major) risk....Most likely "grass roots" did save thousends of lives....

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for wednesday june 6...952,864 new cases were reported...real number (of DAILY !!!! cases) must be in the millions...1,586 CoViD deaths were (under) reported...(june 5 had 961,058 new cases, 1,524 deaths being reported...). Trends global cases as far as reported +8%, deaths under reported -9%...North America cases -13%, deaths -26% does not fit in with other regions...maybe "grassroots" more effective in the US ? 

US cases -20%, deaths -35%

Canada cases +32%, deaths +30%

Mexico cases +42%, deaths +28%

DJ-Europe, better vaccination level, more public healthcare cases +18%, deaths -2%...do "we" in Europe test more then in the US ? 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/asia/china/china-seven-day-covid-lockdown-in-xian/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/asia/china/china-seven-day-covid-lockdown-in-xian/ Here in NL we should be in lockdown if I look at the level of cases...but government inaction rules...[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/06/monkeypox-fears-pride-amsterdam-push-get-men-vaccinated[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/06/monkeypox-fears-pride-amsterdam-push-get-men-vaccinated at best at local level there is some action...

On twitter some discussion on [url]https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/[/url] or https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/ ;

Naomi Wu 机械妖姬

@RealSexyCyborg
 · 
We have the exact same questions- what's the endgame for you? Just wait to see who survives the next few years? How long can you accept living like this, watching your friends and loved ones get sick again, and again with an entirely preventable illness? How is this sustainable? twitter.com/solubrew/statu…

DJ, If CoViD does weaken/destroy immunity, acting like HIV then lots of diseases will "go wild" ...monkeypox just the start. H5 bird flu is endemic and a global risk...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/norway-we-have-no-control-over-the-omicron-variant/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/norway-we-have-no-control-over-the-omicron-variant/

On Monday morning, 6th December, Norway’s assistant health director Espen Rostrup Nakstad says that they have no control over the new variant.

“Unfortunately, we do not have control because there are more and more confirmed cases, but also a number of suspected cases. And since this variant is probably more contagious than Delta, we must probably expect that it can appear almost everywhere in Norway now,” says Nakstad in an interview with VGTV.

VG.no report (in Norwegian)https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/crimean-congo-haemorrhagic-fever/iraq-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-cases-rise-to-225-with-36-deaths/

will lead to this; [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/crimean-congo-haemorrhagic-fever/iraq-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-cases-rise-to-225-with-36-deaths/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/crimean-congo-haemorrhagic-fever/iraq-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-cases-rise-to-225-with-36-deaths/ ....

Lots of other diseases will act in new ways...since their hosts will re-act in new ways...lots of mutations, variants...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandora%27s_box[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandora%27s_boxIn modern times an idiom has grown from the story meaning "Any source of great and unexpected troubles",[2] or alternatively "A present which seems valuable but which in reality is a curse".[3]

DJ, Are vaccines, anti-virals the "present that seems of value but did become a curse because of misuse"????

Going for billions of vaccines, large scale use of anti-virals while doing not enough to stop the virus did result in vaccines, anti-virals being evaded...no longer effective...

Another part-of course-is communication; "It is a gay disease" did make HIV-AIDS a global problem...monkeypox follows that road...."It is mild" killed millions...

Basic mistake is "economy/profit above public health"...bojo is on his way out...biden will be next...I only hope rutte in NL will also be gone soon as well...But it is the policy that matters...not the person....

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 31.35% BA.2.12.1**, 12.56% unassigned, 9.21% BA.5.2.1, 8.50% BA.5.5, 7.17% BA.4.1, 6.10% BA.4, 5.64% BA.5   **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/S:F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/06/22

DJ, In the US BA.5.2.1 and BA.5.5 now larger then BA.5.....Even BA.4.1 larger then BA.4....








Yesterday got talking to an employee at the Sugar Chelsea factory. He said when the employees got Covid, the employer asked them to stay home for 10 days(and paid them to),rather than 7, to ensure they didn't come back and infect others. They had no staffing issues in this wave.

"grass roots"wisdom...








Real talk. I’m so mad about the war on the reinfections study bc I recently learned that a neighbor died. Young and healthy. It was her 3rd infection. She leaves behind a baby that won’t remember her. So spare me the “over-caution is as dangerous as false reassurance” routine.

with "expert"stupidity...

DJ-Virologists, epidemiologists, medical staticians...may all be "the best experts" in their fields...but this pandemic may be the largest the world has seen....with possibly more human CoViD cases then the world had as population in 1918...(put at around 1,8 billion).

[url]https://www.marshallindependent.com/opinion/local-columns/2021/03/our-1918-pandemic-the-numbers-then-and-now/[/url] or https://www.marshallindependent.com/opinion/local-columns/2021/03/our-1918-pandemic-the-numbers-then-and-now/ ;

Epidemiologists and historians investigating the 1918-19 pandemic have limited records of its cost in global sickness and death, so they can only offer estimates. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control estimates about 500 million persons were infected by pandemic influenza in 1918-19 and, citing earlier epidemiological studies, estimates a worldwide death toll of at least 50 million persons. Demographers estimate the global population in 1918 at about 1.8 billion persons. These figures suggest that about 30% of the world’s population was infected during that pandemic and that it killed about 2.7% of that population.

DJ CoViD cases even in "very conservative numbers" moving towards 560 million cases...with most likely "hundreds of millions of cases...if not billions" of cases being missed...lack of testing, asymptomatic...In the 560 million "tested" cases there will be millions of reinfections...a major difference with the Spanish Flu...you did see herd immunity in those days...CoViD has NO !!!!! herd-immunity...will come back again...and again...and again....

Spanish Flu "at least 50 million killed"...CoViD so far-in "official statistics" moving towards 6,4 million...however "excess deaths" from CoViD [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/delayed-care-covid-cost-least-320000-years-life-rivm[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/delayed-care-covid-cost-least-320000-years-life-rivm may put a realistic number closer to 40 millions so far....

Some historians could go for a 1917-1923 Spanish Flu timeline from start to finish...C oViD started somewhere in 2019 and will be a problem for years to come...

End of part 1...maybe more later...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, 

Official cases now close to 1 million per day [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table trend +7% and has been in the + for days now...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table US had 632,831 new cases this week...Germany had 632,386 new cases this week...US cases -20%...still at a low level...German cases -12% from a much higher level...US deaths 1,549 these last 7 days...German deaths 569 in the same time...(-34% US, German -10%)...Just an observation...

Europe cases +15%, Oceania +25%...North America -13%...(US -20%, Canada +18%, Mexico +39%)....why are US numbers that different ?????

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/ba-2-75-designated-a-vum-by-both-who-and-ecdc/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/ba-2-75-designated-a-vum-by-both-who-and-ecdc/

The World Health Organisation and the European Centre for Disease Control (ECDC) have designated Omicron subvariant BA.2.75 as a variant under monitoring (VUM).

Although the number of BA.2.75 cases is still relatively low, its unusual combination of mutations and its quick spread to at least ten countries has attracted the interest of scientists across the globe, and has led to these designations.

DJ A look at [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA last 60 days...

BA.2.12.1 at 55%, BA.2 = 15%, other 14%...

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU&dark=true Germany;

BA.2 at 45%, other at 18%, BA.2.9 at 13%....BA.2.12.1 only at 4% in Germany...

Of course you can only sequence samples when you take samples....

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-pediatric-hospitalizations-due-to-covid-19-double-in-one-week/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-pediatric-hospitalizations-due-to-covid-19-double-in-one-week/

In Italy, 78% of child admissions are currently children under 4 years of age.

Pediatric hospitalizations due to Covid double in one week and children between 0 and 4 years represent 78% of small hospitalized patients.

From the monitoring of the four pediatric hospitals and pediatric wards belonging to the sentinel network of structures, an 84% increase in patients under the age of 18: from 51 hospitalized children on 28 June to 94 hospitalized children on 5 July.

ANSA.it report (in Italian)

DJ, a new generation is born and growing up in a pandemic...terrible !

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-japanese-study-uncovers-that-sars-cov-2-impairs-the-insulin-growth-factor-igf-signaling-pathway-with-detrimental-health-implications[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-japanese-study-uncovers-that-sars-cov-2-impairs-the-insulin-growth-factor-igf-signaling-pathway-with-detrimental-health-implications ...

TMN has good links to science...

Monkeypox;

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues from myalgia to headache, fatigue....DJ-Again !!! Monkeypox is NOT a gay virus/disease...it may have started in that group but has been spreading in lots of other people for weeks...Calling it a "gay disease" is making monitoring harder...A virus does not care...

Covid hospitalizations in the US up 15% in the past 10 days, approaching 40,000 - first glimpse of BA.5?

DJ related [url]https://www.businessinsider.com/covid-variant-omicron-ba5-reinfection-contagious-health-experts-2022-7?international=true&r=US&IR=T[/url] or https://www.businessinsider.com/covid-variant-omicron-ba5-reinfection-contagious-health-experts-2022-7?international=true&r=US&IR=T ;

Health experts in the US and abroad have found that the coronavirus variant currently responsible for most infections in the US, Omicron BA.5, can quickly reinfect people who have protection against the virus.

People who have been vaccinated, received antibody treatments, or developed natural immunity from contracting the virus were previously thought to have a lower risk of getting COVID-19, at least in the months following exposure.

But Andrew Robertson, the chief health officer of Western Australia, told News.com.au that he's seeing people get reinfected with the coronavirus in a matter of weeks.

"What we are seeing is an increasing number of people who have been infected with BA.2 and then becoming infected after four weeks," he said. "So maybe six to eight weeks they are developing a second infection, and that's almost certainly either BA.4 or BA.5."

A look at ;

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 29.33% BA.2.12.1, 10.65% unassigned, 10.22% BA.5.2.1, 9.61% BA.5.5, 7.72% BA.4.1, 6.53% BA.5, 6.18% BA.4, 4.96% BA.5.1 and 4.71% BA.2 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/07/22

So US cases over 30% BA.5 subvariants....BA.2.75 (etc) getting ready for a next wave in a permanent worsening healthcrisis eroding healthcare...

Coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 08 2022 at 11:30pm

DJ, 

The world, humanity, life, is facing three major problems;

1-War 

2-Pandemics

3-Climate collapse

In my opinion all three problems are very urgent in the way they can kill us all within 10 years....Certainly the combination of these problems is very deathly...

Better to discuss them, look for ways out, solutions then to hide away...

In latest news I did write my ideas on the present global situation...Of course inflation in Türkiye runs close to 80%, economies crashing is major...in part linked however to the three main problems.

Pandemics, both monkeypox and CoViD...

On Monkeypox............

I think monkeypox behaving this bizarre has to be related to CoViD;

23) Let this fact sink in — over 30 years, we have only tracked 2000 #monkeypox cases globally in total. In the last 2 months, in contrast, we have tracked 7000 new cases. ðŸ‘€

DJ, real number of monkeypox cases now has to be in the tens of thousends...

-false claim it is a gay disease...It may have started it spread in gay-men...but it is far beyond that group

-incubation time could be 3 weeks...

-asymptomatic spread

-Governments downplaying risks (so limited testing etc). 

Eric Feigl-Ding

@DrEricDing
 · 
NEW—It is time for the global public health community to recognize a growing reality: #Monkeypox is now a pandemic—unless we declare an emergency & act quickly to combat it, we risk repeating the same mistakes we made with covid.🧵@kavitapmd @yaneerbaryam  https://washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/07/monkeypox-pandemic-who-emergency-covid/

DJ, One mistake has already been made...inaction...STOP THE SPREAD !!!! Realize the risks...The first CoViD cases-in 2019-may have looked "mild" we know the problems it did bring to the world...Monkeypox is a fast developing disease as well...a major risk for ALL humans and very likely also some non-human hosts...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues 

and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/monkeypox-asymptomatic-spread-reported-in-belgium/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/monkeypox-asymptomatic-spread-reported-in-belgium/ 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory Monkeypox confirmed cases now close to 10,000. With very likely the real number (missed/not tested, people in incubation) already close to 100,000 ! 

Top 5 in confirmed monkeypox cases;

Spain 2,323

UK 1,552

Germany 1,490

US 791

France 721

Real numbers must be much higher...The numbers may give indication on testing...not on spread...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak has a lot of (non)info...however links with CoViD remains undiscussed...

If CoViD undermines immunity it may open the door to all kinds of other diseases...H5 Avian Flu may be a next very major-urgent problem !!! 

Again; a combination with climate disasters (flooding, droughts, storms etc.) and wars worsen pandemics...

Going for war because politics need a way out of a crisis they can not solve is bad politics...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 09 2022 at 12:13am

CoViD

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-over-four-million-symptomatic-covid-infections-recorded/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-over-four-million-symptomatic-covid-infections-recorded/

The ZOE Covid-19 app is showing that infections in Great Britain are spiralling out of control, with over FOUR MILLION symptomatic infections being recorded today.

The app is also showing that, on a daily basis, more than one third of a million new infections are being notified, making it the second-highest ever infection peak in Britain.

Official UK government figures show that Covid-19 hospitalizations in England are heading back to crisis levels, with around 2,000 new patients admitted on 4th July 2022

DJ [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time 

at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ UK cases +12%, deaths (from CoViDwithin 4 weeks after test) -39% (however excess deaths will be above "normal"...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-weekly-epidemiological-report-shows-incidence-rate-up-rt-at-1-4/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-weekly-epidemiological-report-shows-incidence-rate-up-rt-at-1-4/

Covid-19 infections in Italy are 100 times greater than one year ago.

“The data of the ISS flow in the period 27/06 / 2022-03 / 07/2022 show an incidence still increasing and equal to 879 per 100,000 inhabitants, compared to the previous week which was 586 per 100,000 inhabitants in period 06/20/2022-26/06/2022.”

The same trend is observed in the most recent period recorded in the aggregate data collected by the Ministry of Health (1071 per 100,000 inhabitants in the period 1/7 / 2022-7 / 7/2022 vs 763 per 100,000 inhabitants in the period 24/06 / 2022-30 / 06/2022).

The age group with the highest weekly incidence rate per 100,000 inhabitants is the 30-39 age group with an incidence of 1,071 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, an increase compared to the previous week. At the moment, the lowest incidence is found in age group> 90 years with an incidence of 519 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, an increase compared to the previous week.

-

A worsening of the epidemic continues to be recorded, despite the summer period in which many activities are carried out outdoors. An acute epidemic phase is confirmed characterized by a strong increase in incidence, by a transmissibility (both calculated on symptomatic cases and on hospitalized cases) above the epidemic threshold and by an increase in the occupancy rates of beds in the area medical and intensive care.

The occupancy rate of the beds in intensive care is increased, calculated in accordance with the Ministerial Decree of 30 April 2020 that is in place at 3.5% (323 / 9.194) on 05/07/2022, compared to 2.5% (234 / 9.203) on 27/06/2022. The absolute number of people admitted to intensive care increased from 234 (27/06/2022) to 323 (05/07/2022), with a relative increase of 38%.

DJ Worldometers has Italy both cases and deaths at +34%

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/france/france-deaths-up-12-in-one-week-as-ba-5-increases-its-share/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/france/france-deaths-up-12-in-one-week-as-ba-5-increases-its-share/

All the Covid indicators in France are currently heading in the wrong direction as BA.5 continues to increase its share of sequences. The incidence rate has doubled, hospitalizations and deaths are increasing, and the positivity rate in excess of 30%. The reinfection rate has reached 12%.

In week 26, the circulation of SARS-CoV-2 intensified in mainland France, new hospitalizations as well as deaths were up sharply, mainly affecting the oldest, insufficiently vaccinated.

  • Incidence rate still increasing in all regions and above 1% (1,000/100,000) in the majority of them
  • Number of new hospitalizations, intensive care admissions and deaths on the rise
  • Continued increase in the proportion of the majority Omicron BA.5 sub-lineage in the Flash S25 survey (06/20)
  • Increase in the proportion of reinfections since December 2021, reaching 12% in S23-2022

DJ (S23=week 23), worldometers France cases +30%, deaths +61%

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/08/excess-mortality-1150-deaths-expected-june[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/08/excess-mortality-1150-deaths-expected-june ;

Last month, 1,150 more people died than expected. There was excess mortality in every week of June, Statistics Netherlands (CBS) reported on Friday. Mortality was especially high among people receiving long-term care.

May had excess mortality in three of its four weeks. That month, an average of 200 more people died each week than expected. In June, that increased to 225.


Last month over 650 more people in long-term care died than expected. That includes people living in nursing homes or disability care facilities. There was excess mortality in this population group in the last three weeks of June.

Among the rest of the population, nearly 500 more than expected people died. Each week's mortality was within the expected fluctuations, so there was no excess mortality.


The stats office did not say what caused the excess mortality. CBS gets reports of causes of death later than the deaths themselves. The number of coronavirus infections increased in May and June

DJ, NL government downplaying the pandemic...

#kiemsurveillence De dominantie van BA.5 wordt steeds duidelijker. Helaas heeft het  al een paar weken geen data meer geüpload naar GISAID en hebben zij nog geen aparte categorie voor varianten die groeien in India, zoals de BA.2.75. Amsterdam had op 6 juni een BA.2.79. >

translation in short; Dominance (in NL) of BA.5 getting more clear. Dutch CDC did not upload any data to GISAID for the last couple of weeks and missing a catagory for growing variants like BA.2.75 (India). Amsterdam did find a BA.2.79 on june 6....

So another look at worldometers; just for indication..

Global cases +8%, deaths still -2% (but most likely global excess deaths worldwide above the normal...)  120 countries report an increase of cases...70 countries report increase of deaths...

