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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic; Now tracking the Wuhan Coronavirus COVID-19

Coronavirus: RoM

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Kilt5 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2020 at 10:01pm
There are currently 64,438 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,383 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2020 at 4:14pm
There are currently 66,907 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,523 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2020 at 12:49am
There are currently 67,107 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,526 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Little House Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2020 at 6:38am
Thank you Kilt5 for posting these. It is nice to have a record of the numbers, and a place to find the most updated numbers.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Lonewolf Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2020 at 2:11pm
Yes, what LittleHouse said
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2020 at 3:53pm
There are currently 69,036 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,666 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2020 at 6:34pm
There are currently 69,268 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,669 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2020 at 7:44pm
 There are currently 69,269 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,669 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2020 at 11:13pm
There are currently 69,270 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,669 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2020 at 3:08pm
There are currently 71,223 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,770 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2020 at 3:09pm
1,000 more cases and 100 more deaths - this is serious
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2020 at 4:25pm
 There are currently 71,231 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,770 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2020 at 5:43pm
 There are currently 71,330 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,775 fatalities.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2020 at 7:44pm
There are currently 71,332 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,775 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 17 2020 at 3:40am
There are currently 71,440 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,775 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 17 2020 at 9:35pm
 There are currently 73,335 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,874 fatalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Newbie1A Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2020 at 4:35am
Originally posted by Kilt5 Kilt5 wrote:

<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 17.6px; vertical-align: line; color: rgb0, 0, 0; font-family: "PT Serif", sans-serif; : rgb255, 255, 255;">There are currently 71,332 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,775 fatalities.


And this was Feb.4 - 14 days ago approx...
Posted: 04 February 2020 at 3:21pm
There are currently 23,867 confirmed cases worldwide, including 492 fatalities.

So there's been lots of discussion re: figuring out CFR from 'when sick' to death total vs current number of sick to death total. So does 23,867 divided by 1775 for 13.44% make sense?
Now 2 big problems I see with this-
a) these are working off the 'official numbers' (enuf said)
b) this isn't counting all the mild cases that were never diagnosed/not counted etc
Still trying to figure out 'why' so deadly there and not elsewhere. Is it truly an 'Asian thing' (sorry - I know that's a terrible way to say it but no coffee and simply can't think of a better/more technical way) but I mean something there environmentally, or the lung proteins etc, or are all the videos' leaked on twitter, facebook etc horse pucky and something else completely is going on?
If it's to be - it's up to me!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2020 at 4:50am
Spot on all around. There are far too many unanswered questions to get an accurate figure. The maths is good, the data crap.
Absence of proof is not proof of absence.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2020 at 4:59am
Usually, at the end of an outbreak, the true CFR emerges.   Because of the discrepancy between date of infection and date of death, it always rises past the estimates made during the outbreak.

I don't know what this one will do. It could go up, hugely up, down or more likely than all those, never be truly known. China is so secretive! Real data is unicorn poo - or at least as rare.   We are still guessing at the official R0 and that is only based on figures about a week behind symptoms appearing, not the longer period to death. The infection rate will have to be calculated from people outside China. 'And the cohort for that study is still quite small.
Absence of proof is not proof of absence.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote pheasant Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2020 at 9:43am


   Don't forget, the official death toll does not count those who die untested (confirmed)....and with cremation capacity over stretched one can only guess.

   
The only thing we have to fear, is fear itself......FDR
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