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Need help with modeling

Printed From: Avian Flu Talk
Category: Main Forums
Forum Name: General Discussion
Forum Description: (General discussion regarding the next pandemic)
URL: http://www.avianflutalk.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=40371
Printed Date: April 26 2024 at 9:41pm


Topic: Need help with modeling
Posted By: cobber
Subject: Need help with modeling
Date Posted: January 24 2020 at 8:26am
Hi Guys, i need some help. I'm going to attempt modeling the trajectory of Wuhanflu, but i need very accurate numbers. And preferably broken down into infection by location or area.

Can anyone point me in the right direction?

cheers



Replies:
Posted By: cobber
Date Posted: January 24 2020 at 8:57am
GISAID seems to be the site, but I cant access it


Posted By: Technophobe
Date Posted: January 24 2020 at 9:03am
I don't think that most of the information you want is available.

Part of the reason will be China's reticence, but most of the reason is simply that nobody knows. The amount we don't know heavily outweighs what we do.

Frustrating isn't it!

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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.


Posted By: Technophobe
Date Posted: January 24 2020 at 4:39pm
Coronavirus tracker: Where has deadly coronavirus been? Has it reached UK?


CORONAVIRUS has quickly tracked west from China after an initial outbreak in the city of Wuhan, concerning health officials as cases and deaths start to ramp up. Where has the coronavirus been and has it reached the UK?
By Liam Doyle
PUBLISHED: 08:28, Fri, Jan 24, 2020 | UPDATED: 08:51, Fri, Jan 24, 2020

Coronavirus fears have gripped much of the world over the last month, as a little known “novel” strain of the disease appeared in one of China’s most populous cities. Since then, doctors have scrambled to halt its spread around Asia and the rest of the world, but with limited success.
Where has the coronavirus spread?

Coronavirus, otherwise know has 2019-CoV, originated in the Chinese city of Wuhan to the country’s east late last year.

Officials traced the first outbreak back to a seafood market in the city, where the infection jumped from animals to humans.

Authorities found cases in the surrounding cities of Shenzhen and Beijing before it broke international borders into Thailand, the US and the Middle East

Coronavirus tracker: Wuhan

Although initially limited, researchers have found 2019-CoV is capable of spreading from person-to-person.

Authorities discovered most overseas cases at international airports, many of which are now conducting screenings of people travelling directly or indirectly from Wuhan.

Chinese officials have also quarantined the city, cancelling flights, trains and other modes of transport.

Despite their efforts, experts have now recorded several cases in Europe.

Has the coronavirus reached the UK?

Experts initially identified three suspected cases of coronavirus in Scotland.

Three people, all Chinese nationals, are being treated “on a precautionary basis” in the country, one of whom is in Glasgow.

Another two people are also being treated according to the Scottish government.

Coronavirus tracker: Queen Elizabeth University Hospital Glasgow

One of the suspected victims is a student at Edinburgh University.

The Scottish government confirmed the news in an official statement, saying: “There are currently no confirmed cases of Coronavirus (WN Co-V) in Scotland and the risk to the Scottish public remains low.

“Following travel to Wuhan, China, two people confirmed as diagnosed with influenza are now being tested for Wuhan Novel Coronavirus as a precautionary measure only. Three further people are also undergoing testing on a similar precautionary basis.

“As the situation develops we will update should there be any confirmed cases of Coronavirus, rather than provide a running update on cases being considered on a precautionary basis.

“We are co-orientating with Health Protection Scotland a daily Incident Management Team to continue to monitor the situation as it develops, including on the number of any potential cases going forward.”


Source and all the stuff I could not post:    https://www.express.co.uk/life-style/health/1232583/coronavirus-tracker-where-is-coronavirus-china-UK-Scotland-disease-coronavirus-latest" rel="nofollow - https://www.express.co.uk/life-style/health/1232583/coronavirus-tracker-where-is-coronavirus-china-UK-Scotland-disease-coronavirus-latest

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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.


Posted By: Technophobe
Date Posted: January 25 2020 at 3:38am
There is this one too: https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/coronavirus-a-timeline-of-how-the-deadly-outbreak-evolved/" rel="nofollow - https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/coronavirus-a-timeline-of-how-the-deadly-outbreak-evolved/

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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.


Posted By: Technophobe
Date Posted: January 25 2020 at 7:19am
'And    https://www.producthunt.com/posts/coronavirus-outbreak-tracker" rel="nofollow - https://www.producthunt.com/posts/coronavirus-outbreak-tracker

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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.



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