Countries may move from BA.2.12.1 to BA.5 subvariants with BA.2.75 like subvariants (BA.2.73-BA.2.79 etc) next...a permanent pandemic peak...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-john-hopkin-s-study-alarmingly-discovers-that-up-to-43-percent-of-post-covid-19-individuals-have-persistent-cardiovascular-issues[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-john-hopkin-s-study-alarmingly-discovers-that-up-to-43-percent-of-post-covid-19-individuals-have-persistent-cardiovascular-issues 

"Long CoViD" is growing high speed....(there may be some discussion on if Delta did cause more Long CoViD then present Omicron waves...but since Omicron subtypes (Omicron 1 to ???) do infect more people (evade vaccines/immunity) long CoViD will "explode"...People getting reinfected sometimes after 4 weeks is doing a lot of destruction...

So CoViD may be in the worst phase so far...terrible...can we do something ? 

S T O P   T H E   S P R E A D  !!!!!!!!!!!

Why in many countries masks are not being seen as basic...? Why there is so much travel spreading even more diseases over the world ???

STOP TRAVEL NOW !!!!

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-stanford-study-shows-that-aldactone,-a-potassium-sparing-diuretic-drug-improves-covid-19-clinical-outcomes[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-stanford-study-shows-that-aldactone,-a-potassium-sparing-diuretic-drug-improves-covid-19-clinical-outcomes 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/treatment/preprint-bergamottin-exhibits-inhibitory-activity-against-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/treatment/preprint-bergamottin-exhibits-inhibitory-activity-against-sars-cov-2/ 

DJ-There is a lot that can be done...the longer we wait the more damage is done...

If politics fail individuals can act;

-limit travel/contacts if possible

-go for long term planning...this crisis will last for years..

-masks limit risks

-get informed

I think on twitter, internet there is a lot of good info...People that have been posting for a longer time-certainly if they have a medical/science background-may be worthwhile...

We are invery major crises...we have to make major changes in the way we live...

Less (air)travel also may help the climate...supporting politicians that take problems seriously also may help...Wars do NOT help !

DJ-I just try to get a view on events..share that view and my opinion on it...I do not claim to be any sort of expert..just some functioning brains...

Stay safe & sane..

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 09 2022 at 10:26pm

DJ, 

The only thing I disagree with is the EU now is in the same boat. neo-liberalism pushing "the west" backwards to the 19th century...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/dysfunction.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/dysfunction.html ;

A 2019 study found that the U.S. is the country that is best prepared for a pandemic.

It turned out that assessment, like so many others, had been wrong.

Thirty months and a million excess death later I am sorry to see that no lessons have been learned from this catastrophe.

> The first cases of monkeypox were reported in May, but tests will not be readily available until sometime this month. Vaccines will be in short supply for months longer. Surveillance is spotty, and official case counts are likely a gross underestimate. <

In the later half of the last century the U.S. was seen by much of the rest of the world as a positive example. The new deal in the 1930s and the success in World War II had left an enduring positive impressions.

There were negative aspects like ingrained racism, the Vietnam war and the aids pandemic. But the U.S. still seemed able to recognize its faults and to correct them. In the 1990s that changed. The cold war had ended but the U.S. continued to be an ideological empire. It is the last one:

As other powers abandon ideology in favor of reasserting national and civilizational claims, the United States and its various clients and satraps remain committed to ideological struggle, to bolstering liberalism—the one modern ideology that survived the previous century’s clash of ideologies.

During the later 1990s I visited the U.S. several times and traveled throughout the country. It was already crumbling. Much was patched over but the damage underneath was clearly visible. In 2000 the dot.com bubble burst followed by another crash in 2008. The war on Iraq and the response to Covid added to the negative impressions. Together they turned the global view around. The city upon a hill had lost its shine.

Today the skyline of St. Petersburg no longer shies away from comparisons with New York. Even tier-3 cities in China beat U.S. metropolises with their quality of life.

International soft power is acquired by being a good example. By being the one that others will strive to be. To get there and to be that requires the ability of the whole society to self correct its mistakes.

The U.S. has lost that capability.

DJ...In pandemic ready the US would be #1, UK #2, NL #3 in some ideological claims....Neo-liberalism, competition, would bring the best care with the lowest costs...How wrong ! 

Neo-liberalism is a "political excuse" for stealing from the poor...for international apartheid and racism..."let the Africans and Latin Americans die"....It is a rotten, sick, ideology that did bring us this close to world war three...

[url]https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/08/Forever-Pandemic-Nikiforuk-Replies-Critics/[/url] or https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/08/Forever-Pandemic-Nikiforuk-Replies-Critics/ 

DJ-YES ! We are in a permanent pandemic due to "liberalism", profit above public health...The sick ideology...

[url]https://bylinetimes.com/2022/05/26/un-warns-of-total-societal-collapse-due-to-breaching-of-planetary-boundaries/[/url] or https://bylinetimes.com/2022/05/26/un-warns-of-total-societal-collapse-due-to-breaching-of-planetary-boundaries/ 

We did not build just one house on melting ice...the west did base most of its fiat-economy on melting ice....Putting the bill for next generations in such a way next generations may not be there any longer...and "we" refuse to learn a thing from it..."Can't fix stupid = stupid will kill us all"!

Buried in the report, which was endorsed by UN Secretary-General António Guterres, is the finding that escalating synergies between disasters, economic vulnerabilities and ecosystem failures are escalating the risk of a “global collapse” scenario.

This stark conclusion appears to be the first time that the UN has issued a flagship global report finding that existing global policies are accelerating toward the collapse of human civilisation. Yet somehow this urgent warning has remained unreported until now.

The report does not suggest that this outcome is inevitable or specify how close to this possibility we are. But it does confirm that, without radical change, that’s where the world is heading.

DJ [url]https://www.undrr.org/gar2022-our-world-risk[/url] or https://www.undrr.org/gar2022-our-world-risk how much warning do we need ? 

Scott Ritter talking with "a Russian guy" [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cn5O0F3ZG5A[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cn5O0F3ZG5A Russia wanted talks on security in Europe...biden/bojo wanted war...So now we are close to Germany closing schools to save energy, close to hyperinflation in most of the west in conflict with the "rest"...

Still most political parties refuse to even understand this disaster is the outcome of their choices ! The west is now so much weaker then it was six months ago...

I am NOT a fan of Putin...I love my freedom of speech, of being able to totally disagree within certain limits...Russia-Iran-China does not have those kinds of freedoms...But the outcome of political stupidity is we in the west may loose not only those freedoms but also our lives in only worsening disasters we created ourselves...

In the Ukraine-war it is not only Ukraine that is being beaten by Russia...it is the west being beaten...The longer that war goes on-we escalated, provoked that war...the more damage it does to US !!!

In the pandemic BA.2.12.1 is being followed by BA.5 subvariants with BA.2.75 "series" (BA.2.73...BA.2.79 ???) next...and lots of surprises...Monkeypox has a CoViD-link no one seems to be willing to see...IF CoViD is weakening immunity it may open the doors to lots of other diseases...with H5 "avian flu" a major global risk...

And what do governments do to protect their citizens...start yet another war...

End of part 1...coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 09 2022 at 11:52pm

DJ, 

My goal on what used to be a forum here...one time....is "get some perspective" , Try to see what is happening. I do not have a lot of medical knowledge...some background in history...I did follow pandemic risks for the last few decades...The Spanish Flu has a clear link with World War One...You have to see all of the picture...

The plague in the 14th century has travel relations...so does CoViD...in that way pandemics should not surprise us...

However...what is surprising me is -with all the knowledge we are supposed to have now- the total inability to deal with SARS-2...We did limit SARS-1 in 2003...Why did air travel not stop in january 2020...?  Why do we keep repeating the same mistakes-with each new variant/disease- over and over again ? Are we stupid ???

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/india-ba-2-75-already-at-60-of-sequences-in-maharashtra/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/india-ba-2-75-already-at-60-of-sequences-in-maharashtra/

More details of the extraordinary growth of the BA.2.75 Omicron subvariant in India today.

An analysis by Josette Schoenmakers has shown that BA.2.75 (nicknamed “Centaurus”) has gone from 0% of genome sequences to 60% of sequences in just four weeks in Maharashtra, India. BA.5 now represents just 3% of sequences in Maharashtra, with BA.2.75 effectively skipping a generation to become dominant before BA.5 took hold.

Although the number of genome sequences is still too low to make a definitive call, this increase is another indicator of just how likely this subvariant is to cause severe problems in countries still experiencing the full force of the Omicron BA.5 wave. It’s just a matter of days before we start to see BA.2.75 appearing in the epidemiological reports from other countries.

 

This is a very important thread by Josette Schoenmakers, definitely one of those “Wow!” moments:

Because I think India is too big a country, I have analysed some of its provences. Gujarat: BA.2.75 from 1 to 9% in 3 weeks, BA.5 fluctuating around 7% Maharashtra: BA.2.75 from 0 to 60% in 4 weeks, BA.5 stable around 3% Tamil Nadu: only 1 BA.2.75, BA.5 grown from 18 to 60%

-

Helix identified the third case of #BA.2.75 in the US, now in . This #Omicron subvariant is causing some global concern because it may escape antibodies effective against other lineages, including BA.4/5 (which could indicate an increased ability for ppl to get reinfected)

DJ...Josette Schoenmakers (Dutch) recently detected a BA.2.79 in Amsterdam - NL...

So what do we do ? We know it is highly infectious, we should know it may be a major risk-with healthcare in crisis...We offer it free global travel ! 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/revaccination/preprint-vaccine-effectiveness-for-the-third-dose-in-negative-since-december-2021/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/revaccination/preprint-vaccine-effectiveness-for-the-third-dose-in-negative-since-december-2021/ ;

CONCLUSIONS

There is no discernable vaccine effectiveness among ≥18 years of age, vaccinated third dose population since the beginning of the Omicron variant surge. Pre-existing conditions, ethnicity, deprivation score, and vaccination rate disparities data need to be adjusted for evaluating VE for hospitalizations and deaths. The increased cases with significantly increased hospitalizations and deaths among the elderly population during the Omicron variant surge underscores the need to prevent infections in the elderly irrespective of vaccination status with uniform screening protocols and protective measures.

Preprint: Increasing SARS-CoV2 cases, hospitalizations and deaths among the vaccinated elderly populations during the Omicron (B.1.1.529) variant surge in UK

DJ...with limited testing/sequencing (capacity) and cases going up fast [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK ative symptomatic cases close to 4,2 million and going up...record active cases were in april 2022 4,6 million...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table real number of new cases per day must be (far) over 1 million...Excess deaths going up as well. Since some countries stick to "CoViD death definition as died within 28 days after a positive CoViD test" a lot of deaths are not included in the statistics for CoViD...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-study-shows-that-even-mild-sars-cov-2-infections-lead-to-brain-inflammation,-brain-damage-and-also-cognitive-issues[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-study-shows-that-even-mild-sars-cov-2-infections-lead-to-brain-inflammation,-brain-damage-and-also-cognitive-issues "long CoViD" is not "just imagination"..."people not willing to make themselves usefull" etc. 

California Policy Lab

@CAPolicyLab
 · 
Between 2019 and 2021, life expectancies fell: 5.7 years for Hispanic Californians 3.8 years for Black Californians 3 years for Asian Californians 1.9 years for White Californians Income also became more tightly correlated with life expectancy than it had been previously (2/4 )

and yes there is a link with poverty...maybe that explains why "the ruling rich" go for "herd immunity" even when there is NO herd immunity...

The wars an elite start-to make money from-does not kill them...it only is getting them more rich...This pandemics also "for profit oppertunity"...

Those weren't even "accepted norms". That SARS was airborne was known before the pandemic started. Then there was unequivocal evidence for it with SARS2 within weeks. All that had to be actively hidden, obfuscated and denied. The claim that children don't get it and...

If you can not solve the problems you created...just look the other way..."Do'nt look up"....

[url]https://indianexpress.com/article/lifestyle/health/the-three-ba-2-sub-variants-driving-covid-surge-and-the-efficacy-of-vaccines-against-them-8017491/[/url] or https://indianexpress.com/article/lifestyle/health/the-three-ba-2-sub-variants-driving-covid-surge-and-the-efficacy-of-vaccines-against-them-8017491/ ;

The virus is continuously evolving and in addition to the mutation present in BA.2, these three, BA.2.74, BA.2.75, and BA.2.76, have had additional mutations in their genome coding for spike proteins. These three sub-variants have had more than nine changes in the spike protein and are driving the surge in Covid infections. Two mutations, G4465 and R493Q, are the key changes in BA.2.75. These have been identified this week, so studies are essential to ascertain vaccine effectiveness against these emerging sub-variants. However, as these new sub-variants are detected in RT-PCR-positive patients in the current surge, their immune-escape potential is already established.

DJ...Lots of mutations at lots of places...point is CoViD could have BILLIONS !!!! of subtypes !!! 

[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports has detected 346 Omicron subvariants...with BA.1, BA.2, BA.4/5 and BA.2.7 subvariants being that much different they all should have had their own name...It is a form of denial to stick to "Omicron" when you have this many mutations/Variants of Concern...

We should be in lock down, trying everything we can to limit the unfolding disaster...but we start another war....

“What can we make of politicians who continue to argue that ‘1.5°C is still alive’? Are they misinformed or are they simply lying?”

Like in climate "change"=collapse we are in such a major dangerzone urgent action is needed...but totally missing...

The result is genocide by climate change, pandemic and war....

We need other leaders...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 10 2022 at 10:20pm

DJ, 

-War [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VIXepS9jqF0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VIXepS9jqF0 Military summary; in the last 5 minutes some major developments in Ukraine forces;

-US multi rocket systems may have some effects on Russian forces. Newer grenades may hit longer distance targets (up to 300 kilometer-rocket propelled granates ? )

-Ukraine now has 200,000 women in military duties

-Increase of over the border attacks into Russia

-DJ NATO very likely even more involved in intel/special forces

Further escalation...Ukraine did claim there would be an offensive in August. Poland, Georgia, Lithuania may be "very involved". UK (under liz truss - worst case- would sink even deeper into this war...)

-I do not know what to think of this story [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/massive-bank-run-in-china-turns-violent[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/massive-bank-run-in-china-turns-violent ...DJ Zero CoViD/lockdowns did limit economic growth for China. For China also energy imports prices did go up (allthough limited since they are a "strategic partner" of Russia). Also export to "the west" may have decreased. 

Climate collapse;

[url]https://www.ventusky.com/?p=70;17;2&l=temperature-2m&t=20220718/1500[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/?p=70;17;2&l=temperature-2m&t=20220718/1500 DJ-We did see reports of "extreme heat" possibly moving towards BeNeLux/UK/Germany. ([url]https://www.noodweer.be/weerkaarten/[/url] or https://www.noodweer.be/weerkaarten/ in Dutch).

Some models had extremes for july 17-18 up to 46C/110F....for up to three days...(sunday-tuesday). That kind of temperatures kill....

Pandemics;

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-pandemic-record-covid-infection-rates-in-scotland-wales-and-northern-ireland/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-pandemic-record-covid-infection-rates-in-scotland-wales-and-northern-ireland/ ; Data from the ZOE Covid-19 app today shows that there are pandemic record Covid incidence rates in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. Incidence rates in England will almost certainly surpass the previous record in the coming week. If this is a summer wave in Britain, what on earth will the next winter wave look like?

-

UK government Covid-19 figures show that there are currently about five times as many people being hospitalized for Covid-19 in England as there were on the same date one year ago

DJ [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table has tested/reported global cases at 5,5 million per week...around 800,000 reported cases per day with very limited testing...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/about-340,000-covid-19-infections-in-the-uk-in-last-24-hours-ba-5-infections-are-wreaking-havoc-globally-but-governments-and-mainstream-media-are-sile[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/about-340,000-covid-19-infections-in-the-uk-in-last-24-hours-ba-5-infections-are-wreaking-havoc-globally-but-governments-and-mainstream-media-are-sile nt

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK-ZOE has for july 9 4,2 million active UK cases. Early april this year the record high was 4,6 million cases. Also [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map are "very high"...

In NL eventhough [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/08/excess-mortality-1150-deaths-expected-june[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/08/excess-mortality-1150-deaths-expected-june and [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-infections-may-stabilizing-new-peak-hospital-total-jumps-20-percent[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-infections-may-stabilizing-new-peak-hospital-total-jumps-20-percent the official story is "it is mild and on its way to become endemic"....at least in main stream media...[url]https://www.rivm.nl/en/coronavirus-covid-19/weekly-figures[/url] or https://www.rivm.nl/en/coronavirus-covid-19/weekly-figures already gives another picture...[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NLD[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NLD last 60 days...

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps excess deaths in Germany and Spain "moderate" (4-7%). In NL, Italy, Portugal, Switzerland, Estonia "low" (2-4%)...For some of the countries (Spain, Italy) heatwaves will be a main factor...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory Portugal and Spain also relative high in Monkeypox pandemic...

DJ-I try to find some "official press release" claiming "CoViD is becoming endemic...milder" must be somewhere-they keep writing that even when all indications point the other direction...

End of part 1...part 2 twitter 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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part 2,

Just a recap. No point in writing much else. Nothing's going to change. Positivity up, wastewater concentration up, new hospital admissions up, currently hospitalized up. All measures far above last July. Let's see where this summer BA.5 wave ends up.

and

Completely spot on! ðŸ”½  "When the hamster studies concluded "BA.1 would be 'less severe', that was 'good science'." "When the same teams, with the same experimental protocols, show that BA.5 would be "more severe", it becomes 'crap science'..."

and

Important Research by  and team confirms study in hamster by   BA5 seems to have switched tropism back to lung cells compared to BA1/2 ( TMPRSS2) to be confirmed by other labs (as per usual) https://medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.07.22277128v1 PS: SAF primarily BA4. Not B5

and

Replying to  and 
But, I have to admit here it's not solely about race. It's about the feeling of superiority (exceptionalism) in the UK (more appropriate to say England) & the US. Non-English countries are always considered less valuable, thus German or Australian studies are also dismissed.

