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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

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Kineticgeo View Drop Down
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Joined: January 20 2014
Location: PA
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Points: 20 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kineticgeo Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Reuters article
    Posted: January 20 2014 at 12:06pm
Hi, very long time lurker here, about 5 years, first post Smilehttp://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/344750/news/world/who-23-more-infected-in-fresh-wave-of-china-bird-flu
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jacksdad View Drop Down
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Points: 47251 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 20 2014 at 1:02pm
Welcome, Kineticgeo
"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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cobber View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 20 2014 at 10:29pm
Good find Kinetic and welcome to the discussion.

More evidence about about Human to Human transmission!
The question is: Are we currently seeing a jump in numbers because of a normal seasonal spike Or are we seeing a jump in numbers due to a new strain??

If the virus was actively moving Human to Human. It would be found spreading across the world and popping up in places like Australia, USA etc. So we are in a pretty sure in the main we are dealing with a flu with an avian host.

BUT!!!

Recent mutations found in the south of China show up some concerning traits. H7N9 (mutant) now has the ability to jump from human to human. Even though this was a study which found this conclusion. The actual practical abilities of the virus to jump from Human to Human is not known. 

Its one for us to keep an eye on.

If we see clustering in remote locations outside China. Then we know something is happening. Until then we are safe
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