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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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Posted: March 22 2020 at 7:54am |
The BBC posted the following chart If one takes only the "Resolved" cases then the Case Fatality Rate is 13% [13 000 out of 105 000 cases]. Some serious figures that have seem estimate that the actual Infection Fatality Rate is about 1.2%. Putting the two together this indicates to me that, world-wide, only about 10% of the cases are actually being recorded. To my mind that seems reasonabe given what we have seen of many countries unable to do proper testing in the early stages of this epidemic. Note: according to WHO "Cases" only count lab confirmed illnesses, while "Infections" estimate the total number of those who are ill. |
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ozarkcountryboy
V.I.P. Member Joined: October 02 2014 Status: Offline Points: 950 |
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We have 10 people in the hospital. Would that mean a 1000 people have the virus and don't know it? |
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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As a ball-park figure, probably yes. But that will double in 3 - 5 days. It might take a little longer if people manage some social distancing. When you SIP you protect everyone, not just the family. |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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What? Sit in place? You're taking away my right to go out and spread as much of this to as many as I possibly can! This shall not stand. |
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Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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Penham
Chief Moderator Moderator Joined: February 09 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 14913 |
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My daughter lives in Washington and she said they are no longer testing there because there are no tests available. So I guess that's why they are no longer the "hot spot". |
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AI
Adviser Group Joined: January 21 2020 Status: Offline Points: 8850 |
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Pandemic
Adviser Group Joined: January 31 2020 Location: UK Status: Offline Points: 2725 |
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We also need to consider if the number of deaths is being recorded correctly. One health worker suggested that so many people have died that they didn't record the numbers !!!!!. |
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