DJ..."selective science"...A bit like studies on new medication by big pharma in wich they exclude all not-welcome info...

One major problem in this pandemic is neo-liberalism has put big pharma in pandemic "control"...Only big pharma does NOT go for public health but for big profits...(and when "politics" start realizing how criminal wrong they were they "just start another war" (and blame Putin..)

Here's the latest picture for the new BA.2.75 sub-lineage (nickname: "Centaurus") - a "2nd generation" evolutionary jump from BA.2. India continues to report rapid growth, up to 22% of recent samples. Samples have been reported in new countries: Indonesia & Nepal

DJ, There is some discussion on India...not only is the reporting of cases "poor" but also the pandemic background is different from other parts of the world...Would previous BA.2.12.1 and/or BA.5 high numbers limit BA.2.75 like cases ? 

One problem may be BA.5 and the BA.2.seventies by now have that many subvariants One may have to look at specific mutations and what they could mean...

Then the other problem shows up-lack of testing=lack of sequencing...=lack of data...

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 26.09% BA.2.12.1, 11.40% unassigned, 11.09% BA.5.2.1, 10.14% BA.5.5, 7.94% BA.4.1, 6.60% BA.5, 5.57% BA.5.1, 5.34% BA.4  & 4.16% BA.2 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/10/22

US Close to 34% is a BA.5 subvariant...

When will the world take their credentials, real or fake or non-existent, stuff them where they belong, and stop listening to obvious BS. They have caused tremendous harm. This is beyond being had, leaders and everyone, they have caused harm beyond belief 

Salesmen tell you what you want to hear. Life rule #43: Don’t listen to people who tell you what you want to hear

DJ...So I HATE the picture;

-War(s) escalating even further

-Economic collapse =

-Political crises

-Climate collapse

-Pandemic out of control...

The most optimistic scenario would see us able to at least limit some of the damage...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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War;

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hA65eQTCBc8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hA65eQTCBc8 Military Summary last 5 minutes maybe most interesting...Since Ukraine is split by the Dnjepr river [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper and Russia is in firecontrol over the bridges (and a few tunnels) crossing that (often wide) river Ukraine has a major problem sending reinforcements/replacements/supplies east of the river...

An Ukraine offensive could be in the south of Ukraine (Kherson/Xepcoh) - west of the river. Another point is that it is not to far away from western/NATO borders...so NATO can continu this war...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vDwjTGYE_8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vDwjTGYE_8 (and others) are correct; this is a war by "the west" against "the rest"...so who will win? NApoleon, NAzi's, now NAto making the same mistakes....[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/11/dutch-pm-visits-kyiv-meet-ukrainian-president-zelenskyy[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/11/dutch-pm-visits-kyiv-meet-ukrainian-president-zelenskyy "Ukraine has to win" NL-PM mark rutte...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/nyt-ground-report-debunks-nyt-claim-of-strikes-against-ukraines-civilians.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/nyt-ground-report-debunks-nyt-claim-of-strikes-against-ukraines-civilians.html ....

DJ-sticking to non-functional strategies, blind for the causes...repeated in climate collapse and pandemics a.o.

[url]https://www.ventusky.com/[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/ has several weather models. Some hot summer days in NL in july and august are "normal"...a few days 35c/90F not seen as "extreme"...however 40c/100F is "extreme" even for one day...the model ventusky uses (ICON) and GFS do no longer show several days +40c/100F for the BeNeLux (Belgium-Netherlands-Luxemburg)...Such extreme heat will kill a lot of people...But we have to wait and see...several days of 30/35c -a heatwave- still will result in increase of excess deaths...

Pandemics...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/11/largest-increase-monkeypox-cases-takes-dutch-total-500[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/11/largest-increase-monkeypox-cases-takes-dutch-total-500 ;

The monkeypox virus has been diagnosed in 503 people in the Netherlands. That is 101 more than the previous update, which was released last Thursday. It is the largest increase since the virus appeared in the Netherlands in May.

In the past week, 151 infections were diagnosed, according to figures from the RIVM. The total number of cases has doubled in two weeks.


Most people in the Netherlands who have contracted the virus are men who have sexual contact with other men. The first infected people visited the Darklands leather and fetish festival in Belgium.

The RIVM warned last week that the upcoming pride events in Amsterdam and other cities could lead to "more intensive spread" of the monkeypox virus within the Netherlands. The most famous Pride event in the Netherlands, Pride Amsterdam, will be held from July 30 to August 7. Roze Woensdag in Nijmegen, Roze Maandag in Nijmegen, Roze Maandag in Tilburg, Pride Amersfoort, and the Milkshake Festival in Amsterdam are also slated to be held this month.

DJ -again- by now monkeypox is spread outside the gay community...AGAIN !!! Running behind the facts...vaccinations for "overactive gay men" may have limited use...Better communications can make a difference...STOP THE SPREAD !!!!

AGAIN !!!! This monkeypox virus has its roots in the West African variant-it is NO LONGER !!!! the West African variant...In recent years we did see a total of 2,000 monkeypox cases - a slow spread, regional almost all cases in West/Central Africa...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory puts cases at 9,800 in this global outbreak...real number may be over 100,000 !

The more spread the more mutations-the more variants...From CoViD we should learn that vaccines may make matters worse if we do NOT stop the spread. You end up with immunity/vaccine evading variants...

YES there may be a link with HIV in Africa...a major problem. However most cases (and testing) in Europe, North America...there CoViD may be a major factor !

DJ, Wars kill, climate collapse kills more...out of control pandemics could even be worse...combining them -economic/political collapse- may be unsurvivable...

End of part 1


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, 

This morning a news overview [url]https://teletekst-data.nos.nl/webplus?p=126[/url] or https://teletekst-data.nos.nl/webplus?p=126 new India variant BA.2.75 "could become a problem in fall"...detected "in India, US, UK, Germany"......This realy makes me @#*$%#@! 

Verder is er in Noord-Holland en Gelderland nog een BA.2.74 en in Gelderland ook nog een BA.2.76 gevonden. Dit zijn andere sublineages die het in India en daarbuiten nog lang vol lijken te houden en zich verspreiden.

translation; North of Holland, Gelderland (parts of NL) BA.2.74 Gelderland BA.2.76 (Arnhem is the capital of Gelderland). 

Nou, dat was snel ðŸ™ƒ. Het RIVM heeft net 1k samples geüpload waaronder 1 BA.2.75. Uit Gelderland, test afgenomen op 26 juni. Thanks,  , for letting me know!

translation; that is fast ;-( NL-CDC uploaded 1000 samples (on GISAID) a.o. 1 BA.2.75 from Gelderland - detected june 26. [url]https://twitter.com/RajlabN[/url] or https://twitter.com/RajlabN (from the US) informed Josette Schoenmakers. DJ so the NL-CDC had to share data they did not share for several weeks !!!

In other words BA.2.74 to BA.2.79 has been detected already -even with (very) limited testing/sequencing...If it is spreading NOW !!! (not in autumn/fall !!!) India data (also very limited) indicate it could start replacing BA.5 subvariants...

BA.5 like Delta goes to the lungs causing more severe disease, hospital cases, deaths...(imaging what extreme heat will do if your lungs hardly function..hearthproblems etc.). 








WHOA! Positivity rate in US is 41.3%, according to Walgreens #COVID19 Index!!!!  It looks around as high as the Omicron peak! Remember case numbers we see are VAST undercount as most people are testing at home on rapid tests and those aren't counted. https://walgreens.com/businesssolutions/covid-19-index.jsp

DJ And -again- home testing is becoming unreliable [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/11/self-tests-without-covid-symptoms-often-inaccurate-study[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/11/self-tests-without-covid-symptoms-often-inaccurate-study ;

During the period when the Omicron variant of the coronavirus was dominant, the accuracy of three commercially available self-tests was low for people without coronavirus symptoms. Research showed that if people without complaints did a self-test, 72 to 80 percent of the infected people did not test positive.

It was already known that self-tests are sufficiently reliable in people who do have coronavirus-like symptoms.


A large group of Dutch researchers examined three commercially available and often-used coronavirus self-tests from Acon Labs (Flowflex), MP Biomedicals (MPbio), and Siemens-Healthineers (Clinitest) on more than 3,600 people without coronavirus symptoms. The study was conducted from January 12 to March 30 this year, when the Omicron variant was clearly dominant in the Netherlands. At the test sites, the participants underwent a PCR test to determine whether they were infected. They then received one of the three self-tests to use at home within three hours of the site visit, without knowing the results of the PCR test.

The researchers called the outcome of their study important for situations in which the authorities must decide whether or not have symptomless people use self-tests. They advise people without complaints who got negative results from such a test to repeat the self-test if they are among vulnerable people, for example, a day after the first test.


The research also showed that it is still important to observe the basic hygiene measures to protect vulnerable people - social distancing where possible, good ventilation, the use of a face mask, and coughing or sneezing into the elbow instead of the hands

Still most countries go for "at home testing"....[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/transmission/biden-i-wont-shake-hands-due-to-covid-surge/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/transmission/biden-i-wont-shake-hands-due-to-covid-surge/

The White House has reportedly told Iraeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid’s office that due to the surge in COVID-19 infections in the US and Israel, the president will refrain from shaking hands.

Jerusalem Post report

double standards...In most countries people have NO legal right to work/study from home...The "elite" however going for all they can get in protection...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/reinfection/preprint-duration-of-immune-protection-of-sars-cov-2-natural-infection-against-reinfection/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/reinfection/preprint-duration-of-immune-protection-of-sars-cov-2-natural-infection-against-reinfection/

RESULTS Effectiveness of pre-Omicron primary infection against pre-Omicron reinfection was 85.5% (95% CI: 84.8-86.2%). Effectiveness peaked at 90.5% (95% CI: 88.4-92.3%) in the 7th month after the primary infection, but waned to ∼70% by the 16th month. Extrapolating this waning trend using a Gompertz curve suggested an effectiveness of 50% in the 22nd month and <10% by the 32nd month. Effectiveness of pre-Omicron primary infection against Omicron reinfection was 38.1% (95% CI: 36.3-39.8%) and declined with time since primary infection. A Gompertz curve suggested an effectiveness of <10% by the 15th month.

Effectiveness of primary infection against severe, critical, or fatal COVID-19 reinfection was 97.3% (95% CI: 94.9- 98.6%), irrespective of the variant of primary infection or reinfection, and with no evidence for waning. Similar results were found in sub-group analyses for those ≥50 years of age.

Preprint: Duration of immune protection of SARS-CoV-2 natural infection against reinfection in Qatar

DJ By definition these studies are retrospective...look at the past. CoViD is fast mutating...and yes, lots of people dying from CoViD are in "the old and weak" but AGAIN also a lot of younger people die from CoViD ! Getting CoViD over and over again, long CoViD (more seen in women, men die more...) does damage immunity...may open doors to all kinds of other diseases...

Lots of people-most of us-catch other diseases without knowing it. We may feel "a bit less well" for a few days...that was it...immunity solved the problem. However CoViD may see all kinds of other diseases now "beating our immunity"...Not only since (post)CoViD did weaken immunity - also more spread of other diseases will create more mutations/changes in those diseases...

Like monkeypox also other diseases will act differently...The major-but not only-worry (TB is another one...) is H5 avian/bird flu...allready very widespread around the globe in lots of animals (and that may have a CoViD-link itself...CoViD is NOT just a human disease...More then 100 other species may catch/spread it...creating even more mutations...). 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-study-finds-that-sars-cov-2-can-survive-on-frozen-or-refrigerated-meats-and-seafood-for-up-to-30-days,-validating-china-s-claims[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-study-finds-that-sars-cov-2-can-survive-on-frozen-or-refrigerated-meats-and-seafood-for-up-to-30-days,-validating-china-s-claims 

DJ-China claimed CoViD may have been imported into China in 2019...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/research-evidence-of-sars-cov-2-before-wuhan-outbreak-in-2019/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/research-evidence-of-sars-cov-2-before-wuhan-outbreak-in-2019/ Angola may be one of the countries that did see CoViD before China detected it ??? Can it be imported into China via frozen fish ? 

Non-human hosts may see a lot of mutations/variants...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/infection/preprint-an-ongoing-covid-19-infection-lasting-471-days-with-three-different-variants/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/infection/preprint-an-ongoing-covid-19-infection-lasting-471-days-with-three-different-variants/ immuno compromised patients (but also others....) may have to deal with a CoViD variant staying behind, mutating in part of the body...

AGAIN ! It is easy to catch a virus - it may be impossible to get rid of it...It can hide in an organ...you may not even have symptoms...if you are lucky it will go away...Bad luck it reactivates, causing disease...maybe-due to mutations inside the body- even worse. It may be seen as "re-infection" but it may be "re-infection from inside the body"....

And [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-shows-sars-cov-2-infections-downregulates-ace2-expression-while-upregulating-ang-ii-levels-in-plasma,-resulting-in-pulmonary-vascular-damage[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-shows-sars-cov-2-infections-downregulates-ace2-expression-while-upregulating-ang-ii-levels-in-plasma,-resulting-in-pulmonary-vascular-damage some media still call it a "lung virus"...CoViD does do damage (and maybe even hide !) all over the body....

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK cases 4,3 million-moving to breaking the "old april record of 4,6 million UK cases...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table has UK cases going down -79% based on not reporting cases in the weekend...Wednesday/Thursday statistics may give the best indication on where we are heading to...Global cases +3%, deaths -3%

Israel cases -5%...however deaths +102% !!! Last week in Israel 42 people died from CoViD (within 28 days after a +test)...last 7 days it was 85 deaths...

So BA.5.2.1 may compete with othe BA.5 subvariants ? Outcompete the "India" BA.2.7+ subvariants ? Or "co-spread"/"co-exist"...(A bit like VOC's could be seen as SARS-2.1 to SARS-2-? where are we-what to count ? SARS-2.10 ?)

STOP THE SPREAD ! MASK UP ! But the official story is "it is mild, herd immunity, live with it..." insanity !

DJ-The "big picture" is healthcare may crash in many places...with that "social order/logistics" may collapse...IF CoViD acts like a sort of HIV-destroying a lot of immunity and IF H5/TB etc. starts spreading "major" we are talking about an end game...

To end positive; 

STOP THE SPREAD and MASKS are things you can do ! Limit/avoid social contacts/larger crowds...far from 100% but maybe the best option...

Coffee ! End of part 2

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DJ, 

War; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FaMuiX1aBgQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FaMuiX1aBgQ from minute 16; US killed in Ukraine 220, From Europe Poland, Romania and UK are top of the list with hundreds of volunteers already killed according to Russia. 

Also (Hal Turner reported it last week) one (maybe two) US-Himars multi rocket launchers were sold by Ukrainians to (pro) Russian forces...for around 1 million US$. 

DJ-both items can be propaganda, fake news...however Russian reporting seems to be more realistic then Ukraine reporting...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/no-iran-will-not-deliver-armed-drones-to-russia.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/no-iran-will-not-deliver-armed-drones-to-russia.html after claims China would send weapons to Russia now US fake reporting claiming Iran would send weapons to Russia...News related to a biden visit to the middle east...hoping to get some support for the biden/US war against Russia...

Comments may have a good point; Türkiye could be selling drones to Russia...Türkiye is very active in selling/promoting its drones...Ukraine had some...but may be running out of money...Türkiye needs Russian/Chinese investments, trade tourism...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/michael-hudson-the-end-of-western-civilization.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/michael-hudson-the-end-of-western-civilization.html DJ-Yesterday we did see "parity" between US$ and the € Euro...1$=1€...with the Euro sinking further due to energy worries...

Bad part for us-in Euro-countries; prices from imported goods go up even faster...Good part however export from Euro-countries get cheaper...But with pandemics out of control, energy problems getting worse, heatwaves/wildfires, social unrest we may not see export increasing...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-russian-ministry-of-defense-we-are-on-the-verge-of-an-immediate-armed-conflict-with-the-united-states[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-russian-ministry-of-defense-we-are-on-the-verge-of-an-immediate-armed-conflict-with-the-united-states Kissinger expects NATO-Russia open war in august, next month;

DJ;

-Ukraine/NATO is preparing a major offensive in western Ukraine (no doubt with even more NATO forces involved..a NATO no-fly zone ?)

-The west needs a victory before winter comes..."we" are running out of means to fight a major war after august..

-Ukraine forces are on the brink of collapse...most likely already lots of NATO military in Ukraine...

-This war did become a war of "the west against the rest"...if the west does not get a sort of victory western dominance ends...

Climate;

Lots of the world already dealing with extreme heat/weather...wildfires in many places. For NL unclear how warm it will get (after) this weekend...the 40C/110F is not of the charts...

Pandemics;

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-scientists-discover-non-canonical-rna-secondary-structure-g-quadruplex-rg4-in-monkeypox-strains-that-are-currently-spreading-globally[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-scientists-discover-non-canonical-rna-secondary-structure-g-quadruplex-rg4-in-monkeypox-strains-that-are-currently-spreading-globally 

Some keep talking about "West African variant" of Monkeypox...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory now at 10,450 confirmed cases...real number most likely over 100,000...

This is a NEW form of pox...[url]https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.06.18.496696v1[/url] or https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.06.18.496696v1 ;

We report a non-canonical RNA secondary structure, G-quadruplex (RG4), that surprisingly evolved stepwise with various variants. The RG4 motif is located in the coding sequence region of MPXV C9L gene that is functional in inhibiting host innate immune response. The evolution decreases the stability of this RG4 and promotes C9L protein level in living cells. Importantly, all the reported MPXV genomes in 2022 contain the most unstable RG4 variant, which may be the reason of the increasing spread of MPXV. These findings recommend that health authorities and researchers pay attention to the genomic evolution of MPXV. 

