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Bioradar warns Swine Flu pandemic will hit in 2014

Printed From: Avian Flu Talk
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URL: http://www.avianflutalk.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=30571
Printed Date: April 27 2024 at 6:01pm


Topic: Bioradar warns Swine Flu pandemic will hit in 2014
Posted By: arirish
Subject: Bioradar warns Swine Flu pandemic will hit in 2014
Date Posted: January 03 2014 at 8:31pm
http://vaccinenewsdaily.com/medical_countermeasures/329148-bioradar-warns-swine-flu-pandemic-will-hit-in-2014/

Bioradar UK, Ltd., announced on Tuesday that it predicts a third H1N1 Swine Flu pandemic will occur in the upcoming flu season, based on analyses it conducted of 35,529 sequences in two H1N1 Replikins genes.

Bioradar accurately predicted the Swine Flu outbreak of 2009 by analyzing genetic changes in H1N1 Replikins genes at the end of the 2008 flu season. Through the same genetic sequencing processes and by using its Replikins gene FluForecast analysis methods, Bioradar warned that another Swine Flu pandemic is on its way.

Bioradar noted that a correlation exists between the quantitative reproduction cycle of three specific H1N1 Replikins genes and an H1N1 pandemic. Researchers noted that the quantitative reproductive cycles of these genes changed in 2008, before the outbreak. The same changes in quantitative reproductive cycles were observed this year, which Bioradar researchers believe is an indication of an upcoming pandemic.

Further analyses conducted by researchers included analyzing the H1N1 Replikins genes for lethality and infectivity. The Replikin Count in the Replikins Infectivity Gene increased to 8.9+/-2.3. The FluForecast Replikin Count also increased to 6.3+/-2.3, a similar level to the Count in 2008, before the second pandemic.

The researchers noted that a Replikin Count greater than 4.0 is an indication of an upcoming outbreak. Data from a recent series of sequencing is similar to that of the second outbreak, including the Replikins Infectivity Gene increasing to more than 90 percent. This year’s Replikins Infectivity Gene is 97 percent, with the 2009 pandemic recorded at 96.4 percent.

Bioradar researchers are recommending pharmaceutical companies take advantage of the early detection of the pandemic and begin developing and testing vaccines.

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Replies:
Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: January 03 2014 at 11:17pm
Baxter sent out live virus in 2009. It was discovered when a lab tech in Czech Repub did routine testing before approving it. 
any articles on the scientists who replicated the Spanish flu and then mutated it to make it 18,000x more lethal than the original?
I predicted the swine pandemic for this year too, last spring- and it didnt take genetic testing to do it.

Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: January 05 2014 at 9:35am
Interesting post. Never heard of the ability to gauge changes to predict pandemic before. Is there any weight in these studies? Or is it a bit of voodoo??

Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: January 05 2014 at 10:43am
what do you understand by season 2014.... january/april or does it sound as the end of 2014 like october - december?

Posted By: Diligent
Date Posted: January 05 2014 at 1:04pm
Without ' craine ' explaining what method or procedure was used to make such predictions, no weight whatsoever can be given to his/her statements.
 
The Bioradar report looks important.
 
I hope ' craine ' will take an opportunity to explain how he / she derived the information as stated.
Furthur, I am probably the last person who will pigeon hole someone for their experience. Anything that can consistently give accurate results in the arena of strategic forecasting is very important. 
 
Diligent


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