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When will USA overtake China?

Printed From: Avian Flu Talk
Category: Main Forums
Forum Name: General Discussion
Forum Description: (General discussion regarding the next pandemic)
URL: http://www.avianflutalk.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=42227
Printed Date: April 26 2024 at 1:58am


Topic: When will USA overtake China?
Posted By: EdwinSm,
Subject: When will USA overtake China?
Date Posted: March 25 2020 at 3:11am

The BBC published the following list:

Almost 420,000 global cases

The ten most-affected countries:

  1.       China: 81,591    
  2.       Italy: 69,176    
  3.       US: 53,740    
  4.       Spain: 39,885    
  5.       Germany: 32,986    
  6.       Iran: 24,811    
  7.       France: 22,622    
  8.       Switzerland: 9,877    
  9.       South Korea: 9,037    
  10.       United Kingdom: 8,164    


With the (laudable) increase in testing in the USA they are shooting up in the charts of confirmed cases,  When will they overtake China to be the country with the greateset number of confirmed cases?

My strictly amateur guess is that I think we should see that in the next three or so days. 

However, one should not read too much into that as the CFR for the USA is currently about 1.1% and that for China is over 4%.  It will take a lot longer that three days for the death toll in the USA to approach that of China (let alone Italy).


The rapid rise of USA in the charts  does not bode well for it to be over by Easter  :(





Replies:
Posted By: Newbie1A
Date Posted: March 25 2020 at 7:06pm

Not to be a downer - but I'm thinking that maybe by Easter - the US hospitals will look like Italy & Spain... I hope not, but as more & more are confirmed, it's just a matter of time till the health care system's back is broken. 

And we aren't safe either - although many less cases - it will eventually kick in - unless people learn to bloody stay home...!!!!!



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If it's to be - it's up to me!


Posted By: Newbie1A
Date Posted: March 25 2020 at 10:04pm

Originally posted by manba manba wrote:

As long as you control it yourself, go out and wear a mask to protect yourself and others. For such a period of time, you will slowly control it. This is what China does. I will provide a channel for you to buy masks. I also use it myself. Very good, you need to buy it yourself http://https%EF%BC%9A//www.9020.com" rel="noopener noreferrer - Visit to buy masks

STOP ADVERTISING on here!!!!! JUST STOP!!! You are on the wrong site for this crap!



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If it's to be - it's up to me!


Posted By: Newbie1A
Date Posted: March 25 2020 at 10:04pm

Was that my outside voice? Oops - sorry! 



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If it's to be - it's up to me!


Posted By: WitchMisspelled
Date Posted: March 26 2020 at 3:55am

Originally posted by Newbie1A Newbie1A wrote:

Not to be a downer - but I'm thinking that maybe by Easter - the US hospitals will look like Italy & Spain... I hope not, but as more & more are confirmed, it's just a matter of time till the health care system's back is broken. 

And we aren't safe either - although many less cases - it will eventually kick in - unless people learn to bloody stay home...!!!!!

Sadly, I agree.  But I think it will be before Easter in some parts of the nation.    



Posted By: Technophobe
Date Posted: March 26 2020 at 6:29am

He was warned.  Now he's gone.  Bye bye Mamba!



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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 26 2020 at 7:17am

The picture I am getting is that there is still very limited testing in the U.S. When there would be testing on a better scale the U.S. would be #1 already. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/usa-60-000-infected-928-dead-and-getting-worse-nyc-being-devastated[/url]

New York is not the only "hot spot" in the U.S.-the number of cases in the U.S.-when testing on the same level as most of the E.U. would be over 100.000 cases. (That proberbly also would go for China, Iran)-the real number of cases must be far higher. 

See also Paul Beckwith [url] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ryhqthgDm0Q - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ryhqthgDm0Q [/url]



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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein


Posted By: Pandemic
Date Posted: March 26 2020 at 3:24pm

USA now have more official cases than China of today. See Roylabs stats on Youtube.


83 000 cases.



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Location - Rural location in Hampshire, England


Posted By: BabyCat
Date Posted: March 26 2020 at 5:50pm

This site is usually the fastest to update US figures, but on PST.

https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en - https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en

This site is fastest for worldwide and country totals:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ - https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/



Posted By: mccae73
Date Posted: March 26 2020 at 8:33pm

They took cultures of human lung epithelial cells, exposed them to different concentrations of meth and then infected them with an H1N1 strain of human influenza A. By 30 to 48 hours after infection, the meth-treated cells had a much lower concentration of the virus than the control group, the researchers reported. What's more, this reduction occurred in a dose-dependent manner, meaning the more meth, the less the virus reproduced.



Posted By: EdwinSm,
Date Posted: March 26 2020 at 11:23pm

This happened much faster than my "amateur guess "  :(


The speed of this spreading is very sad, but I applaud the more openness with the figures (despite slow starting of testing) compared to the cover-up in China.  In my mind telling the truth helps make the country great, especially if the truth is bad news.  




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