DJ "C9L" would help evading immunity...TMN translation...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-nih-funded-study-reveals-gloomy-findings-about-long-term-protection-from-covid-19-including-autoimmune-and-possible-ade-issues[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-nih-funded-study-reveals-gloomy-findings-about-long-term-protection-from-covid-19-including-autoimmune-and-possible-ade-issues 

DJ-Going for herd immunity did bring lots of variants...vaccinations without stopping the spread did bring even more immunity evasion...So the long term pattern is CoViD not only ignoring immunity (and vaccines) but "selection" for using the immunity system to spread [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-finds-that-those-infected-with-covid-19-have-increased-risk-of--deep-vein-thrombosis,-pulmonary-embolism-and-bleeding-for-up-to-six-months[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-finds-that-those-infected-with-covid-19-have-increased-risk-of--deep-vein-thrombosis,-pulmonary-embolism-and-bleeding-for-up-to-six-months DJ-"Long CoViD = CoViD"!

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/japan-ba-2-75-confirmed-in-kobe/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/japan-ba-2-75-confirmed-in-kobe/ ;

“The possibility of community-acquired infection cannot be ruled out.”

Kobe City announced that the new mutant virus BA.2.75 has been confirmed in the city. The city says it is the first confirmation in the whole of the country, except for domestic quarantine.

According to the city of Kobe, on the 24th of last month, a woman in her 40s in the city had symptoms of coughing and fever, so when she visited a medical institution, it was confirmed that she was infected with the new coronavirus.

After that, when the city collected a female sample and analyzed the genome, it was found that it was a new mutant virus called BA.2.75, a subvariant of the BA.2 Omicron strain.

The woman has not travelled within 14 days before the onset of the disease, and no contact with people who have traveled abroad has been confirmed. Kobe City states that “the possibility of community-acquired infection cannot be ruled out.”

NHK report (in Japanese)

DJ...BA.2.7+ variants BA.5.2.1 variants most likely increasing worldwide...

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time may reach another record level -over 4,6 million active cases in the UK-today...

Stay safe and sane !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 13 2022 at 10:22pm

DJ, 

Vaccines....I hope they are safe enough...doubt on how effective they are now against new variants of CoViD...NPI, Non Pharma Interventions, limiting contacts by now could offer more protection...BA.2.75 now named by some as "Centaurus" may indicate "health institutions" (WHO, CDC) are losing control on the pandemic (denial) story...

War; 

Military Summary [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k7bEwv4F0hg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k7bEwv4F0hg maybe two main developments;

-In East Ukraine/Donbas another major Russian offensive may encircle -again- (tens of ?) thousends of (pro) Ukraine forces..

-In South Ukraine Nikolayev/Kherson (Xepcoh...may also be the old "Greek" name ? ) area Russia may be starting their own major operation to unable NATO/Ukraine offensive next month. Ukraine(US) may have plans to blow up dams to cause major flooding...

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M142_HIMARS[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M142_HIMARS and other major US/UK/France weapons give away their position when used...So (pro)Russian forces do all they can to destroy that kind of weapons (including NATO ? staff).

-DJ...the main reason "zelensky is still president of Ukraine" is because he is a US puppet...Lots of groups (military, nazi's) want to get rid of zelensky...but without zelenski NATO will need another "control puppet"...In my opinion all major "Ukraine decissions" are US/NATO decissions...Again; "WE" -NATO, are fighting-at war- with Russia in Ukraine and we are losing that war...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/harpers-declares-its-over-the-american-century-is-gone.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/harpers-declares-its-over-the-american-century-is-gone.html 

DJ-I think by now there are two major groups in the west;

-1 Still dominant is the one willing to push for more escalation, more NATO weapons (and soldiers) in Ukraine...

Since the price is going up each day, the price is extreme, and a lack of succes-with very high risks of further-global-escalation...

-2 De-escalation "push" may be growing fast...

DJ, I did see two Scottish members of parliament were banned from the London parliament because of their call for another referendum on Scotland out of the UK...The "United" Kingdom is no longer "united"...Further UK war, now in Ukraine (before in Afghanistan, Iraq, etc)  may "end" the UK...

Inflation, energy, food, are "major global problems" , escalation only worsens those problems...So Türkiye managed to have a UN-Ukraine-Russia meeting on grain exports...EU pushed Lithuania to lift rail blockade to Kaliningrad...Norway allows Russians to get supplies on Svalbard/Spitsbergen...

In fact the EU is getting more and more divided because of energy needs, "the economy"...

So...from Ukraine western strategy faillure to the pandemics western strategy faillures...They have a lot in common;

-Not willing to see/understand possible risks

-Go for profit...(bringing democracy to Russian oil and gas...Big Pharma profits on pandemics while Non Pharma Interventions may be more effective by now...but they do not bring in profits...) 

-"Failing leaders" still stick to their seats...(bojo till september ? biden november/mid-term ? macron, rutte, scholz, draghi ???)

-Main Stream Media and politics "owned" by the same elite, spreading disinformation/lies...

-Outcome of these avoidable disasters getting worse by the hour...(Russia now much more powerfull then 6 months ago, we now face TWO pandemics out of control...). 

-In fact "the west" has NO strategy...(sanctions, sending in weapons, going for non excisting herd immunity all fail...)

Again these pandemics and the wars should have been prevented ! From stopping travel in january 2020 to new talks with Russia (iran, China) on security...the present rulling western anti-democratic elite -making democracy into democrazy- going for profits, greed...mass murder...

End of part 1 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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part 2, 

The only word describing policies a lot of countries now "use" in the many crises "late capitalism" brings, climate collapse, pandemics, wars. hyperinflation, starvation, refugees, is "insanity"...

Not sure how serious things need to get before governments remember you can't just shut your eyes, stick fingers in your ears and wish your way out of a pandemic...     and others agree, funnily enough! Thanks 

A link [url]https://www.wsj.com/articles/omicron-strains-drive-new-covid-wave-in-europe-as-measures-fall-away-11657552364[/url] or https://www.wsj.com/articles/omicron-strains-drive-new-covid-wave-in-europe-as-measures-fall-away-11657552364 ;

Scientists, fearing further waves, warn governments might be too complacent

DJ, Even this sentence is a lie...

New study suggests that new BA4 and BA5 variants work by both evading the existing immune defenses and also neutralising some of them. No surprise they are so successful as UK cases soar to record levels.

and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-new-pandemic-high-record-for-covid-cases/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-new-pandemic-high-record-for-covid-cases/ 

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time Something like 1-in-15 UK citizens may now be dealing with CoViD-like symptoms...








At 02:30, I arrived to a patient who had fallen in the garden, with a fractured mid shaft femur & was still outside TEN HOURS after they called. The 2 ‘red’ calls we’d been to earlier whilst this pt waited for us weren’t reds at all & didn’t even need an #Ambulance

Healthcare in crisis...again..."politicians" playing around in their foolhouse...

We have new U.K. RECORD! Over 351000 daily new cases on the Zoe app - that 1 in 15 people with the virus currently. Still rising across England but flattening in Scotland and Wales. All age groups increasing but kids levelling so hopefully flat within a week . Thanks ðŸ™ 4 logging

Problem is other variants will follow the present BA.5 dominant variant...already co-spreading...Like the Ukraine war western healthcare is close to collapse...with politics/main stream media-both owned by an anti-democratic elite try to hide the unfolding disasters...

[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/07/human-extinction-by-2025.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/07/human-extinction-by-2025.html ; Earth's energy imbalance, defined as the absorbed solar radiation minus the net outgoing longwave radiation, is arguably the most important metric related to climate change, argue Kevin Trenberth et al. in a recent article.

DJ Destroying live, this planet for profit, greed, ....insanity !

Warning! Because of a lot of missing spike nucleotides in many sequences from India, BA.5 is probably underestimated, because I search for it with spike mutations. I will make new ones tomorrow, searching solely for M_D3N. Look at all the N's! (Selection!)

see [url]https://twitter.com/JosetteSchoenma/status/1547346186390085634/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/JosetteSchoenma/status/1547346186390085634/photo/1 

BA.2.75+ "Centaurus", BA.5.2.1 and very likely lots of others "spreading like wildfire"...








Yes. Go to escape calculator (https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2_RBD_Ab_escape_maps/escape-calc/), select antibodies that neutralize BA.2, shift-click RBD sites mutated in BA.2.75 relative to BA.2. Results below. For current vax, next escape sites in BA.2.75: 346, 486, 444, 356. For BA.1 breakthrough, also 347, 348, & 468

So "where are we now"? 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table reporting close to a million new tested cases worldwide...with most cases simply not being tested/missed and not reported...Cases/deaths worldwide +3%...

For the US cases now +7%, deaths +2%;

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 21.10% BA.2.12.1, 15.94% BA.5.2.1, 9.86% BA.5, 9.66% BA.5.5, 8.65% BA.5.1, 8.01% BA.4.1, 6.33% BA.4 and 5.85% BA.5.2 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/13/22

See also [url]https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1547386473216983045/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1547386473216983045/photo/1 (also has BA.2.7+)








BA.5 has improved ability compared to BA.1 to ð™¨ð™ªð™¥ð™¥ð™§ð™šð™¨ð™¨ ð™ð™¤ð™¨ð™© ð™žð™¢ð™¢ð™ªð™£ð™š ð™§ð™šð™¨ð™¥ð™¤ð™£ð™¨ð™šð™¨. Higher disease severity of BA.5 is ð™£ð™¤ð™© ð™¤ð™£ð™¡ð™® due to immune evasiveness, but also suppression of host immune responses.

link [url]https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.12.499603v1[/url] or https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.12.499603v1 

DJ-If biden/bojo provoked another war to hide from pandemics/climate disasters of course it will only makes matters worse...

India;

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #India  Top Circulating Lineages (#30DayTrends): 64.13% BA.2 7.29% BA.5.2 7.11% BA.2.75 5.27% BA.2.56 2.97% BA.5.2.1 Tracker: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/VariantDashboard_INDIA/VariantDashboard Updated 07/13/22

See also [url]https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1547435130817478658/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1547435130817478658/photo/1 and further...

(Also including BA.2.9 not yet in [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports (outbreak has two tables for Omicron...may be some double counting...)

[url]https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1547435562293989377/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1547435562293989377/photo/1 

[url]https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/08/Forever-Pandemic-Nikiforuk-Replies-Critics/[/url] or https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/08/Forever-Pandemic-Nikiforuk-Replies-Critics/ 

"Saving the economy/profits", "freedom-misinformation" did bring the world the worst ever pandemic, a total climate disaster and is pushing the world to World War Three...

Thank you biden, bojo, rutte, macron, scholtz, draghi etc...

Damage control is all there is left...STOP THE SPREAD will be the outcome of most people simply to ill to fly...energy crisis, economic collapse...heatwaves, floodings, droughts...great !

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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War, in some headlines;

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/white-house-assured-khashoggis-wife-his-death-will-be-raised-saudi-mbs[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/white-house-assured-khashoggis-wife-his-death-will-be-raised-saudi-mbs The Saudi run Yemen war -with a.o. US/UK weapons/support- killed half a million ? 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/russia-continues-earn-more-exporting-less-oil[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/russia-continues-earn-more-exporting-less-oil We not only provoked the Ukraine war, we also pay for it...double...Russian energy imports AND sending trillions by now into Ukraine !

[url]http://thesaker.is/russia-and-china-havent-even-started-to-ratchet-up-the-pain-dial/[/url] or http://thesaker.is/russia-and-china-havent-even-started-to-ratchet-up-the-pain-dial/ The longer the west is not willing to go for talks "on security in Europe" (=no further NATO expansionism !) the higher the price...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/ukraine-sitrep-further-defense-lines-a-failed-counterattack-weapon-deliveries.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/ukraine-sitrep-further-defense-lines-a-failed-counterattack-weapon-deliveries.html Soon the only way to keep this war going will be sending in Polish, Romanian etc. military...Ukraine is running out of men...

The total lack of strategy, "profits first" is seen also in climate collapse and pandemics....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-covid-19-diagnostics-urgently-needed-as-the-current-nasal-or-saliva-swabs-tests-are-unable-to-detect-viral-persistence-let-alone-new-variants[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-covid-19-diagnostics-urgently-needed-as-the-current-nasal-or-saliva-swabs-tests-are-unable-to-detect-viral-persistence-let-alone-new-variants Not only is immunity (via vaccination) no longer "very effective"...also testing has gone problematic...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time newest update will show the UK now at record levels for CoViD-symptoms...

ZOE [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAyUJ5uA3sE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAyUJ5uA3sE Tim Spector from Paris;For the first time ever, new daily COVID cases have exceeded 350,000 this week. Tim looks at why this is and who's at highest risk of infection. He also brings the latest update on our research on menopause symptoms and reveals a surprising correlation with snacking!

A few points;

-Most cases mild

-Hospital cases in UK now +1500 per day...NHS has a problem when it goes towards 2000 per day...still hospital cases going up...

-Four major variants (BA.2 and BA.5 subtypes)

-R0 in UK 1.1

-Reinfection risk is high...may be another subvariant then the initial one...

-Summer cold towards CoViD ratio now 1 to 2...Cold like symptoms twice as likely to be CoViD...

Millions of Britons are now living with 'long conservative'. Symptoms include; nausea, irritability, despondency, insecure job, pay cuts, low growth and record inflation.







Arrived at ED to find we’re 17th in a queue of now 22 ambulances, 4 of which are dedicated HALO vehicles. It’s going to be another long, hot day… #Ambulance

DJ, Many other countries must be record high...You do not need individual mass testing...sewage, statistics may do an even better job for getting a view on what this pandemic is doing...But then there has to be funds to increase sequencing/research...it is not even a priority...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ had 933,393 new cases for july 14, 1,024,065 for july 13...with most cases NOT seeing any testing...Deaths july 14 was 1,571, july 13 was 1,835 (excess deaths +4 weeks after a positive test are NOT included...).

Trends worldwide cases +2%, deaths -2% last 7 days did see 6,234,594 new cases, 11,052 reported deaths...

Due to the failure of regularly boosting (at least) old people to keep their antibodies high, here are new #COVID hospital admissions for the 70+ population (per 100k, the US). Far above spring 21 wave (when they were freshly vaccinated) & almost reaching summer 21 #Delta wave.

Again...STOP THE SPREAD !!! Why governments ignore all kind of major problems ? Money ! Profit ! Greed !

Replying to 
It's not only ICU. Have you seen how the bottoms of the waves keep getting higher in all COVID measurements: cases linger, hospitals never empty, wastewater levels stay elevated. There are no more NPIs to kill the wave off but it also could be due to more persistent infections.

There is an "under current" of long lasting infections pushing up the total numbers...

DJ Some longer term trends;

-Long (chronic) CoViD may get "bigger" then "acute" CoViD

-Number of several different types of CoViD/SARS-2 will grow...(in fact you have SARS-2.1 to SARS-2.????)

-Worldometers has total global tested CoViD cases at 565,5 million...real number must be in the billions

-Spread in non-human hosts may be even larger (part asymptomatic; still could result in new mutations/variants) then human spread

-CoViD now "exponential" both in cases and (sub)variants...

(By the way...[url]https://www.facebook.com/wormsandgermsblog/[/url] or https://www.facebook.com/wormsandgermsblog/ latest info +2 weeks old...)

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, 

BA.2.75 and BA.5.2.1 are seen as possibly problematic high spreaders evading immunity...








South Africa: 2 potential new lineages Heads Up! âš ï¸ Several sequences with an unusual mutation pattern in the most recent upload from South Africa âš ï¸ Both clusters have a second silent nt change in L452R not present in BA.4/5.

so [url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/844[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/844 discussing these two -very early/limited- new South African samples...discussion on if it is a form of recombination...links between the two new detected samples...

Early detection could/should bring early action...However BA.2.75 (etc) early detection in India (and of course [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory now 12,000 confirmed cases) did NOT bring any Non Pharma Intervention...

DJ-If Governments, CDC, WHO refuse to stop any spreads this pandemic simply will kill us all...I do think monkeypox did become this big because of CoViD. Other diseases H5/H7 Avian flu types, TB(C) etc. soon could also go "exponential" on top of massive chronic CoViD....

[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/07/human-extinction-by-2025.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/07/human-extinction-by-2025.html Do governments, WHO etc. want to see an end to humans ? Of course nuclear all out war is the fast way for such an -insane- goal !








Nearly 6% of German ICU capacity is currently occupied by COVID patients. Every summer, minimum occupation has increased. In 2020, occupation sank as low as 0.8%. It has never been that low again. In 2021, the minimum was 1.5% In 2022, occupation never went below 2.9% Bad trend.

DJ..exponential trend 20=0,8, 21=1,6, 22=3,2, 23 would be 6,4, 2024 then 12,8, 25=25,6 26=51,2 crash in 2027 at 103,2%...but of course "summer waves" used to be much milder then winter waves...








There are so many insane macro moves in motion, that it can make you dizzy. It is one of those times where going for a long walk (finding a way to get a bigger perspective is needed), to think 2-3 steps ahead

Of course economic collapse is the end of (public) health care...








Here's the unpopular truth: in the absence of strong public health measures that reduce and slow the spread of covid, we won't have a functional healthcare system, because there will never be a post-traumatic phase when healthcare can regroup, rebuild, recover.

and if you do not solve a problem most problems may worsen...climate change, this pandemic will not end by themselves...the virus could "win"...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 15 2022 at 10:07pm

DJ, 

War

Alexander Mercouris [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nztSJJASql8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nztSJJASql8 wondering if biden/US/west is seeking war with not only Russia but also Iran, China...

Military Summary [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TrI7pEaBCHI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TrI7pEaBCHI mentioning Brazil trying to negotiate...Serbia claiming Russia willing to offer a deal after they take over Donetsk next month...US pulling its embassy from Kiev to Lviv...after a top-meeting of west and Ukraine logistics/weapons experts was blown up by Russian missile strikes (also killing some civilian human shields..) 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/nyt-continues-to-report-strikes-on-civilians-that-somehow-happen-to-hit-military-targets.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/nyt-continues-to-report-strikes-on-civilians-that-somehow-happen-to-hit-military-targets.html (Also the UN did not go for western claims of Russian terror...when Ukraine is using citizens as shields...)

DJ Next month the Ukraine war has been going on for half a year. We already have over 100,000+ deaths, 90% of them Ukrainian...NATO military killed may be 1,000+...The west is now weaker then at the start of this year...

US "democrats" sticking to trump came to power via Putin are destroying "the west"....The US had THREE contested elections in this 21st century...Do not blame others for bad procedures in US election systems...Further escalation-going for winning a lost war-only gets us closer to nuclear war...

NATO expansinism is a danger for NATO and "the world"...it has to stop now !

Climate;

[url]https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2022/red-extreme-heat-warning[/url] or https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2022/red-extreme-heat-warning

For the first time temperatures of 40°C have been forecast in the UK and the Met Office has issued the first ever Red warning for exceptional heat.

Exceptional heat is expected to affect a large part of England early next week, with temperatures likely in the high 30s C in some places and perhaps even reaching 40°C.  

DJ..We are also expecting extreme heat here in NL, Germany next week...40c/110F+...Limit activities during the hottest hours...stay cool and indoors...also for pets...Those temperatures do kill !

Pandemic

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-ons-nearly-3-5-million-infections-in-the-uk-in-the-last-week/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-ons-nearly-3-5-million-infections-in-the-uk-in-the-last-week/ ;

The UK Covid horror show continues….

The latest coronavirus numbers from the UK Office of National Statistics show that nearly 3.5 million people were infected with Covid in the last week, that’s more than one in twenty people in every area of the country.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to increase across the UK.
  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 2,873,600 (95% credible interval: 2,754,900 to 2,991,100), equating to 5.27% of the population, or around 1 in 19 people.
  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 183,500 (95% credible interval: 155,800 to 215,300), equating to 6.04% of the population, or around 1 in 17 people.
  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 107,600 (95% credible interval: 86,900 to 129,700), equating to 5.86% of the population, or around 1 in 17 people.
  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 334,000 (95% credible interval: 287,400 to 382,300), equating to 6.34% of the population, or around 1 in 16 people.

Both the ONS and the ZOE Covid figures show that Great Britain is in the middle of its biggest ever Covid wave, as we pointed out just a few days ago.

The SARS-CoV-2 virus has killed between six and eighteen million people worldwide, with at least 200,000 of those deaths occurring in Britain, and yet still the virus is allowed to run rampant through schools, offices and the community with no attempt at mitigation.

There seems to be no appetite whatsoever by the British government to prevent the transmission of this virus amongst the population, nor any willingness to assess the dangers of deadlier strains of the virus appearing.

Predicting the result of this policy of neglect isn’t difficult – it will be utterly catastrophic. We can only hope that, one day, there will be restitution for the victims of this act of wilful genocide.

DJ [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/14/sick-leave-netherlands-third-higher-pre-pandemic[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/14/sick-leave-netherlands-third-higher-pre-pandemic 

Lots of people forced to work in supermarkets..even healthcare...even after a positive CoViD-test...

Just like in climate change, foreign "policy" the (lack of) strategy to contain pandemics is a total disaster....[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK cases still going up...Since reinfection after just a few weeks, and several subvariants are spreading, the potential maximum could be ALL of the UK having symptoms...Rest of the world not much better...

There -for now- may hardly be a point in any testing/sequencing....STOP THE SPREAD !!! 

Again, YES most cases may look mild...but Long CoViD=CoViD !!! Excess deaths much higher then pre-pandemic...

Other diseases very likely to spread;

-Vaccinations for other diseases were much lower since the focus was on CoViD vaccines...

-CoViD destroys immunity

-Other diseases -with more spread- also change (this monkeypox is not acting like the West Africa variant...). 

So...if we go on the way we do it is quite simple...[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/07/human-extinction-by-2025.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/07/human-extinction-by-2025.html 

DJ...It is WRONG !!! to even believe a pandemic will go away by itself! At best it gets endemic...But pandemics kill...Europeans discouvering the America's did introduce diseases killing 90% of the native population...The plague did kill 100% of the population in some places of EurAsia...

There seems to be no plan, no strategy to deal with this pandemic...(or climate collapse) so...at the end it will kill us...Starting more wars only making matters worse...

We need new leadership...1776 American Revolution, 1789 French Revolution...not because people love revolutions but because people wanted to survive...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, 

War...

Some "radical ideas"; Peace is better then war...Talking better then fighting...[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/proxy-war-has-no-exit-strategy[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/proxy-war-has-no-exit-strategy ...present elite/media [url]https://bylinetimes.com/columns/the-crisis-in-british-journalism/[/url] or https://bylinetimes.com/columns/the-crisis-in-british-journalism/ (most main stream media is not "neutral and objective"...some MSM is owned by the military industrial complex...). 

Pandemics

"Stop the spread", Non-Pharma Interventions....total radical ideas...will destroy the economy...That economy is doing fine now....Over 1 million CoViD cases per day is "totally acceptable" 9for profits...). 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-eurasia-war-economic-corridors-full-swing[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-eurasia-war-economic-corridors-full-swing ;

As it stands, it’s important to realize that dozens of BRI projects in industry and investment and cross-border inter-regional cooperation will end up consolidating the Russian concept of the Greater Eurasia Partnership – which essentially revolves around establishing multilateral cooperation with a vast range of nations belonging to organizations such as the EAEU, the SCO, BRICS and ASEAN.

Welcome to the new Eurasian mantra: Make Economic Corridors, Not War.

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/satellite-imagery-shows-global-crop-declines-except-russia-and-china[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/satellite-imagery-shows-global-crop-declines-except-russia-and-china 

DJ, India did have a good harvest this year....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-briefs-new-delta-and-ba-5-recombinant-variant-found-ba-5-symptoms,-covid-19-cases-rising-globally,-atk-test-not-reliable-for-new-variants[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-briefs-new-delta-and-ba-5-recombinant-variant-found-ba-5-symptoms,-covid-19-cases-rising-globally,-atk-test-not-reliable-for-new-variants 

[url]https://www.grid.news/story/climate/2022/07/15/as-europes-heat-waves-continue-the-alpine-glaciers-are-melting-with-tragic-consequences/[/url] or https://www.grid.news/story/climate/2022/07/15/as-europes-heat-waves-continue-the-alpine-glaciers-are-melting-with-tragic-consequences/ So far heatwaves in Spain this year killed over 1.000 people...

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps Spain high excess deaths (7-10% above "normal" )  Other trends for 2022 also getting ugly...

All ages excess deaths still below 2020, 2021...for children up to 14 it is high above those two years, 15-44 y/o also above the two years earlier...85+ above 2021...

A combination of (Long)CoViD and heatwaves is doing a lot of killing....

[url]https://consortiumnews.com/2022/07/15/when-the-world-is-the-enemy/[/url] or https://consortiumnews.com/2022/07/15/when-the-world-is-the-enemy/ ...

[url]https://bylinetimes.com/2022/07/08/the-britannia-unchained-gang-why-the-uks-next-prime-minister-may-be-its-worst/[/url] or https://bylinetimes.com/2022/07/08/the-britannia-unchained-gang-why-the-uks-next-prime-minister-may-be-its-worst/ ...DJ...Liz Truss did show to be even worse then bojo....so very likely the next UK-PM....

DJ-Maybe we have to go "for the darkest hour" ? However then most of us may never see a dawn...

Sunday...coffee...trying to cool the house...end of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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One of the major recurring criticisms of the Iraq invasion was that Bush rushed into it without an exit strategy, without a plan for ending the war once it had been started. This proxy war with Russia not only lacks a strategy for ending the war, it apparently only has strategies for not ending the war. No exit strategy is the strategy.

DJ....[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time for now UK CoViD may have peaked...but other vatiants can create another wave-in part on top of the present one...."No exit strategy is also the pandemic (lack of) strategy....

Whenever you point out the insanity of this approach you’ll get useful idiots of the empire objecting that by criticizing US proxy warfare and supporting a negotiated settlement you are guilty of “appeasement” and exactly the same as Neville Chamberlain, because the only argument empire apologists ever have is to compare every US-targeted government to Nazi Germany.

DJ..."the economy"....

Watching Britain’s #NextPM & all I’m hearing from each of them is ‘blah blah blah’ promises of this & that which are never going to appear in reality

and 








New study says 80,000 UK people have left their jobs this year unable to work due to Long Covid #LongCovid #employment

DJ...of course "Long CoViD=CoViD"!!!! [url]https://www.port.ac.uk/news-events-and-blogs/news/study-finds-long-covid-has-a-significant-impact-on-uk-workforce[/url] or https://www.port.ac.uk/news-events-and-blogs/news/study-finds-long-covid-has-a-significant-impact-on-uk-workforce 






Eric Topol

@EricTopol
 · 
Do the added mutations in BA.2.75 confer a different immune evasive pattern cf BA.5? Yes, at least that appears to be the case for Bebtelovimab, which has still shown efficacy for BA.5 Other differences noted. https://biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.14.500041v1 Mutation map at right by @PeacockFlu

But WHO rather names all new CoViD variants "Omicron" ....








20/  explained in this brilliant thread why the establishment was so keen on rejecting water as the source of cholera: they had a lot to lose, including their prestige by admitting they had been so wrong. Snow was outsider & could afford fight

-

Always good to remember that almost every public health expert thought John Snow was wrong when he asserted that cholera might be transmitted by waterborne particles too small to be seen with the naked eye. Prevailing model held that cholera was spread by a toxic gas, a miasma

a look at history...sometimes "99% of the world has it wrong"!

"Every COVID infection now leaves a non-linear legacy of troubling human health outcomes in unforeseen ways. A Danish study, for example, found that people infected with COVID “were at an increased risk of Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and ischemic stroke.” 

-

"The risk wasn’t trivial: the infected were 3.5 times more likely to be diagnosed with Alzheimer’s and 2.5 times more likely to be diagnosed with Parkinson’s.

link; [url]https://www.alzheimersresearchuk.org/increased-risk-of-alzheimers-disease-post-covid-19-danish-researcher-suggests/[/url] or https://www.alzheimersresearchuk.org/increased-risk-of-alzheimers-disease-post-covid-19-danish-researcher-suggests/ 

"But many experts suspect that COVID infections, along with declining smallpox immunity, are playing a subversive role. Immune systems bashed by COVID open doors for other infectious diseases. https://ann-clinmicrob.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12941-022-00518-2

Link; [url]https://ann-clinmicrob.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12941-022-00518-2[/url] or https://ann-clinmicrob.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12941-022-00518-2 ;

It is too soon to understand if the current monkeypox outbreak is an independent phenomenon, or if it has been exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. This uncertainty calls for precautious actions to be taken by healthcare authorities to contain such outbreaks before the alarm bell starts ringing louder as cases mount and interaction with other infectious agents, not least SARS-CoV-2, leads to emergence of variants of increase pathogenicity.

DJ..If you would go for statistics...the chances of monkeypox not being related in any way with CoViD =0% !!! (but it is indeed a very complex matter !) 

Again...if CoViD (re)infections is weakening/destroying immunity and in that way openng the doors to all kinds of other diseases "we are finished"...

In my opinion the only politics that may have some use is damage control....both climate collapse and pandemics both close to ending (human/all) live...So what do "our leaders do"...start world war three for NATO expansion....

EVERYONE STOP AND WATCH—This is what it looks like to live with #longCOVID. “Everything tastes like dog shit” “I can’t swallow” “My hair is falling out” “My food tastes like it comes from a dumpster housing a dead raccoon🦔 HT  & 

Is this the "new normal" ? Again ! Long CoViD = CoViD !!!! We are on our way that more people may have chronic illness then short term CoViD problems...hundreds of millions by now worldwide are dealing with "Long" CoViD !...

CoViD killing people is one disaster...the hundreds of millions surviving in a (much) worse shape may be the major problem....A lot of them may have been infected trying to do their job...in care, supermarkets, bus drivers...They deserve a perspective !

For the US;

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 16.52% BA.2.12.1, 16.11% BA.5.2.1, 10.27% BA.5.5, 8.65% unassigned, 7.61% BA.5.1, 7.19% BA.4.1, 5.48% BA.5.2,   5.14% BA.5   4.32% BA.5.6 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/16/22

link; [url]https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard[/url] or https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard In the US BA.2.76 at 0,14%, BA.2.75 at 0,05%...both will grow ! BA.5.2.1 however could become a nightmare on its own...now at 16,11%  ...

#COVID19 #Hospitalizations in the #UnitedStates (filtered to last 90 days) Please get #boosted (especially > 50 yr old and immune compromised) and #MaskUP! Hospital Tracker (by States, by age group): https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/COVID19HospitalizationsUSA/COVID19_HOSP_USA

DJ, global hospital cases are going up...some new subvariants infect the lungs...Of course (Long)CoViD and heatwaves are a bad combination (certainly when inflation increases poverty...). 

Alexander Mercouris yesterday in his YouTube video mentioned Saudi Arabia now buying Russian oil so it could export more of its own (Saudi) Oil...Russian diesel export to the EU is going up...

"no strategy" as strategy..fact-free "science/news"....

Coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Climate collapse;

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/relentless-heat-wave-pummeling-texas-and-central-plains-bring-hottest-temp-year[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/relentless-heat-wave-pummeling-texas-and-central-plains-bring-hottest-temp-year

Extreme heat threatens Texas and the Southern Plains to start the new work week, with temperatures forecasted to exceed 100 degrees Fahrenheit. 

This new round of heat could be the hottest yet. Large swaths of interior Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas could see predicted highs reaching 110 degrees Fahrenheit and heat indexes much higher. 

Although triple-digit temperatures are typical for the Central Plains and Texas in July and August, the frequency in the number of 100-degree days is above average. 

Take, for instance, Tulsa, Oklahoma. The metro area has just recorded its 11th 100-degree day of the season -- the average for the entire season is ten.  

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/17/first-day-international-nijmegen-marches-cancelled-due-expected-heat[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/17/first-day-international-nijmegen-marches-cancelled-due-expected-heat ; expected temperatures could go to 39C at 5 PM

DJ [url]https://www.ventusky.com/[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/ providing lots of info/models on the weather...UK may be dealing with extreme heat much longer then "we" here in NL...Tuesday july 19 could see temperatures 39/40c in some parts of NL (100F+) at record levels...but later on the heat will go away...even some rain for NL !

Other parts of Europe/the world will be dealing with this extreme weather -a "new normal" - much longer...Stopping climate change started much to late...damage control all that is left...

War, 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZ21n0UFJ_E[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZ21n0UFJ_E Military Summary on Ukraine; Ukraine may have been able to create some traps for Russian military...but in general Russian forces still destroying much more Ukraine forces...If Ukraine would lose Donbas US may rethink support...UK expects Russia then to move towards Charkov (NE Ukraine).

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/destroying-planet-save-ukraine[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/destroying-planet-save-ukraineSaving Ukraine from Russia has become more important to Western leaders than saving the planet from climate change, more important than keeping their populations from freezing in the dark, more important than the viability of Western industries, and more important even than avoiding the risk of an all-out nuclear war between the West and Russia.

DJ (Epoch times denies both climate change/collapse and CoViD....in fact denies science).

and [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/republicans-freak-ukrainian-born-gop-colleague-trash-talks-zelensky[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/republicans-freak-ukrainian-born-gop-colleague-trash-talks-zelensky 

DJ I expect the "Ukraine-US puppet-regime to collapse soon. I think high ranking Ukraine military may inform the Russians on positions of neo-nazi forces. The neo-nazi's, with very limited support in most of Ukraine- are the major risk for the Kiev-junta...However both military and "nationalists" may be fed up with this insane war destroying Ukraine...(for US/biden goals...). 

[url]https://southfront.org/russian-mod-releases-footage-of-missile-strike-on-ukrainian-himars-launcher/[/url] or https://southfront.org/russian-mod-releases-footage-of-missile-strike-on-ukrainian-himars-launcher/  DJ NATO did send "the best weapons/advisors" so far....The only way the US/UK can win this war is by further escalation...Poland, Baltic states and maybe a few other countries may want further escalation...

[url]https://southfront.org/us-centcom-commander-visited-al-tanf-garrison-in-syria-inspected-site-of-russian-airstrikes/[/url] or https://southfront.org/us-centcom-commander-visited-al-tanf-garrison-in-syria-inspected-site-of-russian-airstrikes/ DJ-Of course the US is also fighting Russia in Syria...with IS, alquaida and other "moderate rebels"...

DJ-There is speculation on an Israel attack on Iran nuclear installations...[url]https://www.debka.com/uae-opts-out-of-us-planned-air-defense-pact-as-biden-flies-to-jeddah/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/uae-opts-out-of-us-planned-air-defense-pact-as-biden-flies-to-jeddah/ 

DJ Saudi Arabia may have opened its air space for Israeli flights...but I do not think KSA wants Israel to start a war with Iran...Very likely a lot of intel in Israel also warning against an Israel attack on Iran. 

Iran is a strategic partner not only for Russia, China but also for India...Via the Caspian Sea/Iran lots of India-Russia trade is moving [url]http://thesaker.is/in-eurasia-the-war-of-economic-corridors-is-in-full-swing/[/url] or http://thesaker.is/in-eurasia-the-war-of-economic-corridors-is-in-full-swing/

India, China, Türkiye did take over bussinesses in Russia western companies gave up because of their anti-Russia insanity...TIP Turkey-Iran-Pakistan cooperation on logistics..but also to have a better balance with Russia, China, EU...also speaks against Israel starting another major war...it will not only be Iran they end up fighting...it may be most of Asia they then have as an enemy...

Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, (Argentina) want to join BRICS (Brazil-Russia-India-China-South Africa)...Iran now member of SCO...Türkiye could join that as well...

Iran and Türkiye may be united against the Kurds...Putin will meet the heads of Türkiye and Iran in Tehran...[url]https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/474718/Russia-s-Putin-to-meet-Ayatollah-Khamenei-in-Tehran-ambassador[/url] or https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/474718/Russia-s-Putin-to-meet-Ayatollah-Khamenei-in-Tehran-ambassador 

DJ...Again the west is isolated against the rest....Sanctions war is causing economic self destruction and hyperinflation...

This part 1 is background for the pandemics in part 2...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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part 2 pandemic,

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/eu-population-declines-second-straight-year[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/eu-population-declines-second-straight-year ;

The EU’s population has decreased for the second year running, reflecting the devastating impacts of the coronavirus, according to Eurostat.

As Statista's Anna Fleck details below, the bloc’s population had been increasing year on year, hitting a pre-pandemic peak of 447,485,231 people on January 1, 2020. Where there were 447,000,548 people registered across the 27-country bloc in 2021, the number dropped to 446,828,803 by the start of this year.

While Covid is likely the main contributor to this decline, it’s not the only cause.

The EU has an aging population, with one in five people over the age of 65.

At the same time, fewer babies are being born, with the rate having fallen from 10.2 live births out of every 1,000 population in 2001 to 9.1 in 2020, according to Eurostat’s Demography of Europe 2022 report.

This means the natural change of the EU population is negative. While it’s been that way for about a decade, this decline had been masked by the net positive impact of migration, which was temporarily frozen due to the pandemic’s travel bans.

The data comes as the world nears its 8 billion markDespite natural declines in Europe and in several other countries, the world is on the whole seeing numbers continue to climb, albeit at the slowest rate of growth since 1950. India is set to become the most highly populated country on the planet as of 2023, overtaking China, according to the UNAn increasing population means there will be a greater demand for food, water and energy, placing more pressure on the world’s resources.

DJ...Zero Hedge is a US-often conservative-site...US now against abortion rights, good anti-conception, sex education...From an NL perspective at least some parts of the US are seen as "backward"....But this article at least not denying CoViD !  Climate disasters -with an older population and lots of chronic healthissues- are a growing part of excess deaths...

[url]https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2022/07/16/685741/Omicron-surges-in-South-Korea[/url] or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2022/07/16/685741/Omicron-surges-in-South-Korea ;

Yet another wave of Covid-19 is hitting South Korea, with cases doubling to 40,000 per day in the past week. The BA.5 Omicron subvariant accounts for almost a third of the new cases, a portion that is increasing. While experts recognize vaccines may not always prevent infection, they decrease illnesses and deaths.

The fatality rate of Covid-19 has dropped to near the seasonal flu. Still experts argue the changed behaviors of mask wearing and routine vaccinations should remain in place.

The recent spike in daily Covid-19 cases comes as South Korea on Thursday detected its first case of BA2.75. Nicknamed Centaurus, scientists worry that the highly mutated Omicron variant is even more transmissible than previous strains.

Some want stronger anti-virus enforcement, suggesting public apathy risks another Covid-induced economic downturn.

People are required to wear masks on transit, but the government has said it will not implement lockdowns. People over 50 will be offered 4th vaccinations next week.

DJ (Since this is from Iran Press-TV some western "experts" will label it as propaganda...but Korean sources would give the same info...). 

US;

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 16.05% BA.5.2.1, 14.74% BA.2.12.1,   11.05% unassigned, 10.56% BA.5.5, 7.29% BA.5.1, 7.05% BA.4.1, 5.57% BA.5 & 5.42% BA.5.2   Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/17/22

DJ [url]https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard[/url] or https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard will provide also info on increase of BA.2.75 likes...BA.2.76 at 0,1%, BA.2,75 and BA.2.74 0,07% and 0,05%...BA.5.2.1 most detected in the US. 

However testing and sequencing is very limited...In the US vaccination level is also "limited". The US "government" is in full denial on CoViD...

DJ-It could be "milder variants" giving no/mild symptoms are NOT even in the list for now...also (at home) testing is missing a lot of cases...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/israel-three-cases-of-ba-2-75-found-in-passengers-from-france-and-india/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/israel-three-cases-of-ba-2-75-found-in-passengers-from-france-and-india/

Three cases of the BA.2.75 coronavirus variant have been found in Israel, the Health Ministry announced on Sunday. One of the patients had recently returned from India and the other two had returned from France.

With cases now being found across globe, it is very likely that there is community transmission of the variant in countries outside of India

Ynetnews.com report

DJ 

In Israël zijn 2 BA.2.75's gevonden, in reizigers uit Frankrijk, die met sequencing gelinkt worden aan het Nederlandse sample.  Weten jullie inmiddels al meer over de bron van het Nederlandse geval? Wellicht is deze informatie nog nuttig. H/t  

translation in short; In Israël 2 BA.2.75's detected in travellers from France. Sequencing links to NL sample. NL-CDC do you have more info on the NL case? Info may be needed. 

Conclusion is BA.2.75 (etc) is spreading in Europe (and in the US etc) without any India links...

Wow, first lab data for BA.2.75 While I'm not sure how transferrable this is to Europe/US since the vaccine sera used are whole inactivated vaccine (CoronaVac = Sinovac) instead of Spike mRNA vax, BA.2.75 could be foremost a Delta escape variant - as opposed to Omicron (BA.2) 1/

DJ..I am not an expert but I do think BA.5.2.1 (etc) and BA.2.75 (etc) may co-exist...(like lions and tigers co-exist...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/china-swans-infected-with-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/china-swans-infected-with-sars-cov-2/ ;

SARS-CoV-2 positive sequences from two SWANS have been deposited by Chinese scientists on Gisaid.

Both swan (Cygnus Columbianus) sequences were discovered by Raj Rajnarayanan, and the samples were originally collected in April 2021. They were marked as having come from Jianxi Province in China. Jiangxi is a landlocked province in the east of China. Its major cities include Nanchang and Jiujiang.

We have covered many press articles regarding SARS-CoV-2 infections in animals, but this is the first time we have heard of a bird becoming infected. We haven’t found anything in Chinese scientific reports about these unusual sequences so far, but if we do, we will update this post.

 

In a separate development, a squirrel monkey has died after testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 in Tuscon, Arizona:

A Reid Park Zoo squirrel monkey that tested positive for COVID-19 has died, but zoo officials say it is unclear what role the virus played in her death.

Glitter, 8, died due to an intestinal bacterial infection and had a history of intestinal concerns, said a news release Tuesday from Reid Park Zoo. The median life expectancy for squirrel monkeys in human care is 14.1 years.

Tuscon.com report

DJ, H5 bird flu now is widespread...coinfection in birds with SARS-2 could give "very dramatic outcomes"...Like in humans CoViD is also "damaging immunity" in non-human hosts...opening doors to all kinds of diseases going "wild"...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory only the first on many diseases linked to CoViD destroying immunity...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/canada-long-covid-sufferer-applies-for-assisted-suicide/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/canada-long-covid-sufferer-applies-for-assisted-suicide/ DJ Long (chronic) CoViD = CoViD...soon will be the "dominant form" of CoViD replacing "acute" CoViD ! 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/china-s-zero-covid-strategies-failing-as-new-surge-erupts-again-with-450-new-detected-covid-19-cases-on-saturday-involving-new-omicron-variants[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/china-s-zero-covid-strategies-failing-as-new-surge-erupts-again-with-450-new-detected-covid-19-cases-on-saturday-involving-new-omicron-variants DJ TMN is "outspoken"...using words I would not use..

I think the "only way out" we have to go is a mix of (better, nasal) vaccines and Non Pharma Intervention...

DJ The hard reality mainstream media may not provide is that both climate collapse and the healthcrises will result in "hundreds of millions" (if not billions) of excess deaths...Humanity -we as human species- will be "very very "lucky" if we survive these crises...Again-starting a nuclear war may end even "damage control"...

Also -again- this is my non-expert view...I hope CoViD gets a "dominant mild cold" shape...Greenland, Antarctic ice flowing into the Oceans will reduce global warming...but that is "hopium"...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, 

Climate collapse...

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/07/temperature-to-hit-38-celsius-on-tuesday-wednesday-will-be-much-cooler/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/07/temperature-to-hit-38-celsius-on-tuesday-wednesday-will-be-much-cooler/ ;Yesterday some places in NL did get 35c...today we may get over 40c at some spots...[url]https://www.noodweer.be/gloeiend-heet-scenario-na-het-weekend-150622/[/url] or https://www.noodweer.be/gloeiend-heet-scenario-na-het-weekend-150622/ NL weather news...in parts of Belgium "Code Red" highest alarm for heat...Most of NL in "code orange" for heat, but also a smog-alarm..."you can almost eat the air"....

[url]https://www.ventusky.com/?p=52.24;4.54;6&l=temperature-2m&t=20220801/1500[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/?p=52.24;4.54;6&l=temperature-2m&t=20220801/1500 indicating the extreme heat will go away from here tomorrow...but we still may face 30c+ on several days...other parts of (NW) Europe are not that lucky...

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps will show excess deaths going up (fast) in many places...There are some indications "long" CoViD cases ending up in hospitals/IC now in higher numbers...[url]https://www.gelderlander.nl/nijmegen/ziekenhuis-overvol-radboudumc-moet-operaties-afzeggen-wegens-onverklaarbaar-veel-spoedopnames~aef13035/[/url] or https://www.gelderlander.nl/nijmegen/ziekenhuis-overvol-radboudumc-moet-operaties-afzeggen-wegens-onverklaarbaar-veel-spoedopnames~aef13035/ ...

We see several "hot periods" in most of Europe...often NOT fitting in a definition for "heatwave"...still massive killer for 80Y/O+ and people with chronic health issues (a.o. chronic CoViD...). 

Of course the heat is also effecting transports...low water in rivers, melting roads, railroads in problems...part of transport may shift to night time...

Wildfires also major in lots of places...summer has gone deathly...

-Pandemics

Like in the "Ukraine War"...biden going for revenge against Putin making trump US president...bojo seeking revenge for Putin causing brexit...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/bmj-stop-gaslighting-the-public-over-covid-19/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/bmj-stop-gaslighting-the-public-over-covid-19/ ;

but now is the time to face the fact that the nation’s attempt to “live with covid” is the straw that is breaking the NHS’s back

DJ Total political faillure on many -if not all- fronts is killing us....If the "present leaders" are our best hopes we are dead !

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK CoViD active cases now at 4,65...record level...but slowing down for now...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-brazil-researchers-validates-that-sars-cov-2-utilizes-human-host-protein-pcna-for-replication-while-dna-of-the-host-cells-are-damaged[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-brazil-researchers-validates-that-sars-cov-2-utilizes-human-host-protein-pcna-for-replication-while-dna-of-the-host-cells-are-damaged 

DJ Two major worries for CoViD; 

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement 

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV 

So far NO "major indication yet" for immunity being used to spread CoViD inside the body...but as far as I (non-expert) understand it we may be moving there...

So far SOME indication immunity is weakened resulting in other diseases spreading faster [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory ...with H5 Avian Flu now being very widespread, some indication for CoViD in birds (a.o. resulting in birds getting more vulnerable for H5 avian flu...) there is a growing risk of H5 avian flu spread in humans...(symptoms may look like CoViD...but if there is testing/sequencing H5 could be detected. Given the denial-strategy of failing governments such finding would be kept secret...to save "the economy/profits..."). 

The present "strategy" in this pandemic is genocide by pandemic....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/polish-study-shows-that-individuals-with-a-history-of-lyme-disease-have-a-higher-risk-of-disease-severity-upon-infection-with-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/polish-study-shows-that-individuals-with-a-history-of-lyme-disease-have-a-higher-risk-of-disease-severity-upon-infection-with-sars-cov-2 

CoViD is killing much more the poor, people with healthissues, the old...Given the lack of other strategies my conclusion is our governments are "killing the weak"....








(1/n) Structural basis for the enhanced infectivity and immune evasion of Omicron subvariants: molecular basis for the increased transmissibility of Omicron subvariants BA.2 BA.4 & BA.5 & the mechanism for distinct responses to antibody neutralization https://biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.13.499586v1.full

link [url]https://twitter.com/RolandBakerIII/status/1549184340784926721/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/RolandBakerIII/status/1549184340784926721/photo/1 DJ-The idea/"plan" was CoViD would become "mild and endemic" ..."just another cold"...

That idea was NOT !!! based on science but on wishfull "thinking" (phantasy may be a better word...) 








Another doubling of excess mortality in the United States relative to its European peers between 2017 and 2021: Covid-19 mortality alone continue contributed 230,672 excess deaths in 2021 (51.2%), more than 2020 as US vax rates plateaued at lower levels

link [url]https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.03.21.22272722v2[/url] or https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.03.21.22272722v2 








Berkshire Hathaway Bought ~1.9M Occidental Shares July 14 - 16 How many energy companies will Uncle Warren end up owning

DJ...every crisis is a profit oppertunity....An elite is getting rich by wars, pandemics, climate change....so the result;

Let's consider: We have _eradicated_ smallpox globally and before then eliminated it locally around the world. Monkeypox is _less_ of a challenge than smallpox. Why would we all of a sudden have lost the ability to "contain the spread" of monkeypox?

-

Monkeypoxtally

@Monkeypoxtally
 · 
Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb: “We have failed to contain the spread of the monkeypox virus” “The window for controlling and containing the virus probably has closed”

DJ...solving problems = less profit (for now) ...even if it will destroy the planet later on....

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 16.91% BA.5.2.1 13.52% BA.2.12.1 12.21% unassigned ðŸ‘€ 8.75% BA.5.5 7.83% BA.5.1 7.32% BA.4.1 6.16% BA.5.2 5.11% BA.5 3.92% BA.4 3.84% BA.5.6   Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/17/22

following US sequences [url]https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard[/url] or https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard  BA.2.75ikes" going down for now in the US ?

Stay cool ! Enjoy ice cream  and Arctic movies !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, 

Trying to make sense of where we are in this pandemic...In my view monkeypox [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory close to 15,000 cases now..."just" one of the "by-products" of CoViD...

This #monkeypox case report - PCP said “What is MonkeyPox?” Referred her to dermatologist. Dermatologist refused to see her, referred her to CDC. CDC said “see your PCP.” 100,000 cases predicted in Aug 1,000,000 cases in Nov

DJ...I do think new nasal vaccines may have some effect on the CoViD pandemic....But we can NOT vaccinate ourselves out of this pandemic....In general I am against mandatory vaccines...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/north-korea-reports-99-98-percent-covid-recovery-rate-without-vaccination[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/north-korea-reports-99-98-percent-covid-recovery-rate-without-vaccination ;

North Korea says 99.98% of its nearly 5 million "fever patients" since late April have fully recovered. The country has a near 0% COVID vaccination rate.

North Korea is reporting that 99.98 percent of their nearly five million COVID-19 “fever patients” have recovered from the disease since April, despite the country boasting a vaccination rate of near zero.

“The anti-epidemic campaign is improved to finally defuse the crisis completely,” North Korean state media, the KCNA said.

With the pandemic now over in North Korea, they are free to resume trade with South Korea and open up society again.

“Under the current trend, North Korea could announce in less than a month that its COVID crisis is over and that could be a prelude to resuming cross-border trade,” said Cheong Seong-chang, who serves as the director of the Sejong Institute’s North Korea studies center in South Korea.

DJ...How serious one has to take NK "news"? If North Korea did not use vaccines-because they had no vaccines-and still managed to get CoViD under control the only other way has to be Non Pharma Intervention....North Korea has as good as no international travel (NK may be involved in rebuilding parts of Ukraine that is under Russian control...). Also North Korea is one of the most "controlled countries"*  able to enforce lockdowns, masks etc. (or kill people who do not follow the rules...like a South Korean person trying to get into North Korea for asylum...and got killed by NK bordercontrol keeping the virus out...). 

* In fact due to internet most countries with modern ICT may be far more controlled - but in another way...

[url]https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/scientific-blog/q-a-20-the-vaccinal-abs-are-wuhan-specific-when-you-say-they-bind-with-more-affinity-to-the-virus-than-the-innate-ones-how-does-this-happen-if-the-spike-has-mutated-such-that-adei-is-now-occurring[/url] or https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/scientific-blog/q-a-20-the-vaccinal-abs-are-wuhan-specific-when-you-say-they-bind-with-more-affinity-to-the-virus-than-the-innate-ones-how-does-this-happen-if-the-spike-has-mutated-such-that-adei-is-now-occurring has been warning against non-sterilizing vaccines ...I think he may be correct in the sense that massive vaccinations without stopping the spread did result in new variants that did get even better in evading immunity...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/bubonic-plague/china-level-four-alert-for-bubonic-plague/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/bubonic-plague/china-level-four-alert-for-bubonic-plague/

Level four alert for bubonic plague in Ningxia Hui, China.

Northwest China’s Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region issued a level IV emergency response on plague prevention and control on Tuesday night, after one patient was confirmed to be infected with the zoonotic bacteria.

Bubonic plague is a severe infectious disease that is highly transmissible and has a high fatality rate. It is a Class A infectious disease, the highest classification under China’s Law on the Prevention and Treatment of Infectious Diseases.

It can be a very severe disease in people, with a fatality ratio of 30 to 60 percent for the bubonic type and is always fatal for the pneumonic kind when left untreated, according to the WHO.

Global Times report

DJ; This pandemic is now close to destroying public healthcare in many places...HCW-ers getting infected, depressed, exhausted,....Logistics (oxygen) failing...budget problems...

The Plague, Marburg (Ghana) etc. should be controlable...but that also goes for "monkeypox"....

We need good healthcare-from cleaners to research, sequencing, - if we want to stop diseases...

Hospitals "competing with each other for maximum profit" in a "war" against disease is not a "sign of wisdom" in my opinion...

DJ-What is needed now ? 

Communication....being honest...we have a very major problem that only can be controlled by very drastic action...

Instead we are now closer then ever to a new world war...NATO expansionism...with western media claiming "bad Putin did it again".....

Like in climate collapse this pandemic will kill us all if we do not act wisely now....

Even when no one wants to listen it may be one's duty to repeat over and over the warnings....Maybe it will help somewhat, some time...

Just my opinion...may be totally wrong !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, 

I have been "limiting contacts" since march of 2020, did take 4 vaccines....I think "I did my bit" of trying to limit this pandemic as much as most of us -individuals- can....

So july 2022 and we are in the worst CoViD wave yet....governments and their -embedded- media (both owned by big money) now go for denial modus....pretty frustrating...but to hot for massive protests yet...Besides that "Bad Russia" "Putin the monster" stories still try to dominate the media...."Russian energy blackmail" ...as if Russia has a duty to sell its energy to countries that are fighting Russia and even accept payment in US$ or €-Euro's....

The allmighty Putin making trump US president, starting brexit...now resulting in liz truss getting elected in september as a new UK political disaster...Russia must be tired of such an allmighty leader...with so much power over the west...Russia exporting 1/10 of its "usual energy" to the "west" however at 10x the price...Putin must be hated in Russia...

Of course the reality is -for this pandemic breakfast- pandemics the outcome of total political faillure- I have to write about the coming political chaos...

-Non Pharma restrictions do make a lot of sense...however the present political class has shown to be useless...They are no longer in a position to enforce anything...

-Climate disasters are now that big, massive killers, no "leader" can ignore them...however again-the present political elite was the main cause of that disaster as well...

-In latest news I did write (nuclear war) Russia-Iran-Türkiye talks, opening of China-Africa links..."make trade not war"...

-Ukraine is close to collapse...a new government has to "restore a balance", limit further damage...

-NATO has to end...The EU needs to serve the public, reform...European interests (Euro !) are NOT the same as US interests...It is good, wise, to see the differences ("We" are part of Eur-Asia...Australia, New Zealand may be in a position that may be more or less the same...The US is in a different position...with in many ways a different (political) culture...). 

Pandemic(s);

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-prolonged-detection-of-monkeypox-virus-in-saliva,-blood,-urine,-semen,-feces,-nasal-and-anal-swabs-of-those-infected[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-prolonged-detection-of-monkeypox-virus-in-saliva,-blood,-urine,-semen,-feces,-nasal-and-anal-swabs-of-those-infected 

and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory 

Of course the "real news" is we are NOT stopping monkeypox, we are NOT stopping BA.5.2.1, BA.2.75 likes etc... some discussion on masks in public transport etc....another round of vaccinations for some...Other diseases showing up...

This pandemic, climate change, is only getting worse and "our leaders" react on it by starting a NATO expansion war in Ukraine...killing over a 100,000 Ukrainians for what ? 

-The "super mix" of climate disasters, diseases, collapse of healthcare, economic/political crises;








As  and others on the front line have said, Covid has placed an additional burden on an already overstretched health system, with grim consequences. E.g., (h/t ) ambulance response times are in crisis, likely in part due to Covid:

and

Paul Mainwood

@PaulMainwood
 · 
COVID admissions venturing back into territory where - historically - we've seen general ambulance response times start to spiral upward. (Underlying causes of these delays complex, system-level and stretch to social care. COVID pressure appears to act as a trigger).

DJ, Healthcare workers (HCW) have done a miracle in this pandemic...but there are limits....

Replying to  and 
And the large bump is the emergence of the Omicron strain. I would argue that due to distinct clinical presentations & infectivity levels we have experienced two different SARS2 pandemics: before and after December 15, 2021, when Omicron crossed 50% global prevalence.

DJ...Do we still have "only" SARS-2 ? Or SARS 2.1 to SARS 2-? ...the problem may not be in the virusses but in our ability to stop the spread...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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part 2, 

Eric Feigl-Ding

@DrEricDing
 · 
Don’t Look Up is now real life. Compare and listen to this anchor gaslight the meteorologist about the UK 40 degree C (104F) heatwave being nothing. Whoever this TV anchor is— please someone tell her she’s bonkers. 

and 

4) Climate change denial is very similar to COVID surge denial. Don’t act only when it’s too late.

DJ I think there is a limit to stupidity....populist political liars denying problems run out of both lies and support....Even starting wars may no longer work...that trick also no longer working...

“Clear and evidence-based communication during an outbreak is critical to building trust with the public and ensuring adherence to public health measures and successful containment.”  in ‘Preventable (p.308)

DJ...lots of people doing a very good job ! 

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 19.33% BA.5.2.1 13.54% BA.2.12.1 9.77% BA.5.5 8.44% unassigned 7.67% BA.5.1 7.24% BA.4.1 6.41% BA.5.2 5.10% BA.5 4.63% BA.5.6 3.92% BA.4   Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7 #OmicronUpdates 07/20/22  

link; [url]https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1549912099228422145/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1549912099228422145/photo/1 ;

In the US BA.2.76 now 0,11%, BA.2.74 0,04%, BA.2.75 at 0,03% so for now BA.5.2.1 is replacing the BA.2.12.1 

New data for Indian regions Odisha and Tamil Nadu. Tamil Nadu is interesting, since BA.2.75 seems to be growing, while BA.5 is already dominant. For Odisha I only included the absolute numbers graph, since percentages mean nothing for weeks with 1 sample!

DJ, Splitting up India into regions...but even then-with very limited testing/sequencing it may be hard to get a realistic view...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table global cases in these statistics -3%, deaths -1%...still close to 1 million positive tests being reported per day...

Impressive! How a school in Texas prevented transmission since the beginning: 
1. Daily testing 2. Required masking 3. Ventilation and air filtration 4. Social distancing 
Not listening to disinformation from authorities Most importantly: Taking it seriously and caring deeply

Common sense works ! If the "top" fails it may have to be the grass roots that do the job....








I’ve been an ER physician for four decades. The level of despair and pessimism ER physicians, nurses, RTs and other healthcare providers are talking about right now is unprecedented.

However the top has to change.....

I don't know what world you're living in. In our school, many parents kept kids home because they don't trust DfE having children's interests centred. Forcing kids & staff into unsafe environments & abdicating responsibility of children's wellbeing onto teachers is not governing.

If politics is killing the people we need other politicians....

[url]https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01767-z[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01767-z ;

Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, the risk of dying from the disease was roughly twice as high for people living in lower-income countries as for those in rich nations, a study reports.

The research, published in BMJ Global Health in May1, is one of a growing number of studies to reveal COVID-19’s massive burden in lower-income countries.

DJ-NO ! We are NOT in the same boat ! Some groups have several more times the risk of death/severe complications then others....

[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/855[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/855 BA.5.2.1 getting dominant in many places-replacing BA.2.12.1 and further mutating ...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/vaccine/preprint-intracellular-reverse-transcription-into-dna-of-mrna-vaccine/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/vaccine/preprint-intracellular-reverse-transcription-into-dna-of-mrna-vaccine/ 

DJ-Vaccines also have limits/risks.....

End of part 2...trying to at least making some sense....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, 

Of course biden testing positive for CoViD after vaccination/boosters - and with mild-so far- symptoms is not promotion for vaccines....His claim "this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated" was wrong when he made the claim...In my personal view biden 79 is to old for the job...not seeing his limits keeps showing up in his (in)actions...

I hope he will both recover and retire....

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/unconfirmed-zelensky-allegedly-in-intensive-care-unconfirmed[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/unconfirmed-zelensky-allegedly-in-intensive-care-unconfirmed  and [url]https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/3534016-president-zelensky-debunks-fake-news-about-his-health-condition.html[/url] or https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/3534016-president-zelensky-debunks-fake-news-about-his-health-condition.html ;

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has debunked fake news about his serious health condition, which was spread via Ukrainian radio stations during a cyberattack.

-

“Today Russia has launched another fake news, claiming that the state is not run by President Zelensky, as he is in the hospital, or rather in intensive care, due to his serious condition. Serious health condition. Anyways, I am in the office. I have never felt as strong as I am now. And bad news for all of you who spread such fake news. I am not alone, there are 40 million of us. And, with all due respect to old age, 44 is not 70,” Zelensky said.

DJ....people can run into serious health issues at any age...certainly cocaine mixed with alcohol does not help....(but a lot of "leaders" seem to have that kind of problems...).  Also most Ukrainians are fed up with zelensky...he did get elected for bringing peace but did bring war....

-The main story has to be [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio showing up -after London UK [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk-vaccine-derived-polio-outbreak-in-london/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk-vaccine-derived-polio-outbreak-in-london/  june 22 -so just a month ago...The Guardian newspaper is reporting the discovery of vaccine derived Polio in wastewater from London today

Yesterday -one month later-[url]https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vpd/polio/hcp/vaccine-derived-poliovirus-faq.html[/url] or https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vpd/polio/hcp/vaccine-derived-poliovirus-faq.html in New York a person tested positive for (vaccine spread) polio....

Vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis (VAPP) is an adverse event following exposure to OPV. OPV is made with live attenuated (weakened) polioviruses that can result in a case of VAPP. VAPP is sporadic and rare. There is very little evidence that the vaccine virus circulates from VAPP cases, and there are no outbreaks associated with VAPP.

So -with some luck- it may stay an isolated case. However looking at how [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory is going exponential-expected a global 1 million cases by november-polio needs extra attention...

Both polio and CoViD are RNA-positive virusses...Polio a very short one, CoViD a very long one....CoViD(vaccinations) seem to weaken immunity...

[url]https://www.huffpost.com/entry/polio-case-new-york_n_62d98e22e4b000da23fdc8e7[/url] or https://www.huffpost.com/entry/polio-case-new-york_n_62d98e22e4b000da23fdc8e7 ;

Rockland County, in New York City’s northern suburbs, has been a center of vaccine resistance in recent years. A 2018-2019 measles outbreak there infected 312 people.

DJ, My impression is monkeypox is spreading most in people (so far most cases in gay men...but it is spreading outside the gay community) who did not get a CoViD vaccine...may have had CoViD (with no/mild symptoms)...outgoing party people...often quite young...<40 y/o...

New York is hit very hard in the monkeypox "crisis/pandemic"....so I HOPE this polio case stays very isolated....

As I did write yesterday-the main problem is we are NOT stopping the spread of any disease...We did not stop early SARS-2 in january 2020, we did not stop the spread (in time) of variants from South Africa, India etc. We also do not stop the spread of monkeypox...

Profits go above public health -a grave error with a very high price !

I do think avian flu H5  (or H7) type, TB(C) will become next CoViD-linked pandemics....on top of monkeypox...but I may be wrong here...it could be polio "enjoying free global airtravel for virusses"...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 21 2022 at 11:10pm

part 2, 

More on polio;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/954728-cidrap-new-york-detects-vaccine-derived-polio-case[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/954728-cidrap-new-york-detects-vaccine-derived-polio-case ;

Case detected in NYC metro area


In a statement, the New York State Department of Health said sequencing at the state's public health lab, confirmed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), showed that the virus is a revertant polio Sabin type 2 virus.

It likely came from a transmission chain involving someone who got the oral polio vaccine (OPV), which hasn't been used in the United States since 2000. The country switched that year to the inactivated polio vaccine (IPV), which is given as an injection. Rockland County is part of the New York City metro area.

The OPV link suggests that the virus may have originated outside of the United States in a country where OPV is still used. Revertant strains can't come from inactivated vaccines.

Health officials are coordinating the investigation and response with the Rockland County Department of Health and the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene.

State Health Commissioner Mary Bassett, MD, MPH, said that, based on what is known so far, officials strongly recommend unvaccinated people get vaccinated or boosted with an approved IPV vaccine as soon as possible. "The polio vaccine is safe and effective, protecting against this potentially debilitating disease, and it has been part of the backbone of required, routine childhood immunizations recommended by health officials and public health agencies nationwide," she said.

The polio virus is highly contagious and can produce a range of outcomes, from no or mild symptoms to severe neurologic complications including paralysis and death. The virus typical spreads through the orofecal route. Respiratory and oral-to-oral transmission can also occur.

Global public health emergency still in place

In 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared a public health emergency of international concern because of the spread of polio, including the vaccine-derived type.

In June, the WHO's emergency committee met for the 32nd time and said the situation still warrants a public health emergency, due to the persistent threat of international spread, Pakistan's recent rise in WPV1 cases, Afghanistan's unpredictable situation, and vaccination gaps. Last week, global health officials sounded the alarm about a slide in childhood immunization that has persisted beyond the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic when lockdowns were still in effect.

The Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) said today in a statement that it is aware of the New York case. "It is vital that all countries, in particular those with a high volume of travel and contact with polio-affected countries and areas, strengthen surveillance in order to rapidly detect any new virus importation and to facilitate a rapid response," it said, adding that countries should maintain high vaccination levels to protect kids from new polio introductions.

and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio#Epidemiology[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio#Epidemiology ;

Following the widespread use of poliovirus vaccine in the mid-1950s, new cases of poliomyelitis declined dramatically in many industrialized countries. A global effort to eradicate polio - the Global Polio Eradication Initiative - began in 1988, led by the World Health OrganizationUNICEF, and The Rotary Foundation.[86] Polio is one of only two diseases currently the subject of a global eradication program, the other being Guinea worm disease.[87] So far, the only diseases completely eradicated by humankind are smallpox, declared eradicated in 1980,[88][89] and rinderpest, declared eradicated in 2011.[90] In April 2012, the World Health Assembly declared that the failure to completely eradicate polio would be a programmatic emergency for global public health, and that it "must not happen."[91]

These efforts have hugely reduced the number of cases; from an estimated 350,000 cases in 1988 to a low of 483 cases in 2001, after which it remained at a level of about 1,000–2000 cases per year for a number of years.[92][93]

By 2015, polio was believed to remain naturally spreading in only two countries, Pakistan and Afghanistan,[94][95][96][97] although it continued to cause outbreaks in other nearby countries due to hidden or reestablished transmission.[98] Between 2016 and 2020 worldwide cases of wild polio (mostly in these countries) remained below 200 per year, with only 6 confirmed cases in 2021.[10]

A concern is the presence of circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPV). The oral polio vaccine is not perfect: while the genetic characteristics are carefully balanced to maximize efficacy and minimize virulence, the poliovirus in the oral vaccine can mutate. As a result, persons given the oral polio vaccine can acquire acute or chronic infections; or can transmit (circulate) mutated virus to other people. Cases of cVDPV now exceed wild-type cases, making it desirable to discontinue the use of the oral polio vaccine as soon as safely possible and instead use other types of polio vaccines

DJ, So polio is still widespread-but in very limited numbers. Vaccination itself may be the main cause of spread...Using live-weak-polio virusses in the vaccine is a problem...most counties use dead-polio-virus based vaccines....CDC;Long-term excretion can also occur in people with certain immunodeficiency disorders.

So I think this second polio virus finding (first one was in London UK sewage june 22) is alarming ! CoViD may provide room for all kinds of other diseases to spread...It is a ticking time bomb...In many countries CoViD vaccination had priority over other vaccinations (polio, measles etc). Also H5 flu now at record level in birds around the globe should be alarming....

again...

STOP THE SPREAD !!!! It is not only CoViD-variants that have to be stopped, monkeypox spread being stopped but also all kinds of other diseases that can/need to be stopped BEFORE !!!! they become a problem ! By now it is a mix of diseases that is enjoying the free flihgts for virusses ideology...INSANE !!!

#COVID19 #Hospitalizations in #NewYork  Do not let your guard down! #MaskUP!! Closely monitoring hospitalizations in #NY!   BA.5*⬆︠BA.2.12.1* (L452Q)⬇︠9/n


Image

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio#Signs_and_symptoms[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio#Signs_and_symptoms ;

The term "poliomyelitis" is used to identify the disease caused by any of the three serotypes of poliovirus. Two basic patterns of polio infection are described: a minor illness which does not involve the central nervous system (CNS), sometimes called abortive poliomyelitis, and a major illness involving the CNS, which may be paralytic or nonparalytic.[12] Adults are more likely to develop symptoms, including severe symptoms, than children.[1]

In most people with a normal immune system, a poliovirus infection is asymptomatic. In about 25% of cases, the infection produces minor symptoms which may include sore throat and low fever.[3] These symptoms are temporary and full recovery occurs within one or two weeks.[1][3]

In about 1 percent of infections the virus can migrate from the gastrointestinal tract into the central nervous system (CNS).[1] Most patients with CNS involvement develop nonparalytic aseptic meningitis, with symptoms of headache, neck, back, abdominal and extremity pain, fever, vomiting, stomach pain, lethargy, and irritability.[13][14][15] About one to five in 1000 cases progress to paralytic disease, in which the muscles become weak, floppy and poorly controlled, and, finally, completely paralyzed; this condition is known as acute flaccid paralysis.[16] The weakness most often involves the legs, but may less commonly involve the muscles of the head, neck, and diaphragm.[1] Depending on the site of paralysis, paralytic poliomyelitis is classified as spinal, bulbar, or bulbospinal. In those who develop paralysis, between 2 and 10 percent die as the paralysis affects the breathing muscles.[3]

Encephalitis, an infection of the brain tissue itself, can occur in rare cases, and is usually restricted to infants. It is characterized by confusion, changes in mental status, headaches, fever, and, less commonly, seizures and spastic paralysis

So a lot of polio cases only produce no or mild symptoms...easy to miss(diagnose)....AGAIN !!! Chances are very small (<1% ?) of polio-spread but it has to be as close to 0% !

IF polio follows monkeypox in "going global" we have a very major problem...

[url]https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1550292831742427137/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1550292831742427137/photo/1 New York CoViD sequencing...most BA.5.2.1

Current growth advantage of BA.2.75 vs BA.5* in India (over last 3 months) is ~128% Cov-spectrum analysis doesn't include misassigned BA.2.75s and sequences with date errors. Real growth advantage is likely >>150% Please #MaskUPhttps://cov-spectrum.org/explore/India/AllSamples/Past3M/variants?aaMutations=S%3AL452R%2CS%3AF486V%2CM%3AD3N&aaMutations1=ORF1a%3AN4060S%2CORF1a%3AS1221L&analysisMode=CompareToBaseline&

and

155K new cases with 37/50 States reporting! Hospitalizations (+1K) are increasing too... Please get #Boosted and #MaskUp!

DJ...with very limited reporting and testing present US cases may be over 1 million per day !









and 

BNO News

@BNOFeed
 · 
Japan reports 186,246 new coronavirus cases, the biggest one-day increase on record - NHK

DJ [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time for now CoViD (active) cases in the UK going down (real number of hospital cases, deaths going up...). DJ-I expect UK next wave may start at a very high level-on top of the present BA.5 wave...

Some experst are comparing monkeypox cases with the early start of CoViD...limited indications monkeypox may be spreading even faster then CoViD in the early stages...but testing/reporting was and is the main problem. In CoViD lots of cases are missed or not reported...monkeypox -certainly the claim of a sex-related disease- may see even more under reporting....

DJ-Again june 22 polio-virus (vaccination linked) detected in London-UK sewage...almost a month later a person in New York has (vaccine related) polio....We all may take a look at how both CoViD and monkeypox started...Polio endemic in Pakistan, Afghanistan...(Yemen may be problematic, Somalia...) so very likely there are lots of missed cases (often with no or mild symptoms still spreading the virus). 

Polio-vaccination may be more safe when dead polio-virusses are used....(but there may be -financial ?- reasons why it is not yet done this way...). 

I think it is "very unusual" to see polio showing up in London and New York...but it may have to do with high surveilance...If you look better you may find more cases/spread earlier....

Still "not good"!!!

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 21 2022 at 11:59pm

part 3, 

Making my mind up on what "Long CoViD" means for the spread of other diseases...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-most-post-covid-individuals-will-develop-lung-issues-similar-to-idiopathic-pulmonary-fibrosis-ipf-with-potential-serious-outcomes[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-most-post-covid-individuals-will-develop-lung-issues-similar-to-idiopathic-pulmonary-fibrosis-ipf-with-potential-serious-outcomes link to [url]https://www.thelancet.com/journals/ebiom/article/PIIS2352-3964(22)00366-8/fulltext[/url] or https://www.thelancet.com/journals/ebiom/article/PIIS2352-3964(22)00366-8/fulltext ;

Background

In the aftermath of Covid-19, some patients develop a fibrotic lung disease, i.e., post-COVID-19 lung disease (PCLD), for which we currently lack insights into pathogenesis, disease models, or treatment options.

-

 identifying similarities between COVID-19 and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF)

-

Findings

COVID-19 resembles IPF at a fundamental level; it recapitulates the gene expression patterns (ViP and IPF signatures), cytokine storm (IL15-centric), and the AT2 cytopathic changes, e.g., injury, DNA damage, arrest in a transient, damage-induced progenitor state, and senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP). These immunocytopathic features were induced in pre-clinical COVID models (ALO and hamster) and reversed with effective anti-CoV-2 therapeutics in hamsters. PPI-network analyses pinpointed ER stress as one of the shared early triggers of both diseases, and IHC studies validated the same in the lungs of deceased subjects with COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2-challenged hamster lungs. Lungs from tg-mice, in which ER stress is induced specifically in the AT2 cells, faithfully recapitulate the host immune response and alveolar cytopathic changes that are induced by SARS-CoV-2.

DJ...There is discussion-based on findings- of what CoViD vaccines do for "human immunity"...some indications go towards decrease of immunity (long) after vaccination...(I can not find the link...). 

Allthough mRNA vaccines are NOT most used global against CoViD it will have been used in hundreds of millions of people...Adeno-based vaccines (Sputnik-V, Astra Zeneca, some Chinese vaccines) may have been used more...In real numbers China and India may have used most (home-in their country-made) vaccines...

On top of that of course we now have seen over 2 billion ? people infected by CoViD. The number of Long CoVid (chronic CoViD) worldwide must be in the hundreds of millions....

In the disease triangle you have;

1-A disease

2-A host (by now most CoViD cases no longer human ones ? Rats, mice, etc even higher ???)

3-Spread

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth#/media/File:E.coli-colony-growth.gif[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth#/media/File:E.coli-colony-growth.gif 

The [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number "R0" of diseases are different, some diseases are very hard to catch...other diseases spread like crazy....

But if there are no other hosts a highly infectious disease can reach even that R0=20 [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number#/media/File:Herd_immunity_threshold_vs_r0.svg[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number#/media/File:Herd_immunity_threshold_vs_r0.svg is stopped....

So spread is the main factor in any disease....

But some people are very vulnerable...may cary a disease very long-causing mutations/variants/recombinations...Other hosts simply seem unable to get infected..."boosting immunity" also has a (very limited) point...

DJ TheMonkeypox pandemic is related-on top- of the CoViD pandemic...(has to be statisticly...)

Maybe a medical math specialist could calculate;

the R0 of present monkeypox, possible polio-risks, CoViD subtypes

combined with population vulnerability

to see how much the spread has to be limited...

end of part 3

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 22 2022 at 11:52pm

DJ, 

My non-expert opinion on this pandemic and its background...

-What does US-wars say about western pandemic strategies /

Russia made clear thar if Ukraine gets more US long range weapons Russia will take more of Ukraine for Russian security...HIMARS 300 km range means extra Russian safety zone of 300 kilometers from (New) Russian borders...most of East-of Dnjepr Ukraine would become Russian safety buffer...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/270-million-in-new-military-aid-to-ukraine-officially-considering-supplying-us-war-planes[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/270-million-in-new-military-aid-to-ukraine-officially-considering-supplying-us-war-planes ;

The United States on Friday signed off on another $270 million in military aid to Ukraine including four new Himars precision rocket systems.

The fresh aid will bring to 20 the number of M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems sent to Ukraine and also includes up to 500 new Phoenix Ghost tactical drones, White House spokesman John Kirby told reporters.

Kirby also confirmed publicly the United States Air Force is considering donating U.S. A-10 "Warthog" ground-attack aircraft to Ukraine.   This was reported verbally on the Hal Turner Radio Show a full 48 hours ago, but only now -- 2 days later -- is the Pentagon publicly confirming that earlier report.

DJ US insanity is further provocation and escalation...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/us-attempts-to-make-china-an-enemy-require-a-lot-of-fantasy.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/us-attempts-to-make-china-an-enemy-require-a-lot-of-fantasy.html [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nancy_Pelosi[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nancy_Pelosi ...82...planning to visit Taiwan...

By now almost all non-western countries see the west as agressor, provocative, breaking agreements when they feel like...The outcome of US-led western "policies" ;

-Rest of the world moving towards RIC Russia-Iran-China (enough differences in the interests of these three countries to avoid one of them getting to dominant...besides BRICS, including Brazil, India, South Africa further balancing...Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Ethiopia, Venezuela, Argentina even Mexico joining all kinds of cooperation programs with Russia and China...). 

-Profits for military industrial/finance complex going up...the rich even getting richer....

DJ Before Gorbachov came to power the former Soviet Union had a list of old men leading that country...A symptom of structural political problems...The US may be in the same stage now...Unable to renew itself, modernize...sinking ever deeper in many crises...

At the end this will see Europe going its own way...end of NATO...European interests and US interests are different ! The gap is growing fast because of US insane foreign policy in the interests of those that turn war into profit...(Russian war industry now under state control...China war industry always has been run by the state(de facto CCP). 

Pandemic west strategies so far;

-Blaming China for the virus

-Keeping Russian/Chinese vaccins/medical knowledge out...

-Attack on Chinese zero-CoViD policies

-We now not only have a CoViD pandemic but also a monkeypox pandemic with other diseases on their way

-Profits for big pharma going up...

So -for the west- it is all about the money...even when healthcare is on the brink of collapse...Even with climate disasters as a "new normal"...a sort of "blind capitalism" going wild...

Even the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_market_economy[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_market_economy now in many neo-liberal (pseudo fascist) countries "to socialist"...

Outcome is destruction of anything public, from healthcare to education, housing, transport...

DJ-I have a limited history background-but again 1776/1789 US/French revolutions were the outcome of states ignoring large parts of their population in the interest of the super-rich...History has patterns...

So what will the coming years bring;

-Pandemics getting much worse in the west, climate disasters, economic inequality to the extreme..

Then collapse with the rich elite seeking safety in other places...

This is NOT the 18th century but the 21st...It is not only the west that is facing major problems...

However the west may see a "super state" of wich China rulers may be shocked..."Internet-info" used to manipulate citizens...State run "free press", "democratic elections" with parties only disagreeing on smaller points...(The US in many ways has a two-party system, the UK political system is more complex...but both Scotland and Ulster may break away from England...). 

The western elite will stick to their power even if it causes world war three....Even when the Ukraine war becomes a war IN the west...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LKmJQmF8X7w[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LKmJQmF8X7w Military Summary mentioned Ukrainians from Odessa, Nikolayev (Charkov, Kiëv) joining Russian forces...Russia creating its own Ukraine Army...Given most Ukrainans are strongly against this war, it is the US/UK that is pushing for war, I (DJ) expect "Ukraine will collapse" ...a bit of Afghanistan scenario...Maybe also a bit like Italy in World War Two...at a certain point both at war with the Allies AND Germany...

More US weapons, NATO military control means more targets for the Russians...(by now over 1,000 western fighters already been killed in this war. Most from Poland, UK, US, Canada...From front-line soldiers to advisors/commanders killed by Russian missiles...). 

So-western strategy in foreign policy is a list of repeating mistakes...making the outcome only worse...

part 2 is translation of that insane strategy in this pandemic...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 23 2022 at 12:08am

part 2, 

"Freedom" did bring CoViD growing exponential in all directions;

-More cases...must be in the millions per day lots of them "mild" or even without major symptoms...(Tim Spector/ZOE "summer flu" in 2 out of 3 times could be CoViD...). 

-More chronic CoViD...a shift from acute...(Long CoViD=CoViD !!!)

-More variants spreading at the same time-next to eachother-

-Tests failing...

-Immunity against other diseases dropping..

-Vaccines/anti-virals less and less effective..

DJ More and more experts calling for Non Pharma Interventions...from masks to increase of social distancing. (Here in NL there are lots of road works planned for these coming six weeks-advise is work from home if possible...indirect also linked to pandemic policies...?). 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/  big picture; just under a million CoViD cases being tested/reported...(most countries go for at-home testing, not very effective for new variants...). Official CoViD deaths worldwide moving towards 2,000 per day...

Confirmed [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory now over the 17,000...however long incubation, misdiagnoses, asymptomatic spread may see the 1 million cases even before november...

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK CoViD-self reporting-cases for now going down...I expect them to go up again soon...New variants starting to show up even when the UK hardly is out of the old variants peak...

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps Excess deaths in Europe going up...in part also because of heatwaves-but "Long/chronic CoViD' and heatwaves are a bad mix...Certainly when long CoViD cases end up in poverty...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/spain-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-in-castilla-y-leon/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/spain-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-in-castilla-y-leon/ ; Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (known by its acronym CCHF) is a disease caused by a virus called nairovirus transmitted mainly by the bite of an infected tick. The disease can present silently. In fact, a high percentage of infected people do not present any symptoms, although very severe symptoms can occur. The lethality of severe forms of the disease is between 10% and 40%. It is an emerging disease and until 2021 only nine cases of hemorrhagic fever had been detected in Spain.

DJ; Like with monkeypox, other disease (polio) it would be welcome to get more info on the CoViD(vaccination) history...Would this person NOT be ill from CCHF without a possible CoViD(vaccine) history ? 

DJ-By now I think the big question is do we see more other diseases (Polio, Marburg, Ebola, CCHF, etc.) ? Monkey pox is now behaving in a very different way-that has to have a relation with CoViD...What is the chance of other diseases spreading on top of CoViD and now monkeypox ? 

STOP THE SPREAD !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Again London-UK had a polio in sewage june 22, New York had a man-20 (orthodox Jewish ???) with Polio not even one month later-first symptoms showing up mid-june. Travel history to central Europe. Polio-vaccination with live-virusses may be the most likely cause...

Most cases of Polio are a/mild symptoms...only less then 5% bring paralysis...so for the polio-story (polio endemic in Pakistan, Afghanistan) we may learn more in the coming weeks...(If by the end of august no new cases did show up we may be very lucky....My impression is the New York polio case had NO vaccination background against polio, measles, CoViD...). 

So "freedom" and big-pharma profits did bring us here....Non Pharma Intervention will increase because of healthcare close to collapse and citizens making their own choices...Politics will go on failing-serving profits NOT public health...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 23 2022 at 10:26pm

DJ, 

-Is there a point in getting vaccinated/boostered against CoViD now ? If I could get another vaccine (my 5th...) would I take it ? I find it harder to answer that...here in NL government stopped doing any prevention on spread...Masks-use is very limited...(when I cross the nearby border into Germany the picture is much different-much more masks in public. Even with no longer mask-rules.)

So getting a vaccine when the virus is allowed to spread...I have lots of room for NPI limiting contacts etc. I do not have to answer the CoViD-vaccine question now...But may face that question within half a year (in combination with the flu-vaccine...). 

One reason for taking the CoViD vaccines was protecting loved ones...That still is standing...

Another reason was trying to make myself usefull in limiting the pandemic...but if there is NO strategy trying to limit any spread...vaccines may result in variants getting better in evading those vaccines...

What I hate most is that we are now 2,5 years into the pandemic and still dealing with these kind of questions...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/zoonosis/preprint-suspected-cat-to-human-transmission-of-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/zoonosis/preprint-suspected-cat-to-human-transmission-of-sars-cov-2/  another human-cat-human spread story...Did the cat infect other cats ? What about a/mild symptomatic spread in cats, mice, dogs, etc....

Is it possible to get some sort of grip on CoViD/SARS-2 ??? 

-herd/group immunity seems to be an illusion...

-It is (getting) mild in my eyes over-optimistic...

-Political will, public support for any further steps to contain diseases for now is missing....

So -for now- my answer is NO for now we are unable to get a grip on any disease spreading...Even measles may be hard to contain by now...It looks like it first has to get a lot worse before it gets any better...

India [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/india-ba-2-75-centaurus-outcompetes-ba-5-in-india/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/india-ba-2-75-centaurus-outcompetes-ba-5-in-india/ ...

We suspect that the variant or variants responsible for the next winter wave will be far more dangerous than any variant we have seen to date. From what we have seen so far, we are not sure that BA.2.75 fits that bill.  Centaurus may become a big thing, but just not the big thing..

The next winter wave may not come from a single blockbuster variant like Delta or Omicron at all. It may come in the form of your own personalized viral variant. There is some evidence in the data that that is already happening. We will be looking at that possibility in a follow-up post.

DJ, The BA.2.75 does show up on a very limited scale outside (a few) India (states)...The BA.2.75 is part of a "group"( BA.2.73 to BA.2.81 ???) that seem to have mutations allowing it to spread faster...However India may have not seen some sub-variants other regions did see...Those sub-variants could offer better protection against BA.2.75-likes in many regions..

So the "personalized variants" may be the outcome of;

-lots of variants

-Each person/host having their own CoViD-history (some did get CoViD in 2020...maybe also vaccinated once or twice, others never got CoViD or vaccinated...some did get vaccinated four times...may never had CoViD...)

-No (ways of) STOP THE SPREAD !!!

So the triangel; disease-host-movement could result in high risk of getting infected by a specific CoViD variant...

STOP THE SPREAD ! Or is it simply to late for that ? 

Stopping the spread in my opinion may be the only way to get out of this worsening healthcrisis. NOT stopping diseases spreading on the long run may kill most of us...

However "stopping the spread" may mean reorganizing society to reduce social contacts for years...A semi-permanent "lockdown" for 10 years ? "Digital lives"...groceries delivered on your doorstep by robots ? 

STOP THE SPREAD may be even worse then allowing the diseases to spread ? China is trying to limit the spread...North Korea, Haïti claimed to have CoViD under control via Non Pharma Interventions...(they may shoot you in those countries if you ignore the rules...)..

Given a lot of animals may carry SARS-2 virusses by now (over 100 species ?) there will be plenty of "reservoir" for disease to show up again...

I do not even want to start on bats carrying 30(+?) corona-virusses...able to start SARS-3...MERS restarting/recombining...

DJ-I think it is "very complex" but still no excuse to start a global war...Like with climate change we have to find ways to at least try to limit the damage the best we can...

Sad reality however could be "lots-billions-of people may not survive that struggle...

Very depressing end of part 1